United Supermarkets Arena · at Texas Tech
Closing line
TTU -17.5✓ TTU covered by 12.5
TTU -17.5✓ TTU covered by 12.5Closing total163.5Under by 19.5
 WIN | This season | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| 5-6 | Record | 9-3 |
| 7-4 | ATS | 4-8 |
| 6-5 | O/U | 6-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WIN 72–91 TTU · ✓ TTU (95%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | 21 | 36 | 57 |
| TTU | 59 | 28 | 87 |
1st half: WIN 21, TTU 59 (TTU by 38). The model had TTU by 11.2 and a total of 76.3 (actual 80).
Team stats
| WIN | TTU | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-60 32% | Field goals | 27-54 50% |
| 4-25 16% | 3-pointers | 10-26 38% |
| 15-23 65% | Free throws | 23-26 88% |
| 34 16 off | Rebounds | 38 9 off |
| 8 | Assists | 14 |
| 11 | Steals | 8 |
| 0 | Blocks | 5 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 22 | Fouls | 19 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| WIN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daylen Berry G | 28 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2-8 | 1-5 |
| Logan Duncomb C | 28 | 11 | 9 | 0 | 4-13 | 0-0 |
| Kareem Rozier G | 28 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 4-9 | 1-6 |
| Tommy Kamarad F | 26 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-3 |
| Kody Clouet G | 21 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Seifeldin Hendawy G | 21 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Pharrell Boyogueno G | 16 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Isaiah Wilson G | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Ed Nnamoko F | 10 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Josh Meo G | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Tai Hamilton F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Henry Harrison, Braylhan Thomas, Cam Christy, Kaleb Evans
| TTU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Anderson G | 37 | 29 | 6 | 5 | 8-13 | 4-9 |
| Donovan Atwell G | 36 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 4-11 | 4-9 |
| JT Toppin F | 33 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 6-14 | 0-2 |
| Jaylen Petty G | 32 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 6-8 | 2-4 |
| LeJuan Watts G | 22 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Leon Horner G | 18 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Nolan Groves G | 16 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jazz Henderson Jr. G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jack Francis G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Josiah Moseley, Tyeree Bryan, Luke Bamgboye, Marial Akuentok, LaTrell Hoover
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketTTU -17.5
ModelTTU -18.9
Model edgeTTU +1.4
W TTU covered
Total
Market163.5
Model163.1
Model edgeUnder 0.4
W Under
Projected score
WIN 72.1 · TTU 91
WIN 57 · TTU 87
Win probability
TTU 95%
1st half
Spread
TTU -11.2
TTU -38.0
Total
76.3
80 points
Projected score
WIN 32.6 · TTU 43.8
WIN 21 · TTU 59
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTTU -17.5
no move
CloseTTU -17.5
No change since the open
Total
Open167.5
▼ 4
Close163.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
WIN +1300 · TTU -2800
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TTU -17.5 · unchangedmodel TTU -19
model TTU -19
Opened 167.5 · closed 163.5 · moved 4 downmodel 163
model 163
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
| TTU | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Winthrop
11 games played
Straight up
5-6
45% wins
Against the spread
7-4
64% covers · avg +3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-5
55% overs · avg +6.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs QUC | W 81-74 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 163.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 7 | @ GMU | L 90-96 | +9.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | O 186 |
