Memorial Coliseum (IN) · at Purdue FW · Conference game
Closing line
PFW -9.5✓ DETM covered by 5.5
PFW -9.5✓ DETM covered by 5.5Closing total153.5Over by 4.5
 DETM | This season | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| 3-6 | Record | 3-6 |
| 5-4 | ATS | 4-5 |
| 4-5 | O/U | 6-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: DETM 76–83 PFW · ✓ PFW (73%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DETM | 33 | 44 | 77 |
| PFW | 40 | 41 | 81 |
1st half: DETM 33, PFW 40 (PFW by 7). The model had PFW by 4.1 and a total of 74.0 (actual 73).
Team stats
| DETM | PFW | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-68 41% | Field goals | 29-60 48% |
| 9-20 45% | 3-pointers | 9-28 32% |
| 12-14 86% | Free throws | 14-27 52% |
| 44 15 off | Rebounds | 34 7 off |
| 12 | Assists | 15 |
| 1 | Steals | 6 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 2 |
| 23 | Fouls | 15 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| DETM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Lovejoy G | 34 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 4-14 | 0-0 |
| Legend Geeter F | 30 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 3-8 | 0-0 |
| TJ Nadeau G | 26 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 5-9 | 2-4 |
| Tyler Spratt G | 22 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 5-10 | 4-9 |
| Xavier Istomin-Monroe C | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Keshawn Fisher G | 21 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 5-11 | 2-4 |
| Ryan Kalambay F | 19 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Lance Stone G | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Jared Lary G | 13 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-1 |
| Nate Johnson G | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Je'kel Cotton G | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| London Maiden F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Zak Abdalla, Ayden Carter
| PFW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Hadnot II G | 36 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 6-14 | 0-5 |
| Mikale Stevenson G | 32 | 22 | 5 | 4 | 7-15 | 3-9 |
| Maximus Nelson F | 30 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 3-5 | 3-5 |
| DeAndre Craig Jr. G | 29 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 5-8 | 2-3 |
| Darius Duffy F | 25 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| EJ Mosley G | 20 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Deangelo Elisee F | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Ebrahim Kaba G | 11 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Yuval Levin F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Solomon Richard, Danny Kelly, Quentin Morgan, Ja'Corey Lipkins, Mason Shrout, Chris Morgan
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketPFW -9.5
ModelPFW -7.1
Model edgeDETM +2.4
W DETM covered
Total
Market153.5
Model158.1
Model edgeOver 4.6
W Over
Projected score
DETM 75.5 · PFW 82.6
DETM 77 · PFW 81
Win probability
PFW 73%
1st half
Spread
PFW -4.1
PFW -7.0
Total
74.0
73 points
Projected score
DETM 34.9 · PFW 39
DETM 33 · PFW 40
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPFW -6.5
3 → PFW
ClosePFW -9.5
3 pts toward PFW
Total
Open156.5
▼ 3
Close153.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
DETM +340 · PFW -440
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PFW -6.5 · closed PFW -9.5 · moved 3 toward PFWmodel PFW -7
model PFW -7
Opened 156.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 3 downmodel 158
model 158
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DETMlast 9 | 3-6 33% | 5-4 56% | 4-5 44% |
| PFWlast 9 | 3-6 33% | 4-5 44% | 6-3 67% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
DETM 4–5 PFWPFW leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · DETM 4-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | DETM 67 @ PFW 90 | PFW -18.5 | PFW W |
