Zidian Family Arena at Beeghly Center · at Youngstown St · Conference game
Closing line
YSU -10.5✓ IUIN covered by 1.5
YSU -10.5✓ IUIN covered by 1.5Closing total153.5Over by 7.5
 IUIN | This season | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| 4-17 | Record | 7-12 |
| 8-13 | ATS | 6-13 |
| 7-14 | O/U | 10-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: IUIN 77–87 YSU · ✓ YSU (80%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| IUIN | 39 | 37 | 76 |
| YSU | 34 | 51 | 85 |
1st half: IUIN 39, YSU 34 (IUIN by 5). The model had YSU by 5.7 and a total of 76.4 (actual 73).
Team stats
| IUIN | YSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-64 45% | Field goals | 25-49 51% |
| 9-23 39% | 3-pointers | 10-26 38% |
| 9-10 90% | Free throws | 25-29 86% |
| 26 9 off | Rebounds | 33 7 off |
| 18 | Assists | 17 |
| 8 | Steals | 10 |
| 4 | Blocks | 5 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 17 |
| 23 | Fouls | 14 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| IUIN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finley Woodward F | 39 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Micah Davis G | 37 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 2-8 | 1-4 |
| Jaxon Edwards G | 32 | 15 | 11 | 0 | 7-13 | 0-1 |
| Reece Hagy F | 24 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Maguire Mitchell G | 21 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3-6 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Matt Compas G | 24 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 6-12 | 1-1 |
| Kameron Tinsley F | 16 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3-11 | 3-10 |
| Aiden Miller F | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Gabe Stewart, Kyler D'Augustino, Garrett Sever, JP Dragas, Corey Boston, Ajay Holubar, Lav Cvetkovic
| YSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryson Dawkins G | 35 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 6-10 | 0-2 |
| Jason Nelson G | 34 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 1-5 | 0-3 |
| Rich Rolf F | 34 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 3-8 | 1-4 |
| Cris Carroll F | 28 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 5-9 | 3-6 |
| Cam Polak G | 17 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tae Blackshear G | 17 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 4-5 | 3-4 |
| Vlad Salaridze F | 13 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Drew King G | 12 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Imanuel Zorgvol F | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tyler Robinett, Shaheed Solebo, Connor Swider, Markus Navarra, Jaiden Haynes, Derrick Anderson
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketYSU -10.5
ModelYSU -9.8
Model edgeIUIN +0.7
W IUIN covered
Total
Market153.5
Model163.3
Model edgeOver 9.8
W Over
Projected score
IUIN 76.7 · YSU 86.5
IUIN 76 · YSU 85
Win probability
YSU 80%
1st half
Spread
YSU -5.7
IUIN -5.0
Total
76.4
73 points
Projected score
IUIN 35.3 · YSU 41
IUIN 39 · YSU 34
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenYSU -11.5
1 → IUIN
CloseYSU -10.5
1 pt toward IUIN
Total
Open158.5
▼ 5
Close153.5
Down 5 since the open
Moneyline
IUIN +470 · YSU -650
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened YSU -11.5 · closed YSU -10.5 · moved 1 toward IUINmodel YSU -10
model YSU -10
Opened 158.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 5 downmodel 163.5
model 163.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| IUIN | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