| Nov 11 | @ CCU | L 66-72 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 165.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 15 | vs MER | W 105-69 | -2.5 | W +33.5 | 162.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 18 | @ ARK | L 83-84 | +23.5 | W +22.5 | 168.5 | U 167 |
| Nov 23 | @ JKST | W 80-62 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 163.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 25 | @ NEB | L 73-80 | +14.5 | W +7.5 | 166.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 29 | vs SCST | W 101-79 | -20.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 2 | @ LIU | W 94-92 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 186 |
| Dec 6 | vsCCU | L 84-88 | -16.5 | L −20.5 | 153.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 18 | @ UND | L 88-90 | -12.5 | L −14.5 | 157.5 | O 178 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsQUC
QUCW 81-74
+3.5
7
@GMU
GMUL 90-96
+3.5
11
@CCU
CCUL 66-72
−8.5
15
vsMER
MERW 105-69
+33.5
18
@ARK
ARKL 83-84
+22.5
23
@JKST
JKSTW 80-62
+7.5
25
@NEB
NEBL 73-80
+7.5
29
vsSCST
SCSTW 101-79
+1.5
2
@LIU
LIUW 94-92
−3.5
6
vsCCU
CCUL 84-88
−20.5
18
@UND
UNDL 88-90
−14.5
covered 7didn’t cover 4avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsQUC
QUCW 81-74
−8.5
7
@GMU
GMUL 90-96
+39.5
11
@CCU
CCUL 66-72
−27.5
15
vsMER
MERW 105-69
+11.5
18
@ARK
ARKL 83-84
−1.5
23
@JKST
JKSTW 80-62
−21.5
25
@NEB
NEBL 73-80
−13.5
29
vsSCST
SCSTW 101-79
+22.5
2
@LIU
LIUW 94-92
+32.5
6
vsCCU
CCUL 84-88
+18.5
18
@UND
UNDL 88-90
+20.5
over 6under 5avg +6.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Texas Tech
12 games played
Straight up
9-3
75% wins
Against the spread
4-8
33% covers · avg −4.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-6
50% overs · avg +1.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs LIN | W 98-60 | -29.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 7 | vs SHSU | W 98-77 | -31.5 | L −10.5 | 156.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 11 | @ ILL | L 77-81 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 168.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 14 | vs MILW | W 80-63 | -27.5 | L −10.5 | 165.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 20 | vs WAKE | W 84-83 | -9.5 | L −8.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 21 | vs PUR | L 56-86 | +3.5 | L −26.5 | 153.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 26 | vs NOLA | W 82-50 | -29.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 30 | vs WYO | W 76-72 | -19.5 | L −15.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 7 | vs LSU | W 82-58 | -5.5 | W +18.5 | 154.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | vsARK | L 86-93 | -2.5 | L −9.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 16 | vs UNCO | W 101-90 | -25.5 | L −14.5 | 152.5 | O 191 |
| Dec 20 | vs DUKE | W 82-81 | +9.5 | W +10.5 | 152.5 | O 163 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsLIN
LINW 98-60
+8.5
7
vsSHSU
SHSUW 98-77
−10.5
11
@ILL
ILLL 77-81
−0.5
14
vsMILW
MILWW 80-63
−10.5
20
vsWAKE
WAKEW 84-83
−8.5
21
vsPUR
PURL 56-86
−26.5
26
vsNOLA
NOLAW 82-50
+2.5
30
vsWYO
WYOW 76-72
−15.5
7
vsLSU
LSUW 82-58
+18.5
13
vsARK
ARKL 86-93
−9.5
16
vsUNCO
UNCOW 101-90
−14.5
20
vsDUKE
DUKEW 82-81
+10.5
covered 4didn’t cover 8avg −4.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsLIN
LINW 98-60
+11.5
7
vsSHSU
SHSUW 98-77
+18.5
11
@ILL
ILLL 77-81
−10.5
14
vsMILW
MILWW 80-63
−22.5
20
vsWAKE
WAKEW 84-83
+6.5
21
vsPUR
PURL 56-86
−11.5
26
vsNOLA
NOLAW 82-50
−25.5
30
vsWYO
WYOW 76-72
−4.5
7
vsLSU
LSUW 82-58
−14.5
13
vsARK
ARKL 86-93
+23.5
16
vsUNCO
UNCOW 101-90
+38.5
20
vsDUKE
DUKEW 82-81
+10.5
over 6under 6avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Winthrop
5-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ North Dakota88–90
- Lvs Coastal84–88
- W@ Long Island94–92
- Wvs SC State101–79
- L@ Nebraska73–80
A week or more of rest.
Texas Tech
9-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Duke82–81
- Wvs N Colorado101–90
- Lvs Arkansas86–93
- Wvs LSU82–58
- Wvs Wyoming76–72
A week or more of rest.