Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall · at Indiana
Closing line
IU -38.5✓ CHST covered by 18.5
IU -38.5✓ CHST covered by 18.5Closing total152.5Under by 16.5
 CHST | This season | IU |
|---|---|---|
| 1-10 | Record | 8-3 |
| 5-6 | ATS | 6-5 |
| 8-3 | O/U | 6-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CHST 59–93 IU · ✓ IU (100%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CHST | 29 | 29 | 58 |
| IU | 52 | 26 | 78 |
1st half: CHST 29, IU 52 (IU by 23). The model had IU by 20.0 and a total of 71.3 (actual 81).
Team stats
| CHST | IU | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-66 36% | Field goals | 26-62 42% |
| 4-20 20% | 3-pointers | 15-46 33% |
| 6-6 100% | Free throws | 11-18 61% |
| 33 11 off | Rebounds | 44 13 off |
| 7 | Assists | 24 |
| 8 | Steals | 6 |
| 0 | Blocks | 3 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 19 | Fouls | 10 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 15 |
Players
| CHST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Ray F | 26 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 5-13 | 1-4 |
| Corey Sands G | 26 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Marcus Tankersley G | 26 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-8 | 0-1 |
| Malek Robinson G | 22 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Dailliss Cox F | 17 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Stephen Byard F | 22 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 4-9 | 0-1 |
| Doyel Cockrill III G | 19 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 4-10 | 1-5 |
| Lionel Larvadain G | 17 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 4-11 | 1-3 |
| Dakari Thomas G | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| CJ Delancy F | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Joseph Owens F | 6 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Daniel Zatsepin, Braelon Bush, Greg Spate, DaJuan Bates, Deshawn Jean-Charles, Chauncey Gibson
| IU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Wilkerson G | 34 | 21 | 4 | 6 | 6-13 | 5-12 |
| Tucker DeVries F | 29 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 3-12 | 2-11 |
| Tayton Conerway G | 25 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Conor Enright G | 23 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Sam Alexis F | 18 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Reed Bailey F | 22 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 6-9 | 0-0 |
| Nick Dorn G | 20 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 5-11 | 5-11 |
| Trent Sisley F | 18 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Jasai Miles G | 7 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Aleksa Ristic G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ian Stephens G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Tryce Grensing G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Drew Snively, Andrej Acimovic, Josh Harris, Jordan Rayford, Deuce Drake
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketIU -38.5
ModelIU -33.5
Model edgeCHST +5.0
W CHST covered
Total
Market152.5
Model152.3
Model edgeUnder 0.2
W Under
Projected score
CHST 59.4 · IU 92.9
CHST 58 · IU 78
Win probability
IU 100%
1st half
Spread
IU -20.0
IU -23.0
Total
71.3
81 points
Projected score
CHST 25.6 · IU 45.7
CHST 29 · IU 52
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenIU -36.5
2 → IU
CloseIU -38.5
2 pts toward IU
Total
Open152.5
no move
Close152.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened IU -36.5 · closed IU -38.5 · moved 2 toward IUmodel IU -33.5
model IU -33.5
Opened 152.5 · unchangedmodel 152.5 matches the line
model 152.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CHST | 1-9 10% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
| IU | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Chicago St
11 games played
Straight up
1-10
9% wins
Against the spread
5-6
45% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-3
