Williams Arena at Minges Coliseum · at East Carolina
Closing line
ECU -4.5✓ APP covered by 17.5
ECU -4.5✓ APP covered by 17.5Closing total130.5Under by 9.5
 APP | This season | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| 3-5 | Record | 2-6 |
| 4-4 | ATS | 1-7 |
| 2-6 | O/U | 4-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: APP 67–72 ECU · ✗ ECU (67%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| APP | 33 | 34 | 67 |
| ECU | 17 | 37 | 54 |
1st half: APP 33, ECU 17 (APP by 16). The model had ECU by 2.8 and a total of 65.1 (actual 50).
Team stats
| APP | ECU | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-57 47% | Field goals | 22-62 35% |
| 5-21 24% | 3-pointers | 4-20 20% |
| 8-12 67% | Free throws | 6-12 50% |
| 41 12 off | Rebounds | 32 13 off |
| 9 | Assists | 12 |
| 5 | Steals | 9 |
| 5 | Blocks | 5 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| APP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kasen Jennings G | 36 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 6-12 | 3-6 |
| Alonzo Dodd G | 34 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8-16 | 1-4 |
| Luke Wilson C | 33 | 14 | 10 | 0 | 7-9 | 0-0 |
| Eren Banks G | 29 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2-10 | 0-6 |
| Michael Marcus Jr. F | 22 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jason Clarke Jr. G | 21 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Chad Moodie F | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Andrin Njock F | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jacari Brim G | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Brewer Carruth, Dalyn Brandon, Cameron O'Kelley, Luke Ledford, KJ Vasser, Ted Neal, Tre McKinnon, Jalen Tot, Grant Clayton
| ECU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Riley G | 37 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 10-23 | 0-2 |
| Giovanni Emejuru C | 30 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Corey Caulker G | 27 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1-7 | 0-5 |
| Vito Perkovic F | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-7 | 1-4 |
| Jayshayne Woodard F | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Luke Davis F | 28 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Mbeng G | 24 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Tybo Bailey G | 18 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Patrick D'Arcy G | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Reid Cason F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Trevion LaBeaux, Ladontae Felton, Daithi Quinn, Jake Baker, Grant Smith, Eli DeLaurier
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketECU -4.5
ModelECU -4.9
Model edgeECU +0.4
L APP covered
Total
Market130.5
Model138.8
Model edgeOver 8.3
L Under
Projected score
APP 67 · ECU 71.9
APP 67 · ECU 54
Win probability
ECU 67%
1st half
Spread
ECU -2.8
APP -16.0
Total
65.1
50 points
Projected score
APP 31.1 · ECU 34
APP 33 · ECU 17
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenECU -5.5
1 → APP
CloseECU -4.5
1 pt toward APP
Total
Open133.5
▼ 3
Close130.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
APP +164 · ECU -198
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ECU -5.5 · closed ECU -4.5 · moved 1 toward APPmodel ECU -5
model ECU -5
Opened 133.5 · closed 130.5 · moved 3 downmodel 139
model 139
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| APPlast 8 | 3-5 38% | 4-4 50% | 2-6 25% |
| ECUlast 8 | 2-6 25% | 1-7 13% | 4-4 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
App State
8 games played
Straight up
3-5
38% wins
Against the spread
4-4
50% covers · avg −5.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-6
25% overs · avg −2.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CMU | L 66-82 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 9 | vs NCCU | W 76-54 | -10.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 11 | @ OSU | L 53-75 | +23.5 | W +1.5 | 147.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 16 | @ DART | W 85-77 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 21 | vs CLT | W 65-63 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 132.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 24 | vs ELON | L 53-88 | -5.5 | L −40.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 26 | @ MER | L 67-75 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 30 | vs UNCA | L 55-67 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 137.5 | U 122 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CMU
CMUL 66-82
−14.5
9
vsNCCU
NCCUW 76-54
+11.5
11
@OSU
OSUL 53-75
+1.5
16
@DART
DARTW 85-77
+6.5
21
vsCLT
CLTW 65-63
+0.5
24
vsELON
ELONL 53-88
−40.5
26
@MER
MERL 67-75
−1.5
30
vsUNCA
UNCAL 55-67
−10.5
covered 4didn’t cover 4avg −5.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CMU
CMUL 66-82
+5.5
9
vsNCCU
NCCUW 76-54
−6.5
11
@OSU
OSUL 53-75
−19.5
16
@DART
DARTW 85-77
+21.5
21
vsCLT
CLTW 65-63
−4.5
24
vsELON
ELONL 53-88
−2.5
26
@MER
MERL 67-75
−0.5
30
vsUNCA
UNCAL 55-67
−15.5
over 2under 6avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
East Carolina
8 games played
Straight up
2-6
25% wins
Against the spread
1-7
13% covers · avg −10 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-4
50% overs · avg +3.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs GASO | W 92-89 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | O 181 |
| Nov 8 | @ RICH | L 72-87 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 18 | @ UNCW | L 60-85 | +6.5 | L −18.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 21 | vs CHSO | L 65-77 | -13.5 | L −25.5 | 157.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 25 | vs MSU | L 56-89 | +19.5 | L −13.5 | 140.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 27 | vs SBU | L 58-67 | +10.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 2 | vs UMES | W 68-56 | -12.5 | L −0.5 | 127.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 6 | vs UNCG | L 78-82 | -7.5 | L −11.5 | 139.5 | O 160 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsGASO
GASOW 92-89
−2.5
8
@RICH
RICHL 72-87
−9.5
18
@UNCW
UNCWL 60-85
−18.5
21
vsCHSO
CHSOL 65-77
−25.5
25
vsMSU
MSUL 56-89
−13.5
27
vsSBU
SBUL 58-67
+1.5
2
vsUMES
UMESW 68-56
−0.5
6
vsUNCG
UNCGL 78-82
−11.5
covered 1didn’t cover 7avg −10 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsGASO
GASOW 92-89
+29.5
8
@RICH
RICHL 72-87
+15.5
18
@UNCW
UNCWL 60-85
−0.5
21
vsCHSO
CHSOL 65-77
−15.5
25
vsMSU
MSUL 56-89
+4.5
27
vsSBU
SBUL 58-67
−19.5
2
vsUMES
UMESW 68-56
−3.5
6
vsUNCG
UNCGL 78-82
+20.5
over 4under 4avg +3.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
App State
3-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs UNC Asheville55–67
- L@ Mercer67–75
- Lvs Elon53–88
- Wvs Charlotte65–63
- W@ Dartmouth85–77
A week or more of rest.
East Carolina
2-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs UNC Greensboro78–82
- Wvs MD Eastern68–56
- Lvs St Bonaventure58–67
- Lvs Michigan St56–89
- Lvs Charleston So65–77
5 days since their last game.