UW-Milwaukee Panther Arena · at Milwaukee
Closing line
MILW -2.5✓ INST covered by 4.5
MILW -2.5✓ INST covered by 4.5Closing total159.5Under by 21.5
 INST | This season | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| 4-4 | Record | 3-5 |
| 5-3 | ATS | 2-6 |
| 3-5 | O/U | 5-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: INST 79–81 MILW · ✗ MILW (56%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| INST | 36 | 34 | 70 |
| MILW | 39 | 29 | 68 |
1st half: INST 36, MILW 39 (MILW by 3). The model had MILW by 0.9 and a total of 74.7 (actual 75).
Team stats
| INST | MILW | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-52 56% | Field goals | 24-67 36% |
| 8-24 33% | 3-pointers | 5-26 19% |
| 4-6 67% | Free throws | 15-19 79% |
| 34 5 off | Rebounds | 36 16 off |
| 19 | Assists | 11 |
| 2 | Steals | 11 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 17 | Fouls | 12 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 19 | Fast-break points | 16 |
Players
| INST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camp Wagner G | 33 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 6-10 | 4-7 |
| Xavier Hall G | 29 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 5-7 | 0-1 |
| Sterling Young G | 26 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 4-11 | 2-6 |
| Derek Vorst C | 25 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Ian Scott F | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jo Van Buggenhout G | 27 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 5-9 | 1-5 |
| Enel St. Bernard F | 23 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bruno Alocen G | 22 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Jayan Walker F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Sivert Waerstad Nordheim G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Martin Kaupanger, Caden Huttenlocker, Cooper Bean, Hunter Harding, Zyair Greene, Markus Harding
| MILW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danilo Jovanovich F | 33 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 7-11 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Dorceus G | 31 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2-10 | 1-5 |
| Esyah Pippa-White G | 25 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Faizon Fields F | 24 | 16 | 8 | 1 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Amar Augillard G | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-10 | 0-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Stevie Elam G | 23 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 4-8 | 4-8 |
| Josh Dixon G | 21 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| Sekou Konneh F | 14 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-2 |
| Aaron Franklin G | 13 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Tate Mackenzie, Chandler Jackson, Ned Renfree, Austin Villarreal, Seth Hubbard, John Lovelace Jr., Simeon Murchison
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMILW -4.5
2 → INST
CloseMILW -2.5
2 pts toward INST
Total
Open154.5
▲ 5
Close159.5
Up 5 since the open
Moneyline
INST +120 · MILW -142
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MILW -4.5 · closed MILW -2.5 · moved 2 toward INSTmodel MILW -1.5
model MILW -1.5
Opened 154.5 · closed 159.5 · moved 5 upmodel 159.5 matches the line
model 159.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MILW -2.5 | MILW -1.7 | INST +0.8 | W INST covered |
| Total | 159.5 | 159.6 | Over 0.1 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | INST 78.9 · MILW 80.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MILW -0.9 | MILW -3.0 |
| 1H total | 74.7 | 75 |
| 1H projected score | INST 36.9 · MILW 37.8 | INST 36 · MILW 39 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| INSTlast 8 | 4-4 50% | 5-3 63% | 3-5 38% |
| MILWlast 8 | 3-5 38% | 2-6 25% | 5-3 63% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Indiana St
8 games played
Straight up
4-4
50% wins
Against the spread
5-3
63% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-5
38% overs · avg −14.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CLT | L 76-92 | +4.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 10 | @ SIUE | W 64-55 | +2.5 | W +11.5 | 159.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 14 | @ DUKE | L 62-100 | +37.5 | L −0.5 | 163.5 | U 162 |
| Nov 19 | vs LT | W 60-51 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | U 111 |
| Nov 22 | vs BALL | W 70-52 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 154.5 | U 122 |
| Nov 26 | @LT | L 73-75 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs ALCN | L 74-81 | -12.5 | L −19.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 7 | vs USI | W 77-55 | -11.5 | W +10.5 | 158.5 | U 132 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CLT
CLTL 76-92
−11.5
10
@SIUE
SIUEW 64-55
+11.5
14
@DUKE
DUKEL 62-100
−0.5
19
vsLT
LTW 60-51
+5.5
22
vsBALL
BALLW 70-52
+10.5
26
@LT
LTL 73-75
+0.5
28
vsALCN
ALCNL 74-81
−19.5
7
vsUSI
USIW 77-55
+10.5
covered 5didn’t cover 3avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CLT
CLTL 76-92
+15.5
10
@SIUE
SIUEW 64-55
−40.5
14
@DUKE
DUKEL 62-100
−1.5
19
vsLT
LTW 60-51
−36.5
22
vsBALL
BALLW 70-52
−32.5
26
@LT
LTL 73-75
+6.5
28
vsALCN
ALCNL 74-81
+2.5
7
vsUSI
USIW 77-55
−26.5
over 3under 5avg −14.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Milwaukee
8 games played
Straight up
3-5
38% wins
Against the spread
2-6
25% covers · avg −1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-3
63% overs · avg +2.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs HAMP | W 90-86 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 8 | @ WOF | L 76-86 | -3.5 | L −13.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 10 | vs LR | W 92-72 | -3.5 | W +16.5 | 156.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 12 | @ IU | L 70-101 | +24.5 | L −6.5 | 165.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 14 | @ TTU | L 63-80 | +27.5 | W +10.5 | 165.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 22 | @ WICH | L 58-75 | +10.5 | L −6.5 | 158.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | @ AKR | L 81-105 | +12.5 | L −11.5 | 166.5 | O 186 |
| Dec 6 | vs RMU | W 74-72 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsHAMP
HAMPW 90-86
−1.5
8
@WOF
WOFL 76-86
−13.5
10
vsLR
LRW 92-72
+16.5
12
@IU
IUL 70-101
−6.5
14
@TTU
TTUL 63-80
+10.5
22
@WICH
WICHL 58-75
−6.5
29
@AKR
AKRL 81-105
−11.5
6
vsRMU
RMUW 74-72
−2.5
covered 2didn’t cover 6avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsHAMP
HAMPW 90-86
+29.5
8
@WOF
WOFL 76-86
+11.5
10
vsLR
LRW 92-72
+7.5
12
@IU
IUL 70-101
+5.5
14
@TTU
TTUL 63-80
−22.5
22
@WICH
WICHL 58-75
−25.5
29
@AKR
AKRL 81-105
+19.5
6
vsRMU
RMUW 74-72
−7.5
over 5under 3avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Indiana St
4-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles77–55
- Lvs Alcorn St74–81
- L@ Louisiana Tech73–75
- Wvs Ball State70–52
- Wvs Louisiana Tech60–51
A week or more of rest.
Milwaukee
3-5 overall · 1-0 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Robert Morris74–72
- L@ Akron81–105
- L@ Wichita St58–75
- L@ Texas Tech63–80
- L@ Indiana70–101
A week or more of rest.