Gervin GameAbove Center · at E Michigan · Conference game
Closing line
OHIO -2.5✓ EMU covered by 1.5
OHIO -2.5✓ EMU covered by 1.5Closing total150.5Under by 15.5
| OHIO | This season | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| 5-7 | Record | 6-7 |
| 6-6 | ATS | 9-4 |
| 6-6 | O/U | 4-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: OHIO 75–75 EMU · ✓ OHIO (51%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| OHIO | 15 | 53 | 68 |
| EMU | 32 | 35 | 67 |
1st half: OHIO 15, EMU 32 (EMU by 17). The model had OHIO by 0.4 and a total of 70.3 (actual 47).
Team stats
| OHIO | EMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-58 43% | Field goals | 21-52 40% |
| 7-27 26% | 3-pointers | 7-16 44% |
| 11-15 73% | Free throws | 18-27 67% |
| 35 10 off | Rebounds | 38 12 off |
| 9 | Assists | 10 |
| 7 | Steals | 4 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 22 | Fouls | 18 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 18 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| OHIO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Paveletzke G | 38 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 5-11 | 2-5 |
| Aidan Hadaway F | 37 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 5-12 | 1-6 |
| Ajay Sheldon G | 31 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 3-10 | 3-9 |
| Javan Simmons F | 28 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 5-11 | 0-0 |
| JJ Kelly G | 21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Elijah Elliott G | 22 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Jalen Breath F | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jesse Burris G | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Dior Conners G | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Kiir Kuany F | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Ayden Evans F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Chase Boals, Zay Mosley, Carter Reese, Jordan Fisher
| EMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohammad Habhab F | 39 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0-11 | 0-1 |
| Addison Patterson F | 32 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 7-13 | 1-2 |
| Carlos Hart G | 31 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0-5 | 0-2 |
| Braelon Green G | 19 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 6-6 | 3-3 |
| Godslove Nwabude F | 16 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jon Sanders II G | 22 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 2-6 | 2-4 |
| Mak Manciel G | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Aidan Rubio G | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| John Shanu II C | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Mehki Ellison G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Gregory Lawson II G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Mbaye N'Diaye, Merritt Alderink, Cooper Smith
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenOHIO -1.5
1 → OHIO
CloseOHIO -2.5
1 pt toward OHIO
Total
Open150.5
no move
Close150.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
OHIO -148 · EMU +124
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened OHIO -1.5 · closed OHIO -2.5 · moved 1 toward OHIOmodel OHIO -0.5
model OHIO -0.5
Opened 150.5 · unchangedmodel 150
model 150
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | OHIO -2.5 | OHIO -0.4 | EMU +2.1 | W EMU covered |
| Total | 150.5 | 150.1 | Under 0.4 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | OHIO 75.3 · EMU 74.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | OHIO -0.4 | EMU -17.0 |
| 1H total | 70.3 | 47 |
| 1H projected score | OHIO 35.4 · EMU 35 | OHIO 15 · EMU 32 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| OHIO | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| EMU | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
OHIO 3–3 EMUSeries tied · 6 games since 2021-22 · EMU has won the last 2 meetings · OHIO 2-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2024-25 | EMU 83 @ OHIO 79 | OHIO -8.5 | EMU W |
| Jan 21, 2024-25 | OHIO 87 @ EMU 94 | EMU +8.5 | EMU W |
| Jan 20, 2023-24 | EMU 67 @ OHIO 85 | OHIO -12.5 | OHIO W |
| Jan 31, 2022-23 | OHIO 79 @ EMU 90 | EMU +7.5 | EMU W |
| Feb 12, 2021-22 | OHIO 74 @ EMU 56 | EMU +9.5 | OHIO W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Ohio
12 games played
Straight up
5-7
42% wins
Against the spread
6-6
50% covers · avg −1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-6
