Maples Pavilion · at Stanford
Closing line
STAN -9.5✓ UNLV covered by 10.5
STAN -9.5✓ UNLV covered by 10.5Closing total164.5Under by 15.5
 UNLV | This season | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| 3-5 | Record | 7-1 |
| 3-5 | ATS | 5-3 |
| 6-2 | O/U | 4-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UNLV 78–85 STAN · ✗ STAN (73%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNLV | 38 | 37 | 75 |
| STAN | 39 | 35 | 74 |
1st half: UNLV 38, STAN 39 (STAN by 1). The model had STAN by 4.1 and a total of 76.6 (actual 77).
Team stats
| UNLV | STAN | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-58 48% | Field goals | 24-63 38% |
| 3-10 30% | 3-pointers | 9-30 30% |
| 16-27 59% | Free throws | 17-27 63% |
| 34 12 off | Rebounds | 46 20 off |
| 7 | Assists | 10 |
| 10 | Steals | 11 |
| 4 | Blocks | 5 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 19 | Fouls | 17 |
| 48 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| UNLV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn G | 35 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 5-9 | 1-3 |
| Kimani Hamilton F | 32 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 6-12 | 0-1 |
| Emmanuel Stephen C | 30 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8-13 | 0-0 |
| Issac Williamson G | 25 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-8 | 0-1 |
| Walter Brown F | 21 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tyrin Jones F | 24 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Naas Cunningham F | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Al Green G | 12 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Jacob Bannarbie, Mason Abittan, Jalen Cunningham, Xavier Brumfield, Myles Che, Ladji Dembele, Howie Fleming Jr.
| STAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ebuka Okorie G | 33 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 4-16 | 1-6 |
| Chisom Okpara F | 29 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 2-7 | 1-3 |
| Benny Gealer G | 23 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 3-8 | 3-8 |
| Aidan Cammann F | 18 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| AJ Rohosy F | 17 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 3-8 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ryan Agarwal G | 27 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 5-8 | 3-6 |
| Jeremy Dent-Smith G | 23 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 3-10 | 1-7 |
| Oskar Giltay C | 23 | 9 | 14 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Kristers Skrinda F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Myles Jones, Ethan Kitch, Donavin Young, Anthony Batson Jr., Cameron Grant, Evan Stinson, Tallis Toure, Jaylen Thompson
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSTAN -9.5
no move
CloseSTAN -9.5
No change since the open
Total
Open163.5
▲ 1
Close164.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
UNLV +360 · STAN -470
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened STAN -9.5 · unchangedmodel STAN -7
model STAN -7
Opened 163.5 · closed 164.5 · moved 1 upmodel 164
model 164
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | STAN -9.5 | STAN -7.0 | UNLV +2.5 | W UNLV covered |
| Total | 164.5 | 163.8 | Under 0.7 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | UNLV 78.4 · STAN 85.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | STAN -4.1 | STAN -1.0 |
| 1H total | 76.6 | 77 |
| 1H projected score | UNLV 36.3 · STAN 40.4 | UNLV 38 · STAN 39 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNLVlast 8 | 3-5 38% | 3-5 38% | 6-2 75% |
| STANlast 8 | 7-1 88% | 5-3 63% | 4-4 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UNLV
8 games played
Straight up
3-5
38% wins
Against the spread
3-5
38% covers · avg −4.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-2
75% overs · avg +9.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs UTM | L 81-86 | -16.5 | L −21.5 | 146.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 8 | vs UTC | W 101-69 | -7.5 | W +24.5 | 155.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 11 | vs MONT | L 93-102 | -10.5 | L −19.5 | 157.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 16 | @ MEM | W 92-78 | +9.5 | W +23.5 | 163.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 20 | vs JOES | W 99-85 | -10.5 | W +3.5 | 161.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 24 | vs MD | L 67-74 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 164.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 25 | vs ALA | L 76-115 | +13.5 | L −25.5 | 181.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 27 | vs RUTG | L 65-80 | -4.5 | L −19.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsUTM
UTML 81-86
−21.5
8
vsUTC
UTCW 101-69
+24.5
11
vsMONT
MONTL 93-102
−19.5
16
@MEM
MEMW 92-78
+23.5
20
vsJOES
JOESW 99-85
+3.5
24
vsMD
MDL 67-74
−4.5
25
vsALA
ALAL 76-115
−25.5
27
vsRUTG
RUTGL 65-80
−19.5
covered 3didn’t cover 5avg −4.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsUTM
UTML 81-86
+20.5
8
vsUTC
UTCW 101-69
+14.5
11
vsMONT
MONTL 93-102
+37.5
16
@MEM
MEMW 92-78
+6.5
20
vsJOES
JOESW 99-85
+22.5
24
vsMD
MDL 67-74
−23.5
25
vsALA
ALAL 76-115
+9.5
27
vsRUTG
RUTGL 65-80
−8.5
over 6under 2avg +9.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Stanford
8 games played
Straight up
7-1
88% wins
Against the spread
5-3
63% covers · avg −0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-4
50% overs · avg +5.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs PRST | W 89-79 | -11.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 8 | vsMONT | W 91-68 | -12.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 12 | vs MTST | W 77-68 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 18 | vs UL | W 93-66 | -20.5 | W +6.5 | 139.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 21 | vs SEA | L 69-77 | -10.5 | L −18.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 27 | vs MINN | W 72-68 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 28 | vs SLU | W 78-77 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 160.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 1 | vs PORT | W 94-72 | -19.5 | W +2.5 | 156.5 | O 166 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsPRST
PRSTW 89-79
−1.5
8
vsMONT
MONTW 91-68
+10.5
12
vsMTST
MTSTW 77-68
−5.5
18
vsUL
ULW 93-66
+6.5
21
vsSEA
SEAL 69-77
−18.5
27
vsMINN
MINNW 72-68
+1.5
28
vsSLU
SLUW 78-77
+2.5
1
vsPORT
PORTW 94-72
+2.5
covered 5didn’t cover 3avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsPRST
PRSTW 89-79
+23.5
8
vsMONT
MONTW 91-68
+8.5
12
vsMTST
MTSTW 77-68
−3.5
18
vsUL
ULW 93-66
+19.5
21
vsSEA
SEAL 69-77
−6.5
27
vsMINN
MINNW 72-68
−2.5
28
vsSLU
SLUW 78-77
−5.5
1
vsPORT
PORTW 94-72
+9.5
over 4under 4avg +5.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UNLV
3-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Rutgers65–80
- Lvs Alabama76–115
- Lvs Maryland67–74
- Wvs Saint Joseph's99–85
- W@ Memphis92–78
A week or more of rest.
Stanford
7-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Portland94–72
- Wvs Saint Louis78–77
- Wvs Minnesota72–68
- Lvs Seattle U69–77
- Wvs Louisiana93–66
6 days since their last game.