NIU Convocation Center · at N Illinois · Conference game
Closing line
NIU -2.5✓ CMU covered by 1.5
NIU -2.5✓ CMU covered by 1.5Closing total149.5Under by 2.5
 CMU | This season | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| 2-7 | Record | 2-7 |
| 4-5 | ATS | 5-4 |
| 5-4 | O/U | 4-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CMU 75–75 NIU · ✓ NIU (51%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CMU | 44 | 29 | 73 |
| NIU | 27 | 47 | 74 |
1st half: CMU 44, NIU 27 (CMU by 17). The model had NIU by 0.1 and a total of 70.4 (actual 71).
Team stats
| CMU | NIU | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-60 50% | Field goals | 22-46 48% |
| 6-21 29% | 3-pointers | 5-19 26% |
| 7-13 54% | Free throws | 25-34 74% |
| 30 13 off | Rebounds | 31 12 off |
| 20 | Assists | 12 |
| 8 | Steals | 7 |
| 4 | Blocks | 0 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 23 | Fouls | 17 |
| 44 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| CMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Claerbaut C | 32 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 8-14 | 0-0 |
| Phat Phat Brooks G | 29 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Nick Mullen F | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 7-12 | 2-6 |
| Jaxson Whitaker G | 23 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-4 | 0-4 |
| Tamario Adley G | 22 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Logan McIntire G | 27 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 5-10 | 4-7 |
| Keenan Garner F | 19 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 4-5 | 0-1 |
| Jalen Kampen G | 14 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Will Ashford G | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kareem Aburashed, Kayden Nation, Jorden Brooks, Rodney Johnson Jr., Nsikan Usen, Uchenna Amene
| NIU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makhai Valentine G | 36 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 3-8 | 1-6 |
| Gustav Winther F | 34 | 14 | 11 | 0 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| Dylan Ducommun G | 32 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 4-7 | 2-4 |
| Daemar Kelly G | 21 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Hassan Washington F | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Taj Walters G | 29 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 5-8 | 1-2 |
| Gianni Cobb G | 28 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 3-8 | 0-2 |
| Ladji Kante F | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jao Ituka G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jaylen Wharton, Isaiah Washington, Carlos Coronado, Lataevyon Taylor, Isaiah Stewart, Max Laskey, JJ Taylor
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNIU -2.5
ModelNIU -0.3
Model edgeCMU +2.2
W CMU covered
Total
Market149.5
Model150.3
Model edgeOver 0.8
L Under
Projected score
CMU 75 · NIU 75.3
CMU 73 · NIU 74
Win probability
NIU 51%
1st half
Spread
NIU -0.1
CMU -17.0
Total
70.4
71 points
Projected score
CMU 35.2 · NIU 35.2
CMU 44 · NIU 27
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNIU -2.5
no move
CloseNIU -2.5
No change since the open
Total
Open149.5
no move
Close149.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
CMU +114 · NIU -135
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NIU -2.5 · unchangedmodel NIU -0.5
model NIU -0.5
Opened 149.5 · unchangedmodel 150.5
model 150.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CMUlast 9 | 2-7 22% | 4-5 44% | 5-4 56% |
| NIUlast 9 | 2-7 22% | 5-4 56% | 4-5 44% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
CMU 4–3 NIUCMU leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · CMU 3-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2024-25 | NIU 83 @ CMU 81 | CMU -14.5 | NIU W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | CMU 71 @ NIU 66 | NIU +9.5 | NIU W |