50% overs · avg −0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs ARST | L 85-89 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 159.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 6 | vs ILST | W 72-68 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 161.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 11 | @ SMC | L 60-90 | +17.5 | L −12.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 15 | @ LOU | L 81-106 | +31.5 | W +6.5 | 174.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 19 | vs BCU | L 73-76 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 24 | vs GMU | L 69-92 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 142.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 25 | vs LMU | L 58-70 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 3 | vs ME | W 79-57 | -12.5 | W +9.5 | 138.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 6 | vs MRSH | W 88-81 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 13 | vs SBU | W 88-83 | +6.5 | W +11.5 | 150.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 20 | vs BGSU | L 58-68 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 153.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 30 | @ CMU | W 80-64 | -6.5 | W +9.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsARST
ARSTL 85-89
−7.5
6
vsILST
ILSTW 72-68
+2.5
11
@SMC
SMCL 60-90
−12.5
15
@LOU
LOUL 81-106
+6.5
19
vsBCU
BCUL 73-76
−9.5
24
vsGMU
GMUL 69-92
−15.5
25
vsLMU
LMUL 58-70
−8.5
3
vsME
MEW 79-57
+9.5
6
vsMRSH
MRSHW 88-81
+3.5
13
vsSBU
SBUW 88-83
+11.5
20
vsBGSU
BGSUL 58-68
−8.5
30
@CMU
CMUW 80-64
+9.5
covered 6didn’t cover 6avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsARST
ARSTL 85-89
+14.5
6
vsILST
ILSTW 72-68
−21.5
11
@SMC
SMCL 60-90
+5.5
15
@LOU
LOUL 81-106
+12.5
19
vsBCU
BCUL 73-76
−8.5
24
vsGMU
GMUL 69-92
+18.5
25
vsLMU
LMUL 58-70
−16.5
3
vsME
MEW 79-57
−2.5
6
vsMRSH
MRSHW 88-81
+11.5
13
vsSBU
SBUW 88-83
+20.5
20
vsBGSU
BGSUL 58-68
−27.5
30
@CMU
CMUW 80-64
−7.5
over 6under 6avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
E Michigan
13 games played
Straight up
6-7
46% wins
Against the spread
9-4
69% covers · avg +4.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-9
31% overs · avg −7.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs GAST | W 71-49 | -3.5 | W +18.5 | 149.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 10 | @ PITT | L 66-78 | +15.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 14 | vs IUIN | L 83-90 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 186.5 | U 173 |
| Nov 18 | @ DETM | W 72-62 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 157.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 21 | vs OAK | W 97-91 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 153.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 24 | @LOU | L 46-87 | +33.5 | L −7.5 | 162.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 26 | @ CIN | W 64-56 | +22.5 | W +30.5 | 146.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 28 | vs NJIT | W 73-55 | -14.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 2 | @ BTLR | L 68-84 | +17.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 10 | @ PFW | L 65-80 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 19 | @ AKR | L 72-93 | +15.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 22 | @ WRST | L 64-70 | +10.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 30 | vs MASS | W 80-74 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 148.5 | O 154 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsGAST
GASTW 71-49
+18.5
10
@PITT
PITTL 66-78
+3.5
14
vsIUIN
IUINL 83-90
−11.5
18
@DETM
DETMW 72-62
+11.5
21
vsOAK
OAKW 97-91
+7.5
24
@LOU
LOUL 46-87
−7.5
26
@CIN
CINW 64-56
+30.5
28
vsNJIT
NJITW 73-55
+3.5
2
@BTLR
BTLRL 68-84
+1.5
10
@PFW
PFWL 65-80
−11.5
19
@AKR
AKRL 72-93
−5.5
22
@WRST
WRSTL 64-70
+4.5
30
vsMASS
MASSW 80-74
+8.5
covered 9didn’t cover 4avg +4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsGAST
GASTW 71-49
−29.5
10
@PITT
PITTL 66-78
+2.5
14
vsIUIN
IUINL 83-90
−13.5
18
@DETM
DETMW 72-62
−23.5
21
vsOAK
OAKW 97-91
+34.5
24
@LOU
LOUL 46-87
−29.5
26
@CIN
CINW 64-56
−26.5
28
vsNJIT
NJITW 73-55
−13.5
2
@BTLR
BTLRL 68-84
−1.5
10
@PFW
PFWL 65-80
−2.5
19
@AKR
AKRL 72-93
+9.5
22
@WRST
WRSTL 64-70
−8.5
30
vsMASS
MASSW 80-74
+5.5
over 4under 9avg −7.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Ohio
5-7 overall · 1-1 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ C Michigan80–64
- Lvs Bowling Green58–68
- Wvs St Bonaventure88–83
- Wvs Marshall88–81
- Wvs Maine79–57
4 days since their last game.
E Michigan
6-7 overall · 1-1 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UMass80–74
- L@ Wright St64–70
- L@ Akron72–93
- L@ Purdue FW65–80
- L@ Butler68–84
4 days since their last game.