UPMC Events Center · at Robert Morris
Closing line
TOL -1.5✓ RMU covered by 6.5
TOL -1.5✓ RMU covered by 6.5Closing total154.5Under by 9.5
| TOL | This season | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| 4-4 | Record | 5-4 |
| 4-4 | ATS | 6-3 |
| 3-5 | O/U | 4-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TOL 78–79 RMU · ✓ RMU (53%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOL | 42 | 28 | 70 |
| RMU | 24 | 51 | 75 |
1st half: TOL 42, RMU 24 (TOL by 18). The model had RMU by 0.5 and a total of 73.7 (actual 66).
Team stats
| TOL | RMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-60 33% | Field goals | 26-58 45% |
| 4-12 33% | 3-pointers | 5-21 24% |
| 26-30 87% | Free throws | 18-28 64% |
| 35 10 off | Rebounds | 46 14 off |
| 8 | Assists | 15 |
| 2 | Steals | 1 |
| 2 | Blocks | 1 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 26 | Fouls | 23 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 15 |
Players
| TOL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Wilson G | 38 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 6-13 | 2-4 |
| Sean Craig F | 35 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 5-13 | 0-1 |
| Leroy Blyden Jr. G | 28 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 2-12 | 0-1 |
| Kyler Vanderjagt G | 27 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Austin Parks C | 26 | 13 | 8 | 0 | 4-10 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaylan Ouwinga F | 16 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Will James Jr. G | 14 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Phoenix Glassnor G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Mynor Strong G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| London Praytor F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Toby Nwokolo, Chris Riddle, Tyler Ode
| RMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Prather Jr. G | 36 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 6-14 | 2-6 |
| Albert Vargas G | 34 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 4-12 | 1-4 |
| Nikos Chitikoudis F | 32 | 12 | 14 | 3 | 6-8 | 0-0 |
| DeSean Goode F | 28 | 17 | 8 | 0 | 6-8 | 0-1 |
| Cam Wilds G | 27 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2-7 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ta'Zir Smith G | 20 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Josh Hill F | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Kaleb Brown G | 10 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Ubong Okon C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Darius Livingston, Samuel Obenjo, Tanner O'Grady, Jeremiah Littlejohn, Cyril Arvanitis, Eddie Cooke III, Vasilije Serafimoski
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketTOL -1.5
ModelRMU -1.0
Model edgeRMU +2.5
W RMU covered
Total
Market154.5
Model157.4
Model edgeOver 2.9
L Under
Projected score
TOL 78.2 · RMU 79.2
TOL 70 · RMU 75
Win probability
RMU 53%
1st half
Spread
RMU -0.5
TOL -18.0
Total
73.7
66 points
Projected score
TOL 36.6 · RMU 37.1
TOL 42 · RMU 24
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTOL -1.5
no move
CloseTOL -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open154.5
no move
Close154.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
TOL -122 · RMU +102
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TOL -1.5 · unchangedmodel RMU -1
model RMU -1
Opened 154.5 · unchangedmodel 157.5
model 157.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOLlast 8 | 4-4 50% | 4-4 50% | 3-5 38% |
| RMUlast 9 | 5-4 56% | 6-3 67% | 4-5 44% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Toledo
8 games played
Straight up
4-4
50% wins
Against the spread
4-4
50% covers · avg +1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-5
38% overs · avg +2.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs USA | L 74-76 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 150.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 8 | vs MRSH | L 73-85 | -2.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 11 | @ WRST | W 81-71 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 159.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 15 | vs DETM | W 90-83 | -10.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 19 | vs YSU | W 92-75 | -1.5 | W +15.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 24 | vs TROY | W 75-68 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 159.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 26 | vs BEL | L 72-87 | +4.5 | L −10.5 | 163.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 6 | @ OAK | L 97-98 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 166.5 | O 195 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUSA
USAL 74-76
−4.5
8
vsMRSH
MRSHL 73-85
−14.5
11
@WRST
WRSTW 81-71
+15.5
15
vsDETM
DETMW 90-83
−3.5
19
vsYSU
YSUW 92-75
+15.5
24
vsTROY
TROYW 75-68
+9.5
26
vsBEL
BELL 72-87
−10.5
6
@OAK
OAKL 97-98
+3.5
covered 4didn’t cover 4avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUSA
USAL 74-76
−0.5
8
vsMRSH
MRSHL 73-85
−2.5
11
@WRST
WRSTW 81-71
−7.5
15
vsDETM
DETMW 90-83
+13.5
19
vsYSU
YSUW 92-75
+6.5
24
vsTROY
TROYW 75-68
−16.5
26
vsBEL
BELL 72-87
−4.5
6
@OAK
OAKL 97-98
+28.5
over 3under 5avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Robert Morris
9 games played
Straight up
5-4
56% wins
Against the spread
6-3
67% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-5
44% overs · avg +0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ IOWA | L 69-101 | +22.5 | L −9.5 | 136.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 6 | @ DRKE | W 81-79 | +7.5 | W +9.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 20 | @ SBU | L 61-75 | +11.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 23 | @ MONM | L 70-71 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 148.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 26 | vs UIC | W 88-74 | +1.5 | W +15.5 | 151.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 28 | vs SUU | W 61-54 | -8.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | U 115 |
| Nov 30 | vs STET | W 80-62 | -11.5 | W +6.5 | 142.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 4 | @ GB | W 80-78 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 6 | @ MILW | L 72-74 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | U 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@IOWA
IOWAL 69-101
−9.5
6
@DRKE
DRKEW 81-79
+9.5
20
@SBU
SBUL 61-75
−2.5
23
@MONM
MONML 70-71
+1.5
26
vsUIC
UICW 88-74
+15.5
28
vsSUU
SUUW 61-54
−1.5
30
vsSTET
STETW 80-62
+6.5
4
@GB
GBW 80-78
+0.5
6
@MILW
MILWL 72-74
+2.5
covered 6didn’t cover 3avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@IOWA
IOWAL 69-101
+33.5
6
@DRKE
DRKEW 81-79
+8.5
20
@SBU
SBUL 61-75
−10.5
23
@MONM
MONML 70-71
−7.5
26
vsUIC
UICW 88-74
+10.5
28
vsSUU
SUUW 61-54
−37.5
30
vsSTET
STETW 80-62
−0.5
4
@GB
GBW 80-78
+17.5
6
@MILW
MILWL 72-74
−7.5
over 4under 5avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Toledo
4-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Oakland97–98
- Lvs Belmont72–87
- Wvs Troy75–68
- Wvs Youngstown St92–75
- Wvs Detroit Mercy90–83
A week or more of rest.
Robert Morris
5-4 overall · 1-1 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Milwaukee72–74
- W@ Green Bay80–78
- Wvs Stetson80–62
- Wvs Southern Utah61–54
- Wvs UIC88–74
A week or more of rest.