CU Events Center · at Colorado
Closing line
COLO -22.5✓ COLO covered by 1.5
COLO -22.5✓ COLO covered by 1.5Closing total154.5Under by 2.5
 UTSA | This season | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| 2-5 | Record | 8-1 |
| 2-5 | ATS | 5-4 |
| 2-5 | O/U | 6-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UTSA 68–89 COLO · ✓ COLO (96%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTSA | 32 | 32 | 64 |
| COLO | 35 | 53 | 88 |
1st half: UTSA 32, COLO 35 (COLO by 3). The model had COLO by 12.2 and a total of 73.4 (actual 67).
Team stats
| UTSA | COLO | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-64 39% | Field goals | 34-69 49% |
| 6-18 33% | 3-pointers | 9-23 39% |
| 8-16 50% | Free throws | 11-17 65% |
| 34 14 off | Rebounds | 46 17 off |
| 14 | Assists | 21 |
| 6 | Steals | 6 |
| 5 | Blocks | 5 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 20 | Fouls | 14 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 23 |
Players
| UTSA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamir Simpson G | 34 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 8-16 | 2-3 |
| Austin Nunez G | 25 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| Kaidon Rayfield F | 25 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 3-11 | 1-3 |
| Dorian Hayes G | 21 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-5 |
| Matheo Coffi F | 18 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Brent Moss G | 21 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4-9 | 2-4 |
| Daniel Akitoby F | 21 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Baboucarr Njie F | 17 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Macaleab Rich G | 15 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Mo Njie C | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Stanley Borden, Jackson Fazande, Vasean Allette, LJ Brown, Pierce Spencer
| COLO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrington Hargress G | 26 | 23 | 3 | 3 | 9-12 | 5-7 |
| Bangot Dak F | 22 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| Sebastian Rancik F | 21 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6-12 | 2-4 |
| Felix Kossaras G | 20 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Elijah Malone C | 16 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaiah Johnson G | 24 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 3-8 | 0-3 |
| Alon Michaeli F | 20 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-1 |
| Jalin Holland G | 18 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Josiah Sanders G | 17 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Tacko Ifaola C | 8 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Ian Inman G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Andrew Crawford F | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Nick Randall, Jon Mani, Leonardo Van Elswyk
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketCOLO -22.5
ModelCOLO -20.4
Model edgeUTSA +2.1
L COLO covered
Total
Market154.5
Model156.9
Model edgeOver 2.4
L Under
Projected score
UTSA 68.2 · COLO 88.7
UTSA 64 · COLO 88
Win probability
COLO 96%
1st half
Spread
COLO -12.2
COLO -3.0
Total
73.4
67 points
Projected score
UTSA 30.6 · COLO 42.8
UTSA 32 · COLO 35
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCOLO -21.5
1 → COLO
CloseCOLO -22.5
1 pt toward COLO
Total
Open153.5
▲ 1
Close154.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
UTSA +2200 · COLO -8000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened COLO -21.5 · closed COLO -22.5 · moved 1 toward COLOmodel COLO -20.5
model COLO -20.5
Opened 153.5 · closed 154.5 · moved 1 upmodel 157
model 157
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTSAlast 7 | 2-5 29% | 2-5 29% | 2-5 29% |
| COLOlast 9 | 8-1 89% | 5-4 56% | 6-3 67% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UTSA
7 games played
Straight up
2-5
29% wins
Against the spread
2-5
29% covers · avg −6.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-5
29% overs · avg −10.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vs
SIUE
SIUEL 60-77
−23.5
12
@
TXST
TXSTL 69-80
−8.5
15
@
DEN
DENW 84-79
+9.5
24
vs
ACU
ACUL 50-61
−8.5
25
vs
GASO
GASOW 77-64
+16.5
30
vs
USA
USAL 58-82
−22.5
7
@
ALA
ALAL 55-97
−8.5
covered 2didn’t cover 5avg −6.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsSIUE
SIUEL 60-77
−16.5
12
@TXST
TXSTL 69-80
+1.5
15
@DEN
DENW 84-79
+14.5
24
vsACU
ACUL 50-61
−33.5
25
vsGASO
GASOW 77-64
−19.5
30
vsUSA
USAL 58-82
−1.5
7
@ALA
ALAL 55-97
−19.5
over 2under 5avg −10.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Colorado
9 games played
Straight up
8-1
89% wins
Against the spread
5-4
56% covers · avg +1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-3
67% overs · avg +14.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MTST | W 84-78 | -11.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 8 | vs EWU | W 102-97 | -16.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 14 | vs PROV | W 97-88 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 163.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 17 | vs ALST | W 94-66 | -22.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 21 | vs UCD | W 95-79 | -14.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 27 | vs SF | W 79-69 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs WASH | W 81-68 | +2.5 | W +15.5 | 151.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 1 | vs CBU | W 78-70 | -13.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 6 | @ CSU | L 86-91 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | O 177 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-78
−5.5
8
vsEWU
EWUW 102-97
−11.5
14
vsPROV
PROVW 97-88
+7.5
17
vsALST
ALSTW 94-66
+5.5
21
vsUCD
UCDW 95-79
+1.5
27
vsSF
SFW 79-69
+11.5
28
vsWASH
WASHW 81-68
+15.5
1
vsCBU
CBUW 78-70
−5.5
6
@CSU
CSUL 86-91
−3.5
covered 5didn’t cover 4avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-78
+13.5
8
vsEWU
EWUW 102-97
+46.5
14
vsPROV
PROVW 97-88
+21.5
17
vsALST
ALSTW 94-66
+3.5
21
vsUCD
UCDW 95-79
+21.5
27
vsSF
SFW 79-69
−2.5
28
vsWASH
WASHW 81-68
−2.5
1
vsCBU
CBUW 78-70
−2.5
6
@CSU
CSUL 86-91
+27.5
over 6under 3avg +14.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UTSA
2-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Alabama55–97
- Lvs South Alabama58–82
- Wvs GA Southern77–64
- Lvs Abilene Chrstn50–61
- W@ Denver84–79
6 days since their last game.
Colorado
8-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Colorado St86–91
- Wvs CA Baptist78–70
- Wvs Washington81–68
- Wvs San Francisco79–69
- Wvs UC Davis95–79
A week or more of rest.