| YSU | 2-8 20% | 1-9 10% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
IUIN 1–8 YSUYSU leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · IUIN 5-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025-26 | YSU 78 @ IUIN 55 | IUIN +6.5 | YSU W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | IUIN 84 @ YSU 79 | YSU -9.5 | IUIN W |
| Jan 1, 2024-25 | YSU 77 @ IUIN 61 | IUIN +6.5 | YSU W |
| Jan 25, 2023-24 | YSU 78 @ IUIN 50 | IUIN +13.5 | YSU W |
| Jan 7, 2023-24 | IUIN 65 @ YSU 75 | YSU -17.5 | IUIN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
IU Indy
21 games played
Straight up
4-17
19% wins
Against the spread
8-13
38% covers · avg −2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-14
33% overs · avg −2.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ OSU | L 102-118 | +33.5 | W +17.5 | 172.5 | O 220 |
| Nov 6 | vs LIU | L 90-94 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 185.5 | U 184 |
| Nov 8 | @ BTLR | L 80-112 | +20.5 | L −11.5 | 192.5 | U 192 |
| Nov 14 | @ EMU | W 90-83 | +4.5 | W +11.5 | 186.5 | U 173 |
| Nov 18 | @ CHSO | L 91-103 | -1.5 | L −13.5 | 188.5 | O 194 |
| Nov 21 | vs ALST | L 80-101 | -2.5 | L −23.5 | 181.5 | U 181 |
| Nov 23 | @ AF | L 85-98 | +3.5 | L −9.5 | 175.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 29 | vs MORE | W 85-80 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 181.5 | U 165 |
| Dec 3 | @ DETM | L 78-92 | +3.5 | L −10.5 | 180.5 | U 170 |
| Dec 6 | vsYSU | L 55-78 | +6.5 | L −16.5 | 171.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 11 | vs GB | L 75-85 | -3.5 | L −13.5 | 165.5 | U 160 |
| Dec 22 | @ GCU | L 78-91 | +23.5 | W +10.5 | 169.5 | U 169 |
| Dec 29 | @ CLE | L 86-99 | +1.5 | L −11.5 | 172.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 1 | @ NKU | L 72-81 | +13.5 | W +4.5 | 176.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 4 | vs WRST | L 77-81 | +8.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 9 | @GB | L 59-75 | +6.5 | L −9.5 | 156.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 11 | @ MILW | L 83-95 | +8.5 | L −3.5 | 165.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 15 | vs RMU | W 96-93 | +5.5 | W +8.5 | 160.5 | O 189 |
| Jan 17 | vsDETM | L 77-80 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 169.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 21 | @ OAK | W 103-85 | +14.5 | W +32.5 | 176.5 | O 188 |
| Jan 28 | @RMU | L 58-74 | +8.5 | L −7.5 | 162.5 | U 132 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@OSU
OSUL 102-118
+17.5
6
vsLIU
LIUL 90-94
−8.5
8
@BTLR
BTLRL 80-112
−11.5
14
@EMU
EMUW 90-83
+11.5
18
@CHSO
CHSOL 91-103
−13.5
21
vsALST
ALSTL 80-101
−23.5
23
@AF
AFL 85-98
−9.5
29
vsMORE
MOREW 85-80
+1.5
3
@DETM
DETML 78-92
−10.5
6
vsYSU
YSUL 55-78
−16.5
11
vsGB
GBL 75-85
−13.5
22
@GCU
GCUL 78-91
+10.5
29
@CLE
CLEL 86-99
−11.5
1
@NKU
NKUL 72-81
+4.5
4
vsWRST
WRSTL 77-81
+4.5
9
@GB
GBL 59-75
−9.5
11
@MILW
MILWL 83-95
−3.5
15
vsRMU
RMUW 96-93
+8.5
17
vsDETM
DETML 77-80
−4.5
21
@OAK
OAKW 103-85
+32.5
28
@RMU
RMUL 58-74
−7.5
covered 8didn’t cover 13avg −2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@OSU
OSUL 102-118
+47.5
6
vsLIU
LIUL 90-94
−1.5
8
@BTLR
BTLRL 80-112
−0.5
14
@EMU
EMUW 90-83
−13.5
18
@CHSO
CHSOL 91-103
+5.5
21
vsALST
ALSTL 80-101
−0.5
23
@AF
AFL 85-98
+7.5
29
vsMORE
MOREW 85-80
−16.5
3
@DETM
DETML 78-92
−10.5
6
vsYSU
YSUL 55-78
−38.5
11
vsGB
GBL 75-85
−5.5
22
@GCU
GCUL 78-91
−0.5
29
@CLE
CLEL 86-99
+12.5
1
@NKU
NKUL 72-81
−23.5
4
vsWRST
WRSTL 77-81
−4.5
9
@GB
GBL 59-75
−22.5
11
@MILW
MILWL 83-95
+12.5
15
vsRMU
RMUW 96-93
+28.5
17
vsDETM
DETML 77-80
−12.5
21
@OAK
