Mackey Arena · at Purdue
Closing line
PUR -40.5✓ PUR covered by 6.5
Closing total141.5Over by 29.5
| This season | PUR | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-4 | Record | 6-0 |
| 3-2 | ATS | 2-4 |
| 2-3 | O/U | 2-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: EIU 51–92 PUR · ✓ PUR (100%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| EIU | 28 | 34 | 62 |
| PUR | 53 | 56 | 109 |
1st half: EIU 28, PUR 53 (PUR by 25). The model had PUR by 24.6 and a total of 67.0 (actual 81).
Team stats
| EIU | PUR | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-54 46% | Field goals | 41-65 63% |
| 6-23 26% | 3-pointers | 11-23 48% |
| 6-9 67% | Free throws | 16-18 89% |
| 17 4 off | Rebounds | 37 11 off |
| 12 | Assists | 28 |
| 4 | Steals | 10 |
| 2 | Blocks | 6 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 17 | Fouls | 11 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 58 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| EIU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meechie White G | 33 | 23 | 3 | 3 | 8-10 | 2-3 |
| Kooper Jacobi F | 32 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1-8 | 0-4 |
| Terry McMorris F | 30 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 6-9 | 0-1 |
| Preston Turner G | 27 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 4-7 | 3-5 |
| Andrew Austin F | 23 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3-12 | 0-8 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nazareth Fisher F | 15 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Markus Blackwell G | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Malik Olafioye G | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Prince Johnson F | 10 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Zion Fruster, Kyle Layton, Andre Washington, Shane Sims, JT Elder
| PUR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fletcher Loyer G | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 4-4 | 4-4 |
| Braden Smith G | 23 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| C.J. Cox G | 21 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3-8 | 2-5 |
| Trey Kaufman-Renn F | 20 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 7-10 | 0-0 |
| Oscar Cluff C | 17 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Gicarri Harris G | 25 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 5-8 | 1-4 |
| Jack Benter G | 20 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3-7 | 2-3 |
| Omer Mayer G | 18 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 4-9 | 1-4 |
| Daniel Jacobsen C | 18 | 24 | 9 | 1 | 8-8 | 0-0 |
| Aaron Fine G | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Jack Lusk G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jace Rayl G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Sam King, Liam Murphy, Raleigh Burgess, Antione West Jr
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketPUR -40.5
ModelPUR -41.0
Model edgePUR +0.5
W PUR covered
Total
Market141.5
Model143.0
Model edgeOver 1.5
W Over
Projected score
EIU 51 · PUR 92
EIU 62 · PUR 109
Win probability
PUR 100%
1st half
Spread
PUR -24.6
PUR -25.0
Total
67.0
81 points
Projected score
EIU 21.2 · PUR 45.8
EIU 28 · PUR 53
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPUR -40.5
no move
ClosePUR -40.5
No change since the open
Total
Open141.5
no move
Close141.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PUR -40.5 · unchangedmodel PUR -41
model PUR -41
Opened 141.5 · unchangedmodel 143
model 143
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-4 20% | 3-2 60% | 2-3 40% | |
| 6-0 100% | 2-4 33% | 2-4 33% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
E Illinois
5 games played
Straight up
1-4
20% wins
Against the spread
3-2
60% covers · avg −1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-3
40% overs · avg −6.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@
VAL
L 63-66
+2.5
7
vs
NICH
W 65-57
+10.5
11
@
ND
L 58-78
+3.5
14
@
UK
L 53-99
−10.5
25
@
CARK
L 60-81
−15.5
covered 3didn’t cover 2avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@
VAL
L 63-66
−15.5
7
vs
NICH
W 65-57
−13.5
11
@
ND
L 58-78
−7.5
14
@
UK
L 53-99
+4.5
25
@
CARK
L 60-81
+1.5
over 2under 3avg −6.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Purdue
6 games played
Straight up
6-0
100% wins
Against the spread
2-4
33% covers · avg +1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −3.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vs
EVAN
W 82-51
−2.5
7
vs
OAK
W 87-77
−21.5
13
@
ALA
W 87-80
+10.5
16
vs
AKR
W 97-79
−0.5
20
vs
MEM
W 80-71
−5.5
21
vs
TTU
W 86-56
+26.5
covered 2didn’t cover 4avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vs
EVAN
W 82-51
−17.5
7
vs
OAK
W 87-77
+5.5
13
@
ALA
W 87-80
−5.5
16
vs
AKR
W 97-79
+12.5
20
vs
MEM
W 80-71
−5.5
21
vs
TTU
W 86-56
−11.5
over 2under 4avg −3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
E Illinois
1-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ C Arkansas60–81
- L@ Kentucky53–99
- L@ Notre Dame58–78
- Wvs Nicholls65–57
- L@ Valparaiso63–66
3 days since their last game.
Purdue
6-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Texas Tech86–56
- Wvs Memphis80–71
- Wvs Akron97–79
- W@ Alabama87–80
- Wvs Oakland87–77
A week or more of rest.