Gervin GameAbove Center · at E Michigan · Conference game
Closing line
EMU -7.5✓ EMU covered by 10.5
EMU -7.5✓ EMU covered by 10.5Closing total141.5Under by 5.5
 NIU | This season | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| 3-10 | Record | 7-9 |
| 6-7 | ATS | 11-5 |
| 4-9 | O/U | 4-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NIU 66–76 EMU · ✓ EMU (83%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NIU | 26 | 33 | 59 |
| EMU | 28 | 49 | 77 |
1st half: NIU 26, EMU 28 (EMU by 2). The model had EMU by 6.3 and a total of 66.5 (actual 54).
Team stats
| NIU | EMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-59 36% | Field goals | 30-61 49% |
| 6-25 24% | 3-pointers | 5-18 28% |
| 11-19 58% | Free throws | 12-15 80% |
| 38 10 off | Rebounds | 39 5 off |
| 13 | Assists | 16 |
| 5 | Steals | 6 |
| 2 | Blocks | 8 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 18 | Fouls | 17 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| NIU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taj Walters G | 36 | 13 | 10 | 0 | 5-13 | 2-5 |
| Gianni Cobb G | 36 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 4-9 | 0-1 |
| Makhai Valentine G | 31 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 5-11 | 3-7 |
| Gustav Winther F | 29 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Dylan Ducommun G | 29 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-9 | 0-7 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Daemar Kelly G | 27 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 3-10 | 1-5 |
| Hassan Washington F | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Carlos Coronado G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Max Laskey, Isaiah Stewart, Ladji Kante, Isaiah Washington, Jao Ituka, Jaylen Wharton, Lataevyon Taylor, JJ Taylor
| EMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohammad Habhab F | 36 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 7-15 | 0-1 |
| Carlos Hart G | 34 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| Addison Patterson F | 26 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 7-13 | 0-3 |
| Braelon Green G | 24 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Godslove Nwabude F | 20 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jon Sanders II G | 17 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Gregory Lawson II G | 15 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 5-8 | 3-4 |
| Aidan Rubio G | 13 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3-7 | 2-4 |
| Mak Manciel G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Mehki Ellison G | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Merritt Alderink F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Cooper Smith, John Shanu II, Mbaye N'Diaye
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketEMU -7.5
ModelEMU -10.8
Model edgeEMU +3.3
W EMU covered
Total
Market141.5
Model142.0
Model edgeOver 0.5
L Under
Projected score
NIU 65.6 · EMU 76.4
NIU 59 · EMU 77
Win probability
EMU 83%
1st half
Spread
EMU -6.3
EMU -2.0
Total
66.5
54 points
Projected score
NIU 30.1 · EMU 36.4
NIU 26 · EMU 28
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenEMU -9.5
2 → NIU
CloseEMU -7.5
2 pts toward NIU
Total
Open138.5
▲ 3
Close141.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
NIU +320 · EMU -410
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened EMU -9.5 · closed EMU -7.5 · moved 2 toward NIUmodel EMU -11
model EMU -11
Opened 138.5 · closed 141.5 · moved 3 upmodel 142
model 142
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NIU | 2-8 20% | 4-6 40% | 2-8 20% |
| EMU | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% | 2-8 20% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
NIU 4–3 EMUNIU leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · EMU has won the last 2 meetings · NIU 7-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | EMU 79 @ NIU 76 | NIU +5.5 | NIU W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | NIU 71 @ EMU 75 | EMU -6.5 | NIU W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | EMU 66 @ NIU 76 | NIU -5.5 | NIU W |
| Mar 3, 2022-23 | EMU 66 @ NIU 85 | NIU -4.5 | NIU W |
| Jan 21, 2022-23 | NIU 88 @ EMU 67 | EMU -2.5 | NIU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
N Illinois
13 games played
Straight up
3-10
23% wins
Against the spread
6-7
46% covers · avg −0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-9
