Truist Arena · at N Kentucky · Conference game
Closing line
NKU -14.5✓ NKU covered by 0.5
NKU -14.5✓ NKU covered by 0.5Closing total158.5Over by 16.5
 CLE | This season | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| 1-6 | Record | 4-2 |
| 4-3 | ATS | 4-2 |
| 5-2 | O/U | 3-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CLE 74–85 NKU · ✓ NKU (82%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 33 | 47 | 80 |
| NKU | 47 | 48 | 95 |
1st half: CLE 33, NKU 47 (NKU by 14). The model had NKU by 6.1 and a total of 74.3 (actual 80).
Team stats
| CLE | NKU | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-48 46% | Field goals | 34-61 56% |
| 14-25 56% | 3-pointers | 13-27 48% |
| 22-28 79% | Free throws | 14-15 93% |
| 23 8 off | Rebounds | 29 12 off |
| 14 | Assists | 22 |
| 6 | Steals | 12 |
| 3 | Blocks | 7 |
| 20 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 17 | Fouls | 19 |
| 16 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| CLE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Beard G | 35 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 7-14 | 6-8 |
| Jaidon Lipscomb G | 34 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 3-8 | 3-8 |
| Preist Ryan F | 32 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 3-9 | 0-0 |
| David Giddens G | 24 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 5-7 | 4-5 |
| Holden Pierre-Louis F | 20 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chevalier Emery G | 23 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Foster Wonders G | 21 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Kamari Jones G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Kevo St. Hilaire F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ivan Spirov, Lucas Burton, Waqo Tessema, Josiah Harris, Manny Hill, Dayan Nessah
| NKU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LJ Wells F | 38 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 8-12 | 1-1 |
| Tae Dozier G | 32 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 7-12 | 1-3 |
| Ethan Elliott G | 30 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Dan Gherezgher G | 28 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 3-7 | 3-6 |
| Kael Robinson F | 20 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 6-7 | 3-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Donovan Oday G | 22 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 6-9 | 3-5 |
| Shawn Nelson G | 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Donovan Rakotonanahary F | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bryce Darbyshire G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Addison Archer F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: JJ Apathjang, Juanma Ruiz, Ryan Tolliver, Mitchel Minor
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNKU -11.5
3 → NKU
CloseNKU -14.5
3 pts toward NKU
Total
Open155.5
▲ 3
Close158.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
CLE +750 · NKU -1200
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NKU -11.5 · closed NKU -14.5 · moved 3 toward NKUmodel NKU -10.5
model NKU -10.5
Opened 155.5 · closed 158.5 · moved 3 upmodel 159
model 159
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | NKU -14.5 | NKU -10.4 | CLE +4.1 | L NKU covered |
| Total | 158.5 | 158.8 | Over 0.3 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | CLE 74.2 · NKU 84.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | NKU -6.1 | NKU -14.0 |
| 1H total | 74.3 | 80 |
| 1H projected score | CLE 34.1 · NKU 40.2 | CLE 33 · NKU 47 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLElast 7 | 1-6 14% | 4-3 57% | 5-2 71% |
| NKUlast 6 | 4-2 67% | 4-2 67% | 3-3 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
CLE 5–5 NKUSeries tied · 10 games since 2021-22 · CLE 6-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2024-25 | NKU 63 @ CLE 68 | CLE -4.5 | CLE W |
| Feb 5, 2024-25 | CLE 75 @ NKU 85 | NKU -1.5 | NKU W |
| Jan 15, 2024-25 | NKU 58 @ CLE 76 | CLE -4.5 | CLE W |
| Feb 22, 2023-24 | CLE 73 @ NKU 75 | NKU -2.5 | CLE W |
| Jan 7, 2023-24 | NKU 85 @ CLE 88 | CLE -4.5 | NKU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Cleveland St
7 games played
Straight up
1-6
14% wins
Against the spread
4-3
57% covers · avg −1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-2
71% overs · avg +8.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ LUC | L 88-91 | +17.5 | W +14.5 | 151.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 10 | @ NU | L 63-110 | +23.5 | L −23.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 15 | vs KENT | L 95-102 | +11.5 | W +4.5 | 165.5 | O 197 |
| Nov 16 | vs RAD | W 87-82 | +8.5 | W +13.5 | 162.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 19 | vs VAL | L 75-90 | -2.5 | L −17.5 | 158.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 22 | @KENT | L 71-91 | +15.5 | L −4.5 | 172.5 | U 162 |
| Nov 28 | @ MIZ | L 59-86 | +31.5 | W +4.5 | 170.5 | U 145 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@LUC
LUCL 88-91
+14.5
10
@NU
NUL 63-110
−23.5
15
vsKENT
KENTL 95-102
+4.5
16
vsRAD
RADW 87-82
+13.5
19
vsVAL
VALL 75-90
−17.5
22
@KENT
KENTL 71-91
−4.5
28
@MIZ
MIZL 59-86
+4.5
covered 4didn’t cover 3avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@LUC
LUCL 88-91
+27.5
10
@NU
NUL 63-110
+21.5
15
vsKENT
KENTL 95-102
+31.5
16
vsRAD
RADW 87-82
+6.5
19
vsVAL
VALL 75-90
+6.5
22
@KENT
KENTL 71-91
−10.5
28
@MIZ
MIZL 59-86
−25.5
over 5under 2avg +8.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
N Kentucky
6 games played
Straight up
4-2
67% wins
Against the spread
4-2
67% covers · avg +4.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-3
50% overs · avg +6.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@
TENN
TENNL 56-95
−11.5
12
@
ETSU
ETSUL 63-75
−5.5
20
@
CMU
CMUW 90-66
+28.5
24
vs
EKU
EKUW 82-71
+6.5
26
vs
WOF
WOFW 93-83
+6.5
29
vs
BU
BUW 74-65
+1.5
covered 4didn’t cover 2avg +4.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@TENN
TENNL 56-95
+13.5
12
@ETSU
ETSUL 63-75
−4.5
20
@CMU
CMUW 90-66
+9.5
24
vsEKU
EKUW 82-71
−3.5
26
vsWOF
WOFW 93-83
+26.5
29
vsBU
BUW 74-65
−4.5
over 3under 3avg +6.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Cleveland St
1-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Missouri59–86
- L@ Kent State71–91
- Lvs Valparaiso75–90
- Wvs Radford87–82
- Lvs Kent State95–102
5 days since their last game.
N Kentucky
4-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Boston U74–65
- Wvs Wofford93–83
- Wvs E Kentucky82–71
- W@ C Michigan90–66
- L@ ETSU63–75
4 days since their last game.