Nutter Center · at Wright St · Conference game
Closing line
WRST -4.5✓ WRST covered by 5.5
WRST -4.5✓ WRST covered by 5.5Closing total141.5Over by 34.5
 YSU | This season | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| 6-9 | Record | 9-7 |
| 6-9 | ATS | 10-6 |
| 7-8 | O/U | 7-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: YSU 70–75 WRST · ✓ WRST (68%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| YSU | 43 | 40 | 83 |
| WRST | 42 | 51 | 93 |
1st half: YSU 43, WRST 42 (YSU by 1). The model had WRST by 3.0 and a total of 67.9 (actual 85).
Team stats
| YSU | WRST | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-62 47% | Field goals | 32-60 53% |
| 14-32 44% | 3-pointers | 5-9 56% |
| 11-14 79% | Free throws | 24-28 86% |
| 27 13 off | Rebounds | 38 15 off |
| 16 | Assists | 10 |
| 4 | Steals | 10 |
| 5 | Blocks | 4 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 22 | Fouls | 16 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 48 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| YSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rich Rolf F | 33 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Bryson Dawkins G | 33 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 8-13 | 3-7 |
| Vlad Salaridze F | 24 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6-14 | 3-7 |
| Jason Nelson G | 18 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 3-8 | 2-4 |
| Cris Carroll F | 14 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-7 | 0-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaiden Haynes G | 32 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 4-7 | 3-4 |
| Drew King G | 22 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Imanuel Zorgvol F | 16 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Cam Polak G | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Shaheed Solebo, Derrick Anderson, Markus Navarra, Connor Swider, Tae Blackshear, Tyler Robinett
| WRST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Burch G | 35 | 24 | 5 | 7 | 9-14 | 0-0 |
| Dominic Pangonis G | 35 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 5-6 | 1-1 |
| Kellen Pickett F | 31 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 6-12 | 0-0 |
| Solomon Callaghan G | 29 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 5-8 | 3-5 |
| Sam Alamutu G | 28 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Logan Woods G | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Michael Cooper G | 15 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-7 | 0-1 |
| Andrea Holden G | 9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ayden Davis, Michael Imariagbe, Alex Bruskotter, Bryan Etumnu, PJ Douglas, Isaiah Williams
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketWRST -4.5
ModelWRST -5.3
Model edgeWRST +0.8
W WRST covered
Total
Market141.5
Model144.9
Model edgeOver 3.4
W Over
Projected score
YSU 69.8 · WRST 75.1
YSU 83 · WRST 93
Win probability
WRST 68%
1st half
Spread
WRST -3.0
YSU -1.0
Total
67.9
85 points
Projected score
YSU 32.4 · WRST 35.5
YSU 43 · WRST 42
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenWRST -6.5
2 → YSU
CloseWRST -4.5
2 pts toward YSU
Total
Open142.5
▼ 1
Close141.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
YSU +170 · WRST -205
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WRST -6.5 · closed WRST -4.5 · moved 2 toward YSUmodel WRST -5.5
model WRST -5.5
Opened 142.5 · closed 141.5 · moved 1 downmodel 145
model 145
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| YSU | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| WRST | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
YSU 8–1 WRSTYSU leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · YSU has won the last 7 meetings · YSU 5-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2025-26 | WRST 68 @ YSU 69 | YSU -3.5 | WRST W |
| Jan 30, 2024-25 | WRST 86 @ YSU 88 | YSU -2.5 | WRST W |
| Dec 18, 2024-25 | YSU 80 @ WRST 70 | WRST -6.5 | YSU W |
| Feb 1, 2023-24 | YSU 88 @ WRST 77 | WRST -2.5 | YSU W |
| Jan 12, 2023-24 | WRST 71 @ YSU 81 | YSU -1.5 | YSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Youngstown St
15 games played
Straight up
6-9
40% wins
Against the spread
6-9
40% covers · avg −0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-8
