Moby Arena · at Colorado St
Closing line
CSU -1.5✓ CSU covered by 3.5
CSU -1.5✓ CSU covered by 3.5Closing total149.5Over by 27.5
 COLO | This season | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| 8-0 | Record | 6-2 |
| 5-3 | ATS | 6-2 |
| 5-3 | O/U | 5-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: COLO 78–78 CSU · ✓ CSU (52%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| COLO | 41 | 45 | 86 |
| CSU | 48 | 43 | 91 |
1st half: COLO 41, CSU 48 (CSU by 7). The model had CSU by 0.2 and a total of 73.1 (actual 89).
Team stats
| COLO | CSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 36-58 62% | Field goals | 30-56 54% |
| 7-19 37% | 3-pointers | 18-35 51% |
| 7-13 54% | Free throws | 13-17 76% |
| 26 5 off | Rebounds | 26 6 off |
| 13 | Assists | 15 |
| 8 | Steals | 5 |
| 3 | Blocks | 1 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 16 | Fouls | 12 |
| 56 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| COLO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bangot Dak F | 32 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6-9 | 0-2 |
| Sebastian Rancik F | 27 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 5-8 | 0-2 |
| Felix Kossaras G | 26 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Barrington Hargress G | 25 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 3-7 | 1-1 |
| Elijah Malone C | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaiah Johnson G | 29 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 7-11 | 2-4 |
| Alon Michaeli F | 24 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 8-12 | 3-5 |
| Jalin Holland G | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Josiah Sanders G | 12 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Leonardo Van Elswyk, Tacko Ifaola, Jon Mani, Nick Randall, Ian Inman, Andrew Crawford
| CSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jevin Muniz G | 32 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 4-9 | 1-3 |
| Kyle Jorgensen F | 32 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 7-10 | 3-6 |
| Josh Pascarelli G | 32 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 9-13 | 8-10 |
| Carey Booth F | 27 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Brandon Rechsteiner G | 27 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4-10 | 3-8 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jase Butler G | 22 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3-5 | 2-4 |
| Augustinas Kiudulas F | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Nikola Djapa C | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jojo McIver G | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Darnez Slater, Docker Tedeschi, Charlie Dortch, Jon Mekonnen, Rashaan Mbemba
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketCSU -1.5
ModelCSU -0.6
Model edgeCOLO +0.9
L CSU covered
Total
Market149.5
Model156.2
Model edgeOver 6.7
W Over
Projected score
COLO 77.8 · CSU 78.4
COLO 86 · CSU 91
Win probability
CSU 52%
1st half
Spread
CSU -0.2
CSU -7.0
Total
73.1
89 points
Projected score
COLO 36.4 · CSU 36.6
COLO 41 · CSU 48
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCSU -2.5
1 → COLO
CloseCSU -1.5
1 pt toward COLO
Total
Open152.5
▼ 3
Close149.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
COLO +110 · CSU -130
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CSU -2.5 · closed CSU -1.5 · moved 1 toward COLOmodel CSU -0.5
model CSU -0.5
Opened 152.5 · closed 149.5 · moved 3 downmodel 156
model 156
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| COLOlast 8 | 8-0 100% | 5-3 63% | 5-3 63% |
| CSUlast 8 | 6-2 75% | 6-2 75% | 5-3 63% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
COLO 2–1 CSUCOLO leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · COLO 2-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024-25 | CSU 55 @ COLO 72 | COLO -2.5 | COLO W |
| Nov 29, 2023-24 | COLO 83 @ CSU 88 | CSU -3.5 | CSU W |
| Dec 8, 2022-23 | CSU 65 @ COLO 93 | COLO -3.5 | COLO W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Colorado
8 games played
Straight up
8-0
100% wins
Against the spread
5-3
63% covers · avg +2.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-3
63% overs · avg +12.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MTST | W 84-78 | -11.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 8 | vs EWU | W 102-97 | -16.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 14 | vs PROV | W 97-88 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 163.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 17 | vs ALST | W 94-66 | -22.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 21 | vs UCD | W 95-79 | -14.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 27 | vs SF | W 79-69 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs WASH | W 81-68 | +2.5 | W +15.5 | 151.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 1 | vs CBU | W 78-70 | -13.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-78
−5.5
8
vsEWU
EWUW 102-97
−11.5
14
vsPROV
PROVW 97-88
+7.5
17
vsALST
ALSTW 94-66
+5.5
21
vsUCD
UCDW 95-79
+1.5
27
vsSF
SFW 79-69
+11.5
28
vsWASH
WASHW 81-68
+15.5
1
vsCBU
CBUW 78-70
−5.5
covered 5didn’t cover 3avg +2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-78
+13.5
8
vsEWU
EWUW 102-97
+46.5
14
vsPROV
PROVW 97-88
+21.5
17
vsALST
ALSTW 94-66
+3.5
21
vsUCD
UCDW 95-79
+21.5
27
vsSF
SFW 79-69
−2.5
28
vsWASH
WASHW 81-68
−2.5
1
vsCBU
CBUW 78-70
−2.5
over 5under 3avg +12.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Colorado St
8 games played
Straight up
6-2
75% wins
Against the spread
6-2
75% covers · avg +5.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-3
63% overs · avg +3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UIW | W 98-64 | -10.5 | W +23.5 | 147.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 9 | vs OMA | W 97-74 | -14.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 12 | vs CP | W 93-79 | -18.5 | L −4.5 | 165.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 16 | @ LUC | W 80-67 | -3.5 | W +9.5 | 151.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 21 | vs DEN | L 81-83 | -18.5 | L −20.5 | 149.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | vs VT | L 64-66 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 27 | vs WICH | W 76-70 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 28 | vs USF | W 83-68 | +2.5 | W +17.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUIW
UIWW 98-64
+23.5
9
vsOMA
OMAW 97-74
+8.5
12
vsCP
CPW 93-79
−4.5
16
@LUC
LUCW 80-67
+9.5
21
vsDEN
DENL 81-83
−20.5
26
vsVT
VTL 64-66
+2.5
27
vsWICH
WICHW 76-70
+4.5
28
vsUSF
USFW 83-68
+17.5
covered 6didn’t cover 2avg +5.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUIW
UIWW 98-64
+14.5
9
vsOMA
OMAW 97-74
+17.5
12
vsCP
CPW 93-79
+6.5
16
@LUC
LUCW 80-67
−4.5
21
vsDEN
DENL 81-83
+14.5
26
vsVT
VTL 64-66
−23.5
27
vsWICH
WICHW 76-70
+3.5
28
vsUSF
USFW 83-68
−4.5
over 5under 3avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Colorado
8-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs CA Baptist78–70
- Wvs Washington81–68
- Wvs San Francisco79–69
- Wvs UC Davis95–79
- Wvs Alabama St94–66
5 days since their last game.
Colorado St
6-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs South Florida83–68
- Wvs Wichita St76–70
- Lvs Virginia Tech64–66
- Lvs Denver81–83
- W@ Loyola Chicago80–67
A week or more of rest.