| Mar 5, 2023-24 | CMU 69 @ NIU 63 | NIU +2.5 | CMU W |
| Jan 30, 2023-24 | NIU 77 @ CMU 84 | CMU -3.5 | CMU W |
| Feb 25, 2022-23 | NIU 84 @ CMU 80 | CMU +2.5 | NIU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
C Michigan
9 games played
Straight up
2-7
22% wins
Against the spread
4-5
44% covers · avg −5.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-4
56% overs · avg +1.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs APP | W 82-66 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 8 | @ BRAD | L 54-85 | +9.5 | L −21.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 13 | vs USA | L 64-66 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 14 | vs COPP | W 82-59 | -10.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 20 | vs NKU | L 66-90 | -4.5 | L −28.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 22 | @ MARQ | L 71-85 | +25.5 | W +11.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 2 | @ LUC | L 72-83 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 140.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 7 | @ SLU | L 65-107 | +24.5 | L −17.5 | 160.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | @ STBK | L 55-78 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsAPP
APPW 82-66
+14.5
8
@BRAD
BRADL 54-85
−21.5
13
vsUSA
USAL 64-66
+3.5
14
vsCOPP
COPPW 82-59
+12.5
20
vsNKU
NKUL 66-90
−28.5
22
@MARQ
MARQL 71-85
+11.5
2
@LUC
LUCL 72-83
−4.5
7
@SLU
SLUL 65-107
−17.5
13
@STBK
STBKL 55-78
−15.5
covered 4didn’t cover 5avg −5.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsAPP
APPW 82-66
+5.5
8
@BRAD
BRADL 54-85
−8.5
13
vsUSA
USAL 64-66
−12.5
14
vsCOPP
COPPW 82-59
−1.5
20
vsNKU
NKUL 66-90
+9.5
22
@MARQ
MARQL 71-85
+3.5
2
@LUC
LUCL 72-83
+14.5
7
@SLU
SLUL 65-107
+11.5
13
@STBK
STBKL 55-78
−12.5
over 5under 4avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
N Illinois
9 games played
Straight up
2-7
22% wins
Against the spread
5-4
56% covers · avg −0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-5
44% overs · avg +0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs ULM | W 102-82 | -7.5 | W +12.5 | 147.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 7 | @ WIS | L 72-97 | +28.5 | W +3.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 10 | @ GCU | L 59-88 | +22.5 | L −6.5 | 163.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 18 | @ UNI | L 57-70 | +19.5 | W +6.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 21 | @LUC | W 76-59 | +13.5 | W +30.5 | 148.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 25 | @ APSU | L 59-77 | +6.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 2 | vs LIN | L 64-99 | -3.5 | L −38.5 | 147.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 6 | @BRAD | L 55-84 | +18.5 | L −10.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 13 | @ ELON | L 79-85 | +11.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | O 164 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsULM
ULMW 102-82
+12.5
7
@WIS
WISL 72-97
+3.5
10
@GCU
GCUL 59-88
−6.5
18
@UNI
UNIL 57-70
+6.5
21
@LUC
LUCW 76-59
+30.5
25
@APSU
APSUL 59-77
−11.5
2
vsLIN
LINL 64-99
−38.5
6
@BRAD
BRADL 55-84
−10.5
13
@ELON
ELONL 79-85
+5.5
covered 5didn’t cover 4avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsULM
ULMW 102-82
+36.5
7
@WIS
WISL 72-97
+11.5
10
@GCU
GCUL 59-88
−16.5
18
@UNI
UNIL 57-70
−19.5
21
@LUC
LUCW 76-59
−13.5
25
@APSU
APSUL 59-77
−11.5
2
vsLIN
LINL 64-99
+15.5
6
@BRAD
BRADL 55-84
−7.5
13
@ELON
ELONL 79-85
+7.5
over 4under 5avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
C Michigan
2-7 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Stony Brook55–78
- L@ Saint Louis65–107
- L@ Loyola Chicago72–83
- L@ Marquette71–85
- Lvs N Kentucky66–90
A week or more of rest.
N Illinois
2-7 overall · 0-0 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Elon79–85
- L@ Bradley55–84
- Lvs Lindenwood Lions64–99
- L@ Austin Peay59–77
- W@ Loyola Chicago76–59
A week or more of rest.