Robins Center · at Richmond
Closing line
RICH -3.5✓ RICH covered by 5.5
RICH -3.5✓ RICH covered by 5.5Closing total153.5Over by 23.5
 SIU | This season | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| 5-4 | Record | 7-1 |
| 5-4 | ATS | 4-4 |
| 4-5 | O/U | 5-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SIU 75–80 RICH · ✓ RICH (65%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SIU | 36 | 38 | 10 | 84 |
| RICH | 32 | 42 | 19 | 93 |
1st half: SIU 36, RICH 32 (SIU by 4). The model had RICH by 2.5 and a total of 72.6 (actual 68).
Team stats
| SIU | RICH | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-69 43% | Field goals | 32-63 51% |
| 4-13 31% | 3-pointers | 9-26 35% |
| 20-25 80% | Free throws | 20-27 74% |
| 48 15 off | Rebounds | 29 2 off |
| 14 | Assists | 14 |
| 7 | Steals | 10 |
| 0 | Blocks | 5 |
| 22 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 27 | Fouls | 23 |
| 44 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| SIU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damien Mayo Jr. G | 32 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 4-6 | 3-4 |
| Rolyns Aligbe F | 32 | 19 | 11 | 0 | 7-11 | 1-2 |
| Drew Steffe G | 31 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 2-9 | 0-1 |
| Prince Aligbe F | 31 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 2-7 | 0-0 |
| Quel'Ron House G | 28 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 7-15 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jalen Haynes G | 22 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Davion Sykes G | 15 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Max Pikaar F | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Isaiah Stafford G | 13 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3-7 | 0-2 |
| Jorge Moreno F | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Daniel Pauliukonis, Luke Walsh, Caden Hawkins, Jaheem Webber
| RICH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Johnston G | 34 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 5-10 | 3-5 |
| AJ Lopez G | 28 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-3 |
| Mike Walz C | 18 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3-8 | 0-2 |
| Collin Tanner G | 18 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Mikkel Tyne G | 14 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 4-6 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Apostolos Roumoglou F | 28 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Aiden Argabright G | 27 | 18 | 0 | 3 | 4-6 | 1-3 |
| Jonathan Beagle F | 22 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 7-10 | 0-1 |
| Jaden Daughtry F | 16 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 4-8 | 2-3 |
| David Thomas G | 15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Jaylen Robinson F | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Dylan Homenick, Will Harper III, Donovan Richardson, Bryson McGlothin, Kirby Mooney
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenRICH -5.5
2 → SIU
CloseRICH -3.5
2 pts toward SIU
Total
Open153.5
no move
Close153.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
SIU +150 · RICH -180
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened RICH -5.5 · closed RICH -3.5 · moved 2 toward SIUmodel RICH -4.5
model RICH -4.5
Opened 153.5 · unchangedmodel 155
model 155
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | RICH -3.5 | RICH -4.4 | RICH +0.9 | W RICH covered |
| Total | 153.5 | 155.2 | Over 1.7 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | SIU 75.4 · RICH 79.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | RICH -2.5 | SIU -4.0 |
| 1H total | 72.6 | 68 |
| 1H projected score | SIU 35.1 · RICH 37.6 | SIU 36 · RICH 32 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SIUlast 9 | 5-4 56% | 5-4 56% | 4-5 44% |
| RICHlast 8 | 7-1 88% | 4-4 50% | 5-3 63% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
S Illinois
9 games played
Straight up
5-4
56% wins
Against the spread
5-4
56% covers · avg +4.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-5
44% overs · avg +2.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs KC | W 101-78 | -12.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 12 | @ NEV | L 81-86 | +11.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 17 | @ NDSU | L 85-92 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 23 | vs DEL | W 79-59 | -8.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 24 | vs UAB | L 73-81 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 161.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 26 | @ MEM | L 58-74 | +10.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 29 | vs LR | W 74-65 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 3 | @ HPU | W 86-84 | +9.5 | W +11.5 | 162.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 10 | vs UTM | W 83-54 | -8.5 | W +20.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsKC
KCW 101-78
+10.5
12
@NEV
NEVL 81-86
+6.5
17
@NDSU
NDSUL 85-92
−5.5
23
vsDEL
DELW 79-59
+11.5
24
vsUAB
UABL 73-81
−5.5
26
@MEM
MEML 58-74
−5.5
29
vsLR
LRW 74-65
−4.5
3
@HPU
HPUW 86-84
+11.5
10
vsUTM
UTMW 83-54
+20.5
covered 5didn’t cover 4avg +4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsKC
KCW 101-78
+37.5
12
@NEV
NEVL 81-86
+14.5
17
@NDSU
NDSUL 85-92
+23.5
23
vsDEL
DELW 79-59
−15.5
24
vsUAB
UABL 73-81
−7.5
26
@MEM
MEML 58-74
−24.5
29
vsLR
LRW 74-65
−2.5
3
@HPU
HPUW 86-84
+7.5
10
vsUTM
UTMW 83-54
−9.5
over 4under 5avg +2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Richmond
8 games played
Straight up
7-1
88% wins
Against the spread
4-4
50% covers · avg +5.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-3
63% overs · avg +4.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs ECU | W 87-72 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 11 | vs W&M | W 90-86 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 164.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 19 | vs VMI | W 87-54 | -14.5 | W +18.5 | 152.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 22 | vs GWEB | W 102-67 | -19.5 | W +15.5 | 154.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 27 | vs FUR | L 72-73 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 28 | vs CLT | W 71-66 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | @ BEL | W 84-76 | +6.5 | W +14.5 | 156.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 6 | vs ODU | W 86-77 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 163 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vsECU
ECUW 87-72
+9.5
11
vsW&M
W&MW 90-86
−5.5
19
vsVMI
VMIW 87-54
+18.5
22
vsGWEB
GWEBW 102-67
+15.5
27
vsFUR
FURL 72-73
−4.5
28
vsCLT
CLTW 71-66
−1.5
3
@BEL
BELW 84-76
+14.5
6
vsODU
ODUW 86-77
−3.5
covered 4didn’t cover 4avg +5.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsECU
ECUW 87-72
+15.5
11
vsW&M
W&MW 90-86
+11.5
19
vsVMI
VMIW 87-54
−11.5
22
vsGWEB
GWEBW 102-67
+14.5
27
vsFUR
FURL 72-73
−2.5
28
vsCLT
CLTW 71-66
−4.5
3
@BEL
BELW 84-76
+3.5
6
vsODU
ODUW 86-77
+9.5
over 5under 3avg +4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
S Illinois
5-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UT Martin83–54
- W@ High Point86–84
- Wvs Little Rock74–65
- L@ Memphis58–74
- Lvs UAB73–81
3 days since their last game.
Richmond
7-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Old Dominion86–77
- W@ Belmont84–76
- Wvs Charlotte71–66
- Lvs Furman72–73
- Wvs Gardner-Webb102–67
A week or more of rest.