73% overs · avg +3.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ DEP | L 62-92 | +24.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 6 | @ SLU | L 86-108 | +30.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | O 194 |
| Nov 11 | @ BTLR | L 66-98 | +26.5 | L −5.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 15 | vs UIC | L 63-67 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 18 | @ MINN | L 54-66 | +27.5 | W +15.5 | 144.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 20 | @ IOWA | L 54-93 | +31.5 | L −7.5 | 142.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 25 | @ PFW | L 77-90 | +12.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 28 | @ YSU | L 64-87 | +14.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 6 | @ ILST | L 53-95 | +20.5 | L −21.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 14 | @ LUC | W 84-75 | +15.5 | W +24.5 | 140.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 16 | @ BGSU | L 55-76 | +21.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | U 131 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@DEP
DEPL 62-92
−5.5
6
@SLU
SLUL 86-108
+8.5
11
@BTLR
BTLRL 66-98
−5.5
15
vsUIC
UICL 63-67
+5.5
18
@MINN
MINNL 54-66
+15.5
20
@IOWA
IOWAL 54-93
−7.5
25
@PFW
PFWL 77-90
−0.5
28
@YSU
YSUL 64-87
−8.5
6
@ILST
ILSTL 53-95
−21.5
14
@LUC
LUCW 84-75
+24.5
16
@BGSU
BGSUL 55-76
+0.5
covered 5didn’t cover 6avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@DEP
DEPL 62-92
+10.5
6
@SLU
SLUL 86-108
+38.5
11
@BTLR
BTLRL 66-98
+5.5
15
vsUIC
UICL 63-67
−26.5
18
@MINN
MINNL 54-66
−24.5
20
@IOWA
IOWAL 54-93
+4.5
25
@PFW
PFWL 77-90
+17.5
28
@YSU
YSUL 64-87
+4.5
6
@ILST
ILSTL 53-95
+3.5
14
@LUC
LUCW 84-75
+18.5
16
@BGSU
BGSUL 55-76
−17.5
over 8under 3avg +3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Indiana
11 games played
Straight up
8-3
73% wins
Against the spread
6-5
55% covers · avg +2.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-5
55% overs · avg −2.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs AAMU | W 98-51 | -30.5 | W +16.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 9 | vs MARQ | W 100-77 | -3.5 | W +19.5 | 156.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 12 | vs MILW | W 101-70 | -24.5 | W +6.5 | 165.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 16 | vs UIW | W 69-61 | -28.5 | L −20.5 | 157.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 20 | vs LIN | W 73-53 | -32.5 | L −12.5 | 155.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 25 | vs KSU | W 86-69 | -10.5 | W +6.5 | 164.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 29 | vs BCU | W 100-56 | -29.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 3 | @MINN | L 64-73 | -7.5 | L −16.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | vs LOU | L 78-87 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 9 | vs PSU | W 113-72 | -14.5 | W +26.5 | 152.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 13 | @ UK | L 60-72 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsAAMU
AAMUW 98-51
+16.5
9
vsMARQ
MARQW 100-77
+19.5
12
vsMILW
MILWW 101-70
+6.5
16
vsUIW
UIWW 69-61
−20.5
20
vsLIN
LINW 73-53
−12.5
25
vsKSU
KSUW 86-69
+6.5
29
vsBCU
BCUW 100-56
+14.5
3
@MINN
MINNL 64-73
−16.5
6
vsLOU
LOUL 78-87
−5.5
9
vsPSU
PSUW 113-72
+26.5
13
@UK
UKL 60-72
−8.5
covered 6didn’t cover 5avg +2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsAAMU
AAMUW 98-51
+1.5
9
vsMARQ
MARQW 100-77
+20.5
12
vsMILW
MILWW 101-70
+5.5
16
vsUIW
UIWW 69-61
−27.5
20
vsLIN
LINW 73-53
−29.5
25
vsKSU
KSUW 86-69
−9.5
29
vsBCU
BCUW 100-56
+7.5
3
@MINN
MINNL 64-73
−7.5
6
vsLOU
LOUL 78-87
+2.5
9
vsPSU
PSUW 113-72
+32.5
13
@UK
UKL 60-72
−24.5
over 6under 5avg −2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Chicago St
1-10 overall · 0-0 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Bowling Green55–76
- W@ Loyola Chicago84–75
- L@ Illinois St53–95
- L@ Youngstown St64–87
- L@ Purdue FW77–90
4 days since their last game.
Indiana
8-3 overall · 1-1 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Kentucky60–72
- Wvs Penn State113–72
- Lvs Louisville78–87
- L@ Minnesota64–73
- Wvs Bethune100–56
A week or more of rest.