Swinney Center · at Kansas City · Conference game
Closing line
OMA -4.5✓ OMA covered by 12.5
OMA -4.5✓ OMA covered by 12.5Closing total148.5Under by 11.5
| OMA | This season | KC |
|---|---|---|
| 5-12 | Record | 1-16 |
| 6-11 | ATS | 5-12 |
| 9-8 | O/U | 10-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: OMA 76–73 KC · ✓ OMA (62%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| OMA | 44 | 33 | 77 |
| KC | 34 | 26 | 60 |
1st half: OMA 44, KC 34 (OMA by 10). The model had OMA by 2.2 and a total of 69.9 (actual 78).
Team stats
| OMA | KC | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-60 45% | Field goals | 22-60 37% |
| 8-25 32% | 3-pointers | 8-31 26% |
| 15-22 68% | Free throws | 8-15 53% |
| 44 13 off | Rebounds | 29 9 off |
| 13 | Assists | 12 |
| 7 | Steals | 5 |
| 2 | Blocks | 6 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 15 | Fouls | 19 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 14 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| OMA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Osburn G | 36 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4-10 | 4-10 |
| Paul Djobet F | 31 | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8-14 | 1-3 |
| Lance Waddles G | 28 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1-8 | 1-5 |
| Grant Stubblefield G | 28 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 5-6 | 0-1 |
| Christian Richardson C | 24 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kamryn Thomas F | 23 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 2-7 | 1-3 |
| Ja'Sean Glover G | 16 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Brock Scholl F | 11 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Valentino Simon F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Aidan Skradis G | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Khamani Cooper G | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Rob Matos, Isaac Ondekane, Deng Mayar, Benji Nelson, Julian Margrave
| KC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Dockery F | 32 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 4-7 | 2-3 |
| CJ Evans G | 27 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 3-8 | 0-3 |
| Jayson Petty G | 23 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 4-11 | 1-6 |
| Karmello Branch G | 23 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-6 | 1-4 |
| Addarin Scott F | 21 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kasheem Grady II G | 28 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 4-10 | 2-6 |
| Jamaria Clark G | 19 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Trey Booker-Lowery G | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Jerome Palm F | 9 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Baba Mbengue C | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kernan Bundy, Cory Curtis Jr., Max Sims, D'Andre Harrison, Jason Hilliard
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketOMA -4.5
ModelOMA -3.5
Model edgeKC +1.0
L OMA covered
Total
Market148.5
Model149.3
Model edgeOver 0.8
L Under
Projected score
OMA 76.3 · KC 72.9
OMA 77 · KC 60
Win probability
OMA 62%
1st half
Spread
OMA -2.2
OMA -10.0
Total
69.9
78 points
Projected score
OMA 36 · KC 33.9
OMA 44 · KC 34
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenOMA -3.5
1 → OMA
CloseOMA -4.5
1 pt toward OMA
Total
Open149.5
▼ 1
Close148.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
OMA -185 · KC +154
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened OMA -3.5 · closed OMA -4.5 · moved 1 toward OMAmodel OMA -3.5
model OMA -3.5
Opened 149.5 · closed 148.5 · moved 1 downmodel 149.5
model 149.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| OMA | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
| KC | 1-9 10% | 4-6 40% | 8-2 80% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 11 since 2021-22
OMA 5–6 KCKC leads · 11 games since 2021-22 · OMA 7-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2025-26 | KC 73 @ OMA 66 | OMA -8.5 | KC W |
| Mar 6, 2024-25 | KC 61 vs OMA 70 | OMA -4.5 | OMA W |
| Feb 19, 2024-25 | OMA 78 @ KC 66 | KC -2.5 | OMA W |
| Jan 8, 2024-25 | KC 58 @ OMA 77 | OMA -1.5 | OMA W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | OMA 58 @ KC 63 | KC -3.5 | KC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Omaha
17 games played
Straight up
5-12
29% wins
Against the spread
6-11
35% covers · avg −1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-8
53% overs · avg −0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MUR | L 77-85 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 6 | @ ACU | L 71-73 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 9 | @ CSU | L 74-97 | +14.5 | L −8.5 | 153.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 15 | vs SUU | W 90-85 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 21 | @ LSU | L 73-99 | +20.5 | L −5.5 | 163.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 25 | vs JMU | L 77-88 | +1.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 26 | @ FIU | L 61-74 | +4.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 3 | vs UNCO | L 70-75 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 157.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 6 | @ PRST | W 60-55 | +12.5 | W +17.5 | 144.5 | U 115 |