OAKW 103-85
+11.5
28
@RMU
RMUL 58-74
−30.5
over 7under 14avg −2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Youngstown St
19 games played
Straight up
7-12
37% wins
Against the spread
6-13
32% covers · avg −1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-9
53% overs · avg +0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ PITT | L 59-74 | +14.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 7 | @GCU | W 90-81 | +15.5 | W +24.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 15 | @ SBU | L 80-84 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 19 | @ TOL | L 75-92 | +1.5 | L −15.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 23 | vs UNCG | L 62-68 | -5.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 24 | vs GASO | W 67-61 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 163.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 28 | vs CHST | W 87-64 | -14.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 3 | vsWRST | W 69-68 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | @IUIN | W 78-55 | -6.5 | W +16.5 | 171.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 17 | @RMU | L 77-80 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 20 | vs UPST | W 74-65 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 29 | vsDETM | L 68-73 | -9.5 | L −14.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 1 | vsOAK | L 83-85 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 4 | @NKU | L 79-94 | +4.5 | L −10.5 | 146.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 7 | vs PFW | L 69-71 | -4.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 15 | @WRST | L 83-93 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 17 | @CLE | L 78-80 | -8.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 22 | vsGB | W 88-81 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 139.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 24 | vsMILW | L 64-65 | -6.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | U 129 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@PITT
PITTL 59-74
−0.5
7
@GCU
GCUW 90-81
+24.5
15
@SBU
SBUL 80-84
+5.5
19
@TOL
TOLL 75-92
−15.5
23
vsUNCG
UNCGL 62-68
−11.5
24
vsGASO
GASOW 67-61
+4.5
28
vsCHST
CHSTW 87-64
+8.5
3
vsWRST
WRSTW 69-68
−2.5
6
@IUIN
IUINW 78-55
+16.5
17
@RMU
RMUL 77-80
−0.5
20
vsUPST
UPSTW 74-65
+2.5
29
vsDETM
DETML 68-73
−14.5
1
vsOAK
OAKL 83-85
−3.5
4
@NKU
NKUL 79-94
−10.5
7
vsPFW
PFWL 69-71
−6.5
15
@WRST
WRSTL 83-93
−5.5
17
@CLE
CLEL 78-80
−10.5
22
vsGB
GBW 88-81
−0.5
24
vsMILW
MILWL 64-65
−7.5
covered 6didn’t cover 13avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@PITT
PITTL 59-74
−12.5
7
@GCU
GCUW 90-81
+18.5
15
@SBU
SBUL 80-84
+17.5
19
@TOL
TOLL 75-92
+6.5
23
vsUNCG
UNCGL 62-68
−22.5
24
vsGASO
GASOW 67-61
−35.5
28
vsCHST
CHSTW 87-64
+4.5
3
vsWRST
WRSTW 69-68
−7.5
6
@IUIN
IUINW 78-55
−38.5
17
@RMU
RMUL 77-80
+16.5
20
vsUPST
UPSTW 74-65
−2.5
29
vsDETM
DETML 68-73
−5.5
1
vsOAK
OAKL 83-85
+10.5
4
@NKU
NKUL 79-94
+26.5
7
vsPFW
PFWL 69-71
−5.5
15
@WRST
WRSTL 83-93
+34.5
17
@CLE
CLEL 78-80
+5.5
22
vsGB
GBW 88-81
+29.5
24
vsMILW
MILWL 64-65
−22.5
over 10under 9avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
IU Indy
4-17 overall · 2-10 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Robert Morris58–74
- W@ Oakland103–85
- Lvs Detroit Mercy77–80
- Wvs Robert Morris96–93
- L@ Milwaukee83–95
2 days since their last game.
Youngstown St
7-12 overall · 3-8 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Milwaukee64–65
- Wvs Green Bay88–81
- L@ Cleveland St78–80
- L@ Wright St83–93
- Lvs Purdue FW69–71
6 days since their last game.