Bender Arena · Neutral site
Closing line
SIE -5.5✓ SIE covered by 1.5
SIE -5.5✓ SIE covered by 1.5Closing total145.5Under by 12.5
 LONG | This season | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| 2-3 | Record | 4-2 |
| 1-4 | ATS | 3-3 |
| 4-1 | O/U | 2-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LONG 74–78 SIE · ✓ SIE (64%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LONG | 28 | 35 | 63 |
| SIE | 28 | 42 | 70 |
1st half: LONG 28, SIE 28 (tied). The model had SIE by 2.2 and a total of 71.3 (actual 56).
Team stats
| LONG | SIE | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-53 42% | Field goals | 25-49 51% |
| 6-21 29% | 3-pointers | 7-23 30% |
| 13-16 81% | Free throws | 13-22 59% |
| 36 12 off | Rebounds | 27 5 off |
| 11 | Assists | 17 |
| 4 | Steals | 12 |
| 0 | Blocks | 4 |
| 19 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 18 | Fouls | 15 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| LONG | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacoi Hutchinson G | 27 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 5-8 | 1-2 |
| Alphonzo Billups III G | 26 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 2-7 | 1-5 |
| Emanuel Richards G | 26 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Elijah Tucker F | 25 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| Johan Nziemi F | 16 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Elijah Jones F | 27 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-2 |
| Redd Thompson Jr. G | 21 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 6-12 | 3-6 |
| Jaylen Benard G | 15 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Jaylin Payne F | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Elijah Kelly G | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jerome Williams G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Quadri Bashiru, Gerald Burr III, Isaiah Kalala, KJ McClurg
| SIE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Coyle G | 38 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 7-14 | 5-12 |
| Francis Folefac F | 37 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Justice Shoats G | 37 | 15 | 0 | 6 | 7-9 | 0-0 |
| Gavin Doty G | 34 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 3-9 | 1-4 |
| Antonio Chandler F | 14 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Christian Jones G | 24 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2-7 | 1-5 |
| Marcus Jackson G | 9 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Tajae Jones F | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Henderson G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Owen Schlager, Danny Murray, Chris Torres, Cooper Nadler, Tasman Goodrick, Mosi Clayton, Reid Ducharme, Riley Mulvey
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSIE -5.5
ModelSIE -4.0
Model edgeLONG +1.5
L SIE covered
Total
Market145.5
Model152.2
Model edgeOver 6.7
L Under
Projected score
LONG 74.1 · SIE 78.1
LONG 63 · SIE 70
Win probability
SIE 64%
1st half
Spread
SIE -2.2
tied
Total
71.3
56 points
Projected score
LONG 34.5 · SIE 36.7
LONG 28 · SIE 28
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLONG -6.5
12 → SIE
CloseSIE -5.5
12 pts toward SIE
Total
Open149.5
▼ 4
Close145.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
LONG +220 · SIE -270
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LONG -6.5 · closed SIE -5.5 · moved 12 toward SIEmodel SIE -4
model SIE -4
Opened 149.5 · closed 145.5 · moved 4 downmodel 152
model 152
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LONGlast 5 | 2-3 40% | 1-4 20% | 4-1 80% |
| SIElast 6 | 4-2 67% | 3-3 50% | 2-4 33% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Longwood
5 games played
Straight up
2-3
40% wins
Against the spread
1-4
20% covers · avg −7.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-1
80% overs · avg +11.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@
PITT
PITTL 60-78
−3.5
12
vs
JMU
JMUW 82-72
+11.5
15
vs
BING
BINGW 90-82
−7.5
18
vs
UMES
UMESL 82-83
−18.5
23
@
COLU
COLUL 70-95
−21.5
covered 1didn’t cover 4avg −7.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@PITT
PITTL 60-78
−7.5
12
vsJMU
JMUW 82-72
+4.5
15
vsBING
BINGW 90-82
+24.5
18
vsUMES
UMESL 82-83
+26.5
23
@COLU
COLUL 70-95
+11.5
over 4under 1avg +11.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Siena
6 games played
Straight up
4-2
67% wins
Against the spread
3-3
50% covers · avg 0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −6.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
BRY
BRYW 82-66
+2.5
7
@
BRWN
BRWNW 62-46
+12.5
12
@
SBU
SBUL 66-75
+0.5
17
vs
COLG
COLGL 69-72
−9.5
21
vs
UALB
UALBW 73-63
−0.5
24
@
HC
HCW 73-69
−5.5
covered 3didn’t cover 3avg 0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBRY
BRYW 82-66
−0.5
7
@BRWN
BRWNW 62-46
−34.5
12
@SBU
SBUL 66-75
+0.5
17
vsCOLG
COLGL 69-72
−5.5
21
vsUALB
UALBW 73-63
−4.5
24
@HC
HCW 73-69
+4.5
over 2under 4avg −6.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Longwood
2-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Columbia70–95
- Lvs MD Eastern82–83
- Wvs Binghamton90–82
- Wvs James Madison82–72
- L@ Pitt60–78
5 days since their last game.
Siena
4-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Holy Cross73–69
- Wvs UAlbany73–63
- Lvs Colgate69–72
- L@ St Bonaventure66–75
- W@ Brown62–46
4 days since their last game.