47% overs · avg −2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ PITT | L 59-74 | +14.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 7 | @ GCU | W 90-81 | +15.5 | W +24.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 15 | @ SBU | L 80-84 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 19 | @ TOL | L 75-92 | +1.5 | L −15.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 23 | vs UNCG | L 62-68 | -5.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 24 | vs GASO | W 67-61 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 163.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 28 | vs CHST | W 87-64 | -14.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 3 | vsWRST | W 69-68 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | @ IUIN | W 78-55 | -6.5 | W +16.5 | 171.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 17 | @ RMU | L 77-80 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 20 | vs UPST | W 74-65 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 29 | vs DETM | L 68-73 | -9.5 | L −14.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 1 | vs OAK | L 83-85 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 4 | @ NKU | L 79-94 | +4.5 | L −10.5 | 146.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 7 | vs PFW | L 69-71 | -4.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | U 140 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@PITT
PITTL 59-74
−0.5
7
@GCU
GCUW 90-81
+24.5
15
@SBU
SBUL 80-84
+5.5
19
@TOL
TOLL 75-92
−15.5
23
vsUNCG
UNCGL 62-68
−11.5
24
vsGASO
GASOW 67-61
+4.5
28
vsCHST
CHSTW 87-64
+8.5
3
vsWRST
WRSTW 69-68
−2.5
6
@IUIN
IUINW 78-55
+16.5
17
@RMU
RMUL 77-80
−0.5
20
vsUPST
UPSTW 74-65
+2.5
29
vsDETM
DETML 68-73
−14.5
1
vsOAK
OAKL 83-85
−3.5
4
@NKU
NKUL 79-94
−10.5
7
vsPFW
PFWL 69-71
−6.5
covered 6didn’t cover 9avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@PITT
PITTL 59-74
−12.5
7
@GCU
GCUW 90-81
+18.5
15
@SBU
SBUL 80-84
+17.5
19
@TOL
TOLL 75-92
+6.5
23
vsUNCG
UNCGL 62-68
−22.5
24
vsGASO
GASOW 67-61
−35.5
28
vsCHST
CHSTW 87-64
+4.5
3
vsWRST
WRSTW 69-68
−7.5
6
@IUIN
IUINW 78-55
−38.5
17
@RMU
RMUL 77-80
+16.5
20
vsUPST
UPSTW 74-65
−2.5
29
vsDETM
DETML 68-73
−5.5
1
vsOAK
OAKL 83-85
+10.5
4
@NKU
NKUL 79-94
+26.5
7
vsPFW
PFWL 69-71
−5.5
over 7under 8avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Wright St
16 games played
Straight up
9-7
56% wins
Against the spread
10-6
63% covers · avg +3.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-9
44% overs · avg +0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ CAL | L 67-77 | +14.5 | W +4.5 | 148.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 11 | vsTOL | L 71-81 | -5.5 | L −15.5 | 159.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 15 | vs RAD | W 92-59 | +6.5 | W +39.5 | 156.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 16 | vs KENT | L 72-76 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 157.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 25 | @ STET | W 79-62 | -9.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 28 | @ BTLR | L 69-94 | +14.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 3 | @YSU | L 68-69 | +3.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 7 | vs GB | W 86-58 | -6.5 | W +21.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Dec 13 | @ MRSH | L 74-76 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 16 | vs M-OH | L 76-83 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 149.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 22 | vs EMU | W 70-64 | -10.5 | L −4.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 29 | vsOAK | W 88-73 | -3.5 | W +11.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 1 | vs MILW | W 76-70 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 4 | @IUIN | W 81-77 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 162.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 9 | @DETM | W 84-82 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 148.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 11 | @OAK | W 94-84 | +4.5 | W +14.5 | 161.5 | O 178 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@CAL
CALL 67-77
+4.5
11
vsTOL
TOLL 71-81
−15.5
15
vsRAD
RADW 92-59
+39.5
16
vsKENT
KENTL 72-76
+0.5
25
@STET
STETW 79-62
+7.5
28
@BTLR
BTLRL 69-94
−10.5
3
@YSU
YSUL 68-69
+2.5
7
vsGB
GBW 86-58
+21.5
13
@MRSH
MRSHL 74-76
+1.5
16
vsM-OH
M-OHL 76-83
−5.5
22
vsEMU
EMUW 70-64
−4.5
29
vsOAK
OAKW 88-73
+11.5
1
vsMILW
MILWW 76-70
+2.5
4
@IUIN
IUINW 81-77
−4.5
9
@DETM
DETMW 84-82
−3.5
11
@OAK
OAKW 94-84
+14.5
covered 10didn’t cover 6avg +3.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@CAL
CALL 67-77
−4.5
11
vsTOL
TOLL 71-81
−7.5
15
vsRAD
RADW 92-59
−5.5
16
vsKENT
KENTL 72-76
−9.5
25
@STET
STETW 79-62
−6.5
28
@BTLR
BTLRL 69-94
+12.5
3
@YSU
YSUL 68-69
−7.5
7
vsGB
GBW 86-58
+1.5
13
@MRSH
MRSHL 74-76
+0.5
16
vsM-OH
M-OHL 76-83
+9.5
22
vsEMU
EMUW 70-64
−8.5
29
vsOAK
OAKW 88-73
+1.5
1
vsMILW
MILWW 76-70
−1.5
4
@IUIN
IUINW 81-77
−4.5
9
@DETM
DETMW 84-82
+17.5
11
@OAK
OAKW 94-84
+16.5
over 7under 9avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Youngstown St
6-9 overall · 2-5 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Purdue FW69–71
- L@ N Kentucky79–94
- Lvs Oakland83–85
- Lvs Detroit Mercy68–73
- Wvs SC Upstate74–65
A week or more of rest.
Wright St
9-7 overall · 6-1 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Oakland94–84
- W@ Detroit Mercy84–82
- W@ IU Indy81–77
- Wvs Milwaukee76–70
- Wvs Oakland88–73
4 days since their last game.