State Farm Arena · Neutral site
Closing line
AUB -19.5✓ UTC covered by 5.5
AUB -19.5✓ UTC covered by 5.5Closing total150.5Over by 19.5
 UTC | This season | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| 2-5 | Record | 7-3 |
| 2-5 | ATS | 7-3 |
| 3-4 | O/U | 8-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UTC 68–92 AUB · ✓ AUB (98%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTC | 38 | 40 | 78 |
| AUB | 43 | 49 | 92 |
1st half: UTC 38, AUB 43 (AUB by 5). The model had AUB by 14.3 and a total of 74.5 (actual 81).
Team stats
| UTC | AUB | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-59 46% | Field goals | 26-53 49% |
| 7-20 35% | 3-pointers | 11-30 37% |
| 17-20 85% | Free throws | 29-37 78% |
| 20 4 off | Rebounds | 42 14 off |
| 17 | Assists | 17 |
| 10 | Steals | 1 |
| 0 | Blocks | 3 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 24 | Fouls | 17 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 18 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| UTC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billy Smith G | 36 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 6-13 | 2-8 |
| Jordan Frison G | 33 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 6-12 | 0-2 |
| Brennan Watkins G | 32 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1-8 | 1-4 |
| Makai Richards C | 20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Tate Darner G | 15 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 3-6 | 3-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Teddy Washington Jr. G | 32 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 6-11 | 1-2 |
| Josh Bowman F | 16 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Houston Holland G | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jikari Johnson G | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Parker Robison, Zach Bleshoy, Collin Mulholland, Latif Diouf, Liam Vitters, Ryan Lopez, Sebastian Hartmann, Sean Cusano
| AUB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keyshawn Hall F | 36 | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5-9 | 1-5 |
| Sebastian Williams-Adams F | 33 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Tahaad Pettiford G | 30 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 5-11 | 5-9 |
| KeShawn Murphy F | 22 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-2 |
| Kevin Overton G | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Elyjah Freeman G | 33 | 19 | 7 | 0 | 7-13 | 2-6 |
| Filip Jovic C | 16 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Kaden Magwood G | 13 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Simon Walker G | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
Did not play: Blake Muschalek, CJ Williams, Bradley Pearson, Jeremiah Bowman, Emeka Opurum, Reed Trapp, Abdul Bashir, Drake Cardwell, Joah Shay
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketAUB -19.5
ModelAUB -23.9
Model edgeAUB +4.4
L UTC covered
Total
Market150.5
Model159.2
Model edgeOver 8.7
W Over
Projected score
UTC 67.6 · AUB 91.5
UTC 78 · AUB 92
Win probability
AUB 98%
1st half
Spread
AUB -14.3
AUB -5.0
Total
74.5
81 points
Projected score
UTC 30.1 · AUB 44.4
UTC 38 · AUB 43
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenAUB -19.5
no move
CloseAUB -19.5
No change since the open
Total
Open152.5
▼ 2
Close150.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
UTC +1300 · AUB -2800
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened AUB -19.5 · unchangedmodel AUB -24
model AUB -24
Opened 152.5 · closed 150.5 · moved 2 downmodel 159
model 159
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTClast 7 | 2-5 29% | 2-5 29% | 3-4 43% |
| AUB | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 8-2 80% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
UTC 0–1 AUBAUB leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · UTC 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2023-24 | UTC 66 @ AUB 101 | AUB -21.5 | AUB W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Chattanooga
7 games played
Straight up
2-5
29% wins
Against the spread
2-5
29% covers · avg −9.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-4
43% overs · avg −3.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@
SMC
SMCL 66-87
−5.5
8
@
UNLV
UNLVL 69-101
−24.5
15
@
FGCU
FGCUL 73-91
−19.5
19
@
SCST
SCSTW 78-66
+0.5
22
vs
UNA
UNAW 71-57
+4.5
30
vs
TNST
TNSTL 64-70
−14.5
6
vs
SEMO
SEMOL 70-74
−7.5
covered 2didn’t cover 5avg −9.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@SMC
SMCL 66-87
+7.5
8
@UNLV
UNLVL 69-101
+14.5
15
@FGCU
FGCUL 73-91
+11.5
19
@SCST
SCSTW 78-66
−10.5
22
vsUNA
UNAW 71-57
−21.5
30
vsTNST
TNSTL 64-70
−21.5
6
vsSEMO
SEMOL 70-74
−5.5
over 3under 4avg −3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Auburn
10 games played
Straight up
7-3
70% wins
Against the spread
7-3
70% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-2
80% overs · avg +6.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BCU | W 95-90 | -24.5 | L −19.5 | 153.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 6 | vs MRMK | W 95-57 | -23.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 11 | vs WOF | W 93-62 | -27.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 16 | vs HOU | L 72-73 | +7.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 19 | vs JKST | W 112-66 | -30.5 | W +15.5 | 156.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 24 | vs ORE | W 84-73 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 25 | vs MICH | L 72-102 | +4.5 | L −25.5 | 163.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 26 | vs SJU | W 85-74 | +4.5 | W +15.5 | 166.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 3 | vs NCSU | W 83-73 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 6 | @ ARIZ | L 68-97 | +11.5 | L −17.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBCU
BCUW 95-90
−19.5
6
vsMRMK
MRMKW 95-57
+14.5
11
vsWOF
WOFW 93-62
+3.5
16
vsHOU
HOUL 72-73
+6.5
19
vsJKST
JKSTW 112-66
+15.5
24
vsORE
OREW 84-73
+6.5
25
vsMICH
MICHL 72-102
−25.5
26
vsSJU
SJUW 85-74
+15.5
3
vsNCSU
NCSUW 83-73
+4.5
6
@ARIZ
ARIZL 68-97
−17.5
covered 7didn’t cover 3avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBCU
BCUW 95-90
+31.5
6
vsMRMK
MRMKW 95-57
+3.5
11
vsWOF
WOFW 93-62
+2.5
16
vsHOU
HOUL 72-73
+4.5
19
vsJKST
JKSTW 112-66
+21.5
24
vsORE
OREW 84-73
+1.5
25
vsMICH
MICHL 72-102
+10.5
26
vsSJU
SJUW 85-74
−7.5
3
vsNCSU
NCSUW 83-73
−6.5
6
@ARIZ
ARIZL 68-97
+2.5
over 8under 2avg +6.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Chattanooga
2-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs SE Missouri70–74
- Lvs Tennessee St64–70
- Wvs North Alabama71–57
- W@ SC State78–66
- L@ FGCU73–91
A week or more of rest.
Auburn
7-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Arizona68–97
- Wvs NC State83–73
- Wvs St John's85–74
- Lvs Michigan72–102
- Wvs Oregon84–73
A week or more of rest.