| Dec 5, 2024-25 | PFW 78 @ DETM 79 | DETM +7.5 | DETM W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | PFW 83 @ DETM 69 | DETM +8.5 | PFW W |
| Dec 31, 2023-24 | DETM 56 @ PFW 91 | PFW -13.5 | PFW W |
| Feb 28, 2022-23 | PFW 68 @ DETM 81 | DETM -3.5 | DETM W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Detroit Mercy
9 games played
Straight up
3-6
33% wins
Against the spread
5-4
56% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-5
44% overs · avg −0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ UIC | L 71-91 | +9.5 | L −10.5 | 142.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 7 | @ ND | L 70-102 | +21.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 15 | @ TOL | L 83-90 | +10.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 18 | vs EMU | L 62-72 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 157.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 21 | @ MSU | L 56-84 | +30.5 | W +2.5 | 149.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 23 | @ DEP | L 75-95 | +19.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 29 | @ NIA | W 70-66 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 3 | vs IUIN | W 92-78 | -3.5 | W +10.5 | 180.5 | U 170 |
| Dec 6 | @ CLE | W 71-59 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 158.5 | U 130 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@UIC
UICL 71-91
−10.5
7
@ND
NDL 70-102
−10.5
15
@TOL
TOLL 83-90
+3.5
18
vsEMU
EMUL 62-72
−11.5
21
@MSU
MSUL 56-84
+2.5
23
@DEP
DEPL 75-95
−0.5
29
@NIA
NIAW 70-66
+2.5
3
vsIUIN
IUINW 92-78
+10.5
6
@CLE
CLEW 71-59
+13.5
covered 5didn’t cover 4avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@UIC
UICL 71-91
+19.5
7
@ND
NDL 70-102
+24.5
15
@TOL
TOLL 83-90
+13.5
18
vsEMU
EMUL 62-72
−23.5
21
@MSU
MSUL 56-84
−9.5
23
@DEP
DEPL 75-95
+18.5
29
@NIA
NIAW 70-66
−6.5
3
vsIUIN
IUINW 92-78
−10.5
6
@CLE
CLEW 71-59
−28.5
over 4under 5avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Purdue FW
9 games played
Straight up
3-6
33% wins
Against the spread
4-5
44% covers · avg −2.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-3
67% overs · avg +3.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ GCU | L 71-90 | +14.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 7 | @ OSU | L 68-94 | +24.5 | L −1.5 | 159.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 12 | @ WMU | L 71-83 | -3.5 | L −15.5 | 161.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 18 | @ UTAH | L 77-85 | +13.5 | W +5.5 | 161.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 21 | @ SLU | L 60-91 | +19.5 | L −11.5 | 166.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 25 | vs CHST | W 90-77 | -12.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 3 | @ OAK | L 92-101 | +4.5 | L −4.5 | 162.5 | O 193 |
| Dec 6 | vs NKU | W 79-77 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 10 | vsEMU | W 80-65 | -3.5 | W +11.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@GCU
GCUL 71-90
−4.5
7
@OSU
OSUL 68-94
−1.5
12
@WMU
WMUL 71-83
−15.5
18
@UTAH
UTAHL 77-85
+5.5
21
@SLU
SLUL 60-91
−11.5
25
vsCHST
CHSTW 90-77
+0.5
3
@OAK
OAKL 92-101
−4.5
6
vsNKU
NKUW 79-77
+0.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 80-65
+11.5
covered 4didn’t cover 5avg −2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@GCU
GCUL 71-90
+5.5
7
@OSU
OSUL 68-94
+2.5
12
@WMU
WMUL 71-83
−7.5
18
@UTAH
UTAHL 77-85
+0.5
21
@SLU
SLUL 60-91
−15.5
25
vsCHST
CHSTW 90-77
+17.5
3
@OAK
OAKL 92-101
+30.5
6
vsNKU
NKUW 79-77
+2.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 80-65
−2.5
over 6under 3avg +3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Detroit Mercy
3-6 overall · 2-0 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Cleveland St71–59
- Wvs IU Indy92–78
- W@ Niagara70–66
- L@ DePaul75–95
- L@ Michigan St56–84
A week or more of rest.
Purdue FW
3-6 overall · 1-1 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs E Michigan80–65
- Wvs N Kentucky79–77
- L@ Oakland92–101
- Wvs Chicago St90–77
- L@ Saint Louis60–91
4 days since their last game.