31% overs · avg −2.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs ULM | W 102-82 | -7.5 | W +12.5 | 147.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 7 | @ WIS | L 72-97 | +28.5 | W +3.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 10 | @ GCU | L 59-88 | +22.5 | L −6.5 | 163.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 18 | @ UNI | L 57-70 | +19.5 | W +6.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 21 | @ LUC | W 76-59 | +13.5 | W +30.5 | 148.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 25 | @ APSU | L 59-77 | +6.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 2 | vs LIN | L 64-99 | -3.5 | L −38.5 | 147.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 6 | @ BRAD | L 55-84 | +18.5 | L −10.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 13 | @ ELON | L 79-85 | +11.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 20 | vs CMU | W 74-73 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 31 | vs BUF | L 67-81 | +6.5 | L −7.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 3 | @ KENT | L 73-77 | +16.5 | W +12.5 | 157.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 6 | vs TOL | L 61-75 | +7.5 | L −6.5 | 161.5 | U 136 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsULM
ULMW 102-82
+12.5
7
@WIS
WISL 72-97
+3.5
10
@GCU
GCUL 59-88
−6.5
18
@UNI
UNIL 57-70
+6.5
21
@LUC
LUCW 76-59
+30.5
25
@APSU
APSUL 59-77
−11.5
2
vsLIN
LINL 64-99
−38.5
6
@BRAD
BRADL 55-84
−10.5
13
@ELON
ELONL 79-85
+5.5
20
vsCMU
CMUW 74-73
−1.5
31
vsBUF
BUFL 67-81
−7.5
3
@KENT
KENTL 73-77
+12.5
6
vsTOL
TOLL 61-75
−6.5
covered 6didn’t cover 7avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsULM
ULMW 102-82
+36.5
7
@WIS
WISL 72-97
+11.5
10
@GCU
GCUL 59-88
−16.5
18
@UNI
UNIL 57-70
−19.5
21
@LUC
LUCW 76-59
−13.5
25
@APSU
APSUL 59-77
−11.5
2
vsLIN
LINL 64-99
+15.5
6
@BRAD
BRADL 55-84
−7.5
13
@ELON
ELONL 79-85
+7.5
20
vsCMU
CMUW 74-73
−2.5
31
vsBUF
BUFL 67-81
−4.5
3
@KENT
KENTL 73-77
−7.5
6
vsTOL
TOLL 61-75
−25.5
over 4under 9avg −2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
E Michigan
16 games played
Straight up
7-9
44% wins
Against the spread
11-5
69% covers · avg +3.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-12
25% overs · avg −8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs GAST | W 71-49 | -3.5 | W +18.5 | 149.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 10 | @ PITT | L 66-78 | +15.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 14 | vs IUIN | L 83-90 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 186.5 | U 173 |
| Nov 18 | @ DETM | W 72-62 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 157.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 21 | vs OAK | W 97-91 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 153.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 24 | @ LOU | L 46-87 | +33.5 | L −7.5 | 162.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 26 | @ CIN | W 64-56 | +22.5 | W +30.5 | 146.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 28 | vs NJIT | W 73-55 | -14.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 2 | @ BTLR | L 68-84 | +17.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 10 | @ PFW | L 65-80 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 19 | @ AKR | L 72-93 | +15.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 22 | @ WRST | L 64-70 | +10.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 30 | vs MASS | W 80-74 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 148.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 3 | vs OHIO | L 67-68 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 6 | @ BALL | W 74-52 | +1.5 | W +23.5 | 137.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 10 | @ WMU | L 62-79 | -1.5 | L −18.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsGAST
GASTW 71-49
+18.5
10
@PITT
PITTL 66-78
+3.5
14
vsIUIN
IUINL 83-90
−11.5
18
@DETM
DETMW 72-62
+11.5
21
vsOAK
OAKW 97-91
+7.5
24
@LOU
LOUL 46-87
−7.5
26
@CIN
CINW 64-56
+30.5
28
vsNJIT
NJITW 73-55
+3.5
2
@BTLR
BTLRL 68-84
+1.5
10
@PFW
PFWL 65-80
−11.5
19
@AKR
AKRL 72-93
−5.5
22
@WRST
WRSTL 64-70
+4.5
30
vsMASS
MASSW 80-74
+8.5
3
vsOHIO
OHIOL 67-68
+1.5
6
@BALL
BALLW 74-52
+23.5
10
@WMU
WMUL 62-79
−18.5
covered 11didn’t cover 5avg +3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsGAST
GASTW 71-49
−29.5
10
@PITT
PITTL 66-78
+2.5
14
vsIUIN
IUINL 83-90
−13.5
18
@DETM
DETMW 72-62
−23.5
21
vsOAK
OAKW 97-91
+34.5
24
@LOU
LOUL 46-87
−29.5
26
@CIN
CINW 64-56
−26.5
28
vsNJIT
NJITW 73-55
−13.5
2
@BTLR
BTLRL 68-84
−1.5
10
@PFW
PFWL 65-80
−2.5
19
@AKR
AKRL 72-93
+9.5
22
@WRST
WRSTL 64-70
−8.5
30
vsMASS
MASSW 80-74
+5.5
3
vsOHIO
OHIOL 67-68
−15.5
6
@BALL
BALLW 74-52
−11.5
10
@WMU
WMUL 62-79
−4.5
over 4under 12avg −8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
N Illinois
3-10 overall · 1-3 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Toledo61–75
- L@ Kent State73–77
- Lvs Buffalo67–81
- Wvs C Michigan74–73
- L@ Elon79–85
A week or more of rest.
E Michigan
7-9 overall · 2-3 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ W Michigan62–79
- W@ Ball State74–52
- Lvs Ohio67–68
- Wvs UMass80–74
- L@ Wright St64–70
3 days since their last game.