| Dec 20 | @ LAM | W 85-82 | +5.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 28 | @ ORE | L 57-80 | +21.5 | L −1.5 | 151.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 1 | @ SDST | L 69-84 | +9.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 3 | vsKC | L 66-73 | -8.5 | L −15.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 8 | vs UND | W 90-79 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 10 | vs NDSU | L 76-78 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 17 | @ ORU | W 73-62 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 149.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 21 | vs SDAK | L 64-68 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 160.5 | U 132 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMUR
MURL 77-85
−2.5
6
@ACU
ACUL 71-73
+2.5
9
@CSU
CSUL 74-97
−8.5
15
vsSUU
SUUW 90-85
−3.5
21
@LSU
LSUL 73-99
−5.5
25
vsJMU
JMUL 77-88
−9.5
26
@FIU
FIUL 61-74
−8.5
3
vsUNCO
UNCOL 70-75
−1.5
6
@PRST
PRSTW 60-55
+17.5
20
@LAM
LAMW 85-82
+8.5
28
@ORE
OREL 57-80
−1.5
1
@SDST
SDSTL 69-84
−5.5
3
vsKC
KCL 66-73
−15.5
8
vsUND
UNDW 90-79
+5.5
10
vsNDSU
NDSUL 76-78
+3.5
17
@ORU
ORUW 73-62
+12.5
21
vsSDAK
SDAKL 64-68
−10.5
covered 6didn’t cover 11avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMUR
MURL 77-85
+8.5
6
@ACU
ACUL 71-73
−6.5
9
@CSU
CSUL 74-97
+17.5
15
vsSUU
SUUW 90-85
+21.5
21
@LSU
LSUL 73-99
+8.5
25
vsJMU
JMUL 77-88
+12.5
26
@FIU
FIUL 61-74
−22.5
3
vsUNCO
UNCOL 70-75
−12.5
6
@PRST
PRSTW 60-55
−29.5
20
@LAM
LAMW 85-82
+25.5
28
@ORE
OREL 57-80
−14.5
1
@SDST
SDSTL 69-84
+0.5
3
vsKC
KCL 66-73
−9.5
8
vsUND
UNDW 90-79
+22.5
10
vsNDSU
NDSUL 76-78
+6.5
17
@ORU
ORUW 73-62
−14.5
21
vsSDAK
SDAKL 64-68
−28.5
over 9under 8avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Kansas City
17 games played
Straight up
1-16
6% wins
Against the spread
5-12
29% covers · avg −3.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-7
59% overs · avg +2.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ SIU | L 78-101 | +12.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 11 | vs IONA | L 91-105 | +4.5 | L −9.5 | 156.5 | O 196 |
| Nov 15 | @ TEX | L 55-71 | +31.5 | W +15.5 | 159.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 19 | @ TCU | L 45-81 | +23.5 | L −12.5 | 150.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 24 | @ LIN | L 67-80 | +4.5 | L −8.5 | 152.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 29 | @ WEB | L 61-82 | +10.5 | L −10.5 | 155.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 3 | vs IDST | L 59-68 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 137.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 6 | @ EWU | L 66-90 | +9.5 | L −14.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 10 | vsWEB | L 60-64 | +7.5 | W +3.5 | 150.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 16 | @ OU | L 67-89 | +30.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 18 | @ OKST | L 79-91 | +27.5 | W +15.5 | 161.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 31 | @ DEN | L 74-87 | +9.5 | L −3.5 | 156.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 3 | @OMA | W 73-66 | +8.5 | W +15.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 8 | vsNDSU | L 73-97 | +9.5 | L −14.5 | 144.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 10 | vsUND | L 79-81 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 15 | @SDAK | L 83-99 | +7.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 17 | @SDST | L 62-90 | +13.5 | L −14.5 | 151.5 | O 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@SIU
SIUL 78-101
−10.5
11
vsIONA
IONAL 91-105
−9.5
15
@TEX
TEXL 55-71
+15.5
19
@TCU
TCUL 45-81
−12.5
24
@LIN
LINL 67-80
−8.5
29
@WEB
WEBL 61-82
−10.5
3
vsIDST
IDSTL 59-68
−3.5
6
@EWU
EWUL 66-90
−14.5
10
vsWEB
WEBL 60-64
+3.5
16
@OU
OUL 67-89
+8.5
18
@OKST
OKSTL 79-91
+15.5
31
@DEN
DENL 74-87
−3.5
3
@OMA
OMAW 73-66
+15.5
8
vsNDSU
NDSUL 73-97
−14.5
10
vsUND
UNDL 79-81
−3.5
15
@SDAK
SDAKL 83-99
−8.5
17
@SDST
SDSTL 62-90
−14.5
covered 5didn’t cover 12avg −3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@SIU
SIUL 78-101
+37.5
11
vsIONA
IONAL 91-105
+39.5
15
@TEX
TEXL 55-71
−33.5
19
@TCU
TCUL 45-81
−24.5
24
@LIN
LINL 67-80
−5.5
29
@WEB
WEBL 61-82
−12.5
3
vsIDST
IDSTL 59-68
−10.5
6
@EWU
EWUL 66-90
+4.5
10
vsWEB
WEBL 60-64
−26.5
16
@OU
OUL 67-89
+2.5
18
@OKST
OKSTL 79-91
+8.5
31
@DEN
DENL 74-87
+4.5
3
@OMA
OMAW 73-66
−9.5
8
vsNDSU
NDSUL 73-97
+25.5
10
vsUND
UNDL 79-81
+13.5
15
@SDAK
SDAKL 83-99
+25.5
17
@SDST
SDSTL 62-90
+0.5
over 10under 7avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Omaha
5-12 overall · 2-4 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs South Dakota64–68
- W@ Oral Roberts73–62
- Lvs N Dakota St76–78
- Wvs North Dakota90–79
- Lvs Kansas City66–73
3 days since their last game.
Kansas City
1-16 overall · 1-5 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ S Dakota St62–90
- L@ South Dakota83–99
- Lvs North Dakota79–81
- Lvs N Dakota St73–97
- W@ Omaha73–66
A week or more of rest.