Cameron Indoor Stadium · at Duke
Closing line
DUKE -32.5✓ LIP covered by 8.5
DUKE -32.5✓ LIP covered by 8.5Closing total151.5Over by 18.5
 LIP | This season | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| 5-4 | Record | 10-0 |
| 6-3 | ATS | 7-3 |
| 5-4 | O/U | 1-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LIP 60–88 DUKE · ✓ DUKE (99%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LIP | 45 | 28 | 73 |
| DUKE | 48 | 49 | 97 |
1st half: LIP 45, DUKE 48 (DUKE by 3). The model had DUKE by 16.8 and a total of 69.6 (actual 93).
Team stats
| LIP | DUKE | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-61 39% | Field goals | 36-69 52% |
| 7-23 30% | 3-pointers | 8-25 32% |
| 18-20 90% | Free throws | 17-22 77% |
| 21 3 off | Rebounds | 55 20 off |
| 14 | Assists | 21 |
| 12 | Steals | 14 |
| 2 | Blocks | 4 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 22 |
| 19 | Fouls | 17 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 56 |
| 21 | Fast-break points | 24 |
Players
| LIP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Titas Sargiunas F | 32 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 5-9 | 2-5 |
| Grant Asman F | 30 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 7-13 | 2-4 |
| Mateo Esmeraldo G | 30 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 3-13 | 0-4 |
| Or Ashkenazi F | 23 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Charlie Williams C | 20 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 3-7 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ross Candelino G | 22 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-6 | 2-4 |
| Kennedy Okpara F | 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Ethan Duncan G | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-4 |
| Kellan Boylan F | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Josh Scott, Devyn Martin, Luke Jack, Luke Carter, Miles White, Logan Suber, Cole Middleton
| DUKE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Boozer F | 30 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10-17 | 0-3 |
| Isaiah Evans G | 27 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 5-10 | 4-7 |
| Caleb Foster G | 26 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Patrick Ngongba II C | 24 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 5-9 | 0-0 |
| Nik Khamenia F | 14 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Darren Harris G | 22 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 3-6 | 2-5 |
| Cayden Boozer G | 22 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 4-6 | 1-2 |
| Maliq Brown F | 21 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Dame Sarr F | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
Did not play: Cameron Sheffield, Sebastian Wilkins, Ifeanyi Ufochukwu, Jack Scott
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenDUKE -33.5
1 → LIP
CloseDUKE -32.5
1 pt toward LIP
Total
Open151.5
no move
Close151.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
LIP +5000 · DUKE -100000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened DUKE -33.5 · closed DUKE -32.5 · moved 1 toward LIPmodel DUKE -28
model DUKE -28
Opened 151.5 · unchangedmodel 148.5
model 148.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | DUKE -32.5 | DUKE -28.2 | LIP +4.3 | W LIP covered |
| Total | 151.5 | 148.6 | Under 2.9 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | LIP 60.2 · DUKE 88.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | DUKE -16.8 | DUKE -3.0 |
| 1H total | 69.6 | 93 |
| 1H projected score | LIP 26.4 · DUKE 43.2 | LIP 45 · DUKE 48 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LIPlast 9 | 5-4 56% | 6-3 67% | 5-4 56% |
| DUKE | 10-0 100% | 7-3 70% | 1-9 10% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Lipscomb
9 games played
Straight up
5-4
56% wins
Against the spread
6-3
67% covers · avg +5.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-4
56% overs · avg +0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ VAN | L 61-105 | +26.5 | L −17.5 | 154.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 9 | @ MER | L 77-92 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 11 | @ UNCA | L 64-69 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 19 | @ BEL | L 68-75 | +12.5 | W +5.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 22 | vs WCU | W 83-62 | -5.5 | W +15.5 | 151.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 26 | @ MRSH | W 90-67 | +7.5 | W +30.5 | 157.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 29 | @ SEMO | W 88-77 | +3.5 | W +14.5 | 153.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 3 | vs TNTC | W 83-80 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 152.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 7 | vs AAMU | W 92-58 | -11.5 | W +22.5 | 146.5 | O 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@VAN
VANL 61-105
−17.5
9
@MER
MERL 77-92
−11.5
11
@UNCA
UNCAL 64-69
+1.5
19
@BEL
BELL 68-75
+5.5
22
vsWCU
WCUW 83-62
+15.5
26
@MRSH
MRSHW 90-67
+30.5
29
@SEMO
SEMOW 88-77
+14.5
3
vsTNTC
TNTCW 83-80
−7.5
7
vsAAMU
AAMUW 92-58
+22.5
covered 6didn’t cover 3avg +5.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@VAN
VANL 61-105
+11.5
9
@MER
MERL 77-92
+11.5
11
@UNCA
UNCAL 64-69
−25.5
19
@BEL
BELL 68-75
−15.5
22
vsWCU
WCUW 83-62
−6.5
26
@MRSH
MRSHW 90-67
−0.5
29
@SEMO
SEMOW 88-77
+11.5
3
vsTNTC
TNTCW 83-80
+10.5
7
vsAAMU
AAMUW 92-58
+3.5
over 5under 4avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Duke
10 games played
Straight up
10-0
100% wins
Against the spread
7-3
70% covers · avg +3.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-9
10% overs · avg −6.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs TEX | W 75-60 | -10.5 | W +4.5 | 153.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 8 | vsWCU | W 95-54 | -36.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 11 | @ ARMY | W 114-59 | -33.5 | W +21.5 | 152.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 14 | vs INST | W 100-62 | -37.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | U 162 |
| Nov 18 | vs KU | W 78-66 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 21 | vs NIA | W 100-42 | -39.5 | W +18.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 23 | vs HOW | W 93-56 | -43.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 27 | vs ARK | W 80-71 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 2 | vs FLA | W 67-66 | -9.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 6 | @ MSU | W 66-60 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 141.5 | U 126 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsTEX
TEXW 75-60
+4.5
8
vsWCU
WCUW 95-54
+4.5
11
@ARMY
ARMYW 114-59
+21.5
14
vsINST
INSTW 100-62
+0.5
18
vsKU
KUW 78-66
+1.5
21
vsNIA
NIAW 100-42
+18.5
23
vsHOW
HOWW 93-56
−6.5
27
vsARK
ARKW 80-71
−3.5
2
vsFLA
FLAW 67-66
−8.5
6
@MSU
MSUW 66-60
+4.5
covered 7didn’t cover 3avg +3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsTEX
TEXW 75-60
−18.5
8
vsWCU
WCUW 95-54
−3.5
11
@ARMY
ARMYW 114-59
+20.5
14
vsINST
INSTW 100-62
−1.5
18
vsKU
KUW 78-66
−5.5
21
vsNIA
NIAW 100-42
−4.5
23
vsHOW
HOWW 93-56
−5.5
27
vsARK
ARKW 80-71
−8.5
2
vsFLA
FLAW 67-66
−24.5
6
@MSU
MSUW 66-60
−15.5
over 1under 9avg −6.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Lipscomb
5-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Alabama A&M92–58
- Wvs Tennessee Tech83–80
- W@ SE Missouri88–77
- W@ Marshall90–67
- Wvs W Carolina83–62
A week or more of rest.
Duke
10-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Michigan St66–60
- Wvs Florida67–66
- Wvs Arkansas80–71
- Wvs Howard93–56
- Wvs Niagara100–42
A week or more of rest.