Pauley Pavilion · at UCLA
Closing line
UCLA -9.5✓ UCLA covered by 3.5
UCLA -9.5✓ UCLA covered by 3.5Closing total142.5Over by 24.5
 ASU | This season | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| 9-2 | Record | 7-3 |
| 8-3 | ATS | 4-6 |
| 5-6 | O/U | 5-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ASU 69–78 UCLA · ✓ UCLA (81%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASU | 33 | 44 | 77 |
| UCLA | 45 | 45 | 90 |
1st half: ASU 33, UCLA 45 (UCLA by 12). The model had UCLA by 5.8 and a total of 68.7 (actual 78).
Team stats
| ASU | UCLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-60 40% | Field goals | 29-62 47% |
| 4-26 15% | 3-pointers | 14-26 54% |
| 25-26 96% | Free throws | 18-22 82% |
| 35 11 off | Rebounds | 35 11 off |
| 15 | Assists | 19 |
| 7 | Steals | 8 |
| 1 | Blocks | 4 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 19 | Fouls | 24 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 18 |
Players
| ASU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maurice Odum G | 37 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 3-12 | 0-7 |
| Andrija Grbovic F | 36 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 5-15 | 1-7 |
| Massamba Diop C | 24 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Anthony Johnson G | 22 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 3-9 | 0-4 |
| Santiago Trouet F | 22 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Noah Meeusen G | 24 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| Marcus Adams Jr. F | 17 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Allen Mukeba F | 14 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Trevor Best G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Kash Polk, Dame Salane, Jovan Icitovic, Vijay Wallace, Quentin McCoy, Bryce Ford, Adante' Holiman
| UCLA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Dent G | 36 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 9-17 | 1-3 |
| Skyy Clark G | 32 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 6-13 | 6-10 |
| Tyler Bilodeau F | 31 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 4-10 | 2-4 |
| Eric Dailey Jr. F | 21 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0-6 | 0-2 |
| Xavier Booker C | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Brandon Williams F | 21 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Jamar Brown G | 20 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3-4 | 3-4 |
| Trent Perry G | 14 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Steven Jamerson II F | 11 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Markell Alston, Anthony Peoples Jr., Christian Horry, Eric Freeny, Jack Seidler, Evan Manjikian
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUCLA -9.5
ModelUCLA -9.9
Model edgeUCLA +0.4
W UCLA covered
Total
Market142.5
Model146.8
Model edgeOver 4.3
W Over
Projected score
ASU 68.5 · UCLA 78.3
ASU 77 · UCLA 90
Win probability
UCLA 81%
1st half
Spread
UCLA -5.8
UCLA -12.0
Total
68.7
78 points
Projected score
ASU 31.5 · UCLA 37.3
ASU 33 · UCLA 45
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCLA -9.5
no move
CloseUCLA -9.5
No change since the open
Total
Open146.5
▼ 4
Close142.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
ASU +410 · UCLA -550
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCLA -9.5 · unchangedmodel UCLA -10
model UCLA -10
Opened 146.5 · closed 142.5 · moved 4 downmodel 147
model 147
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASU | 8-2 80% | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% |
| UCLA | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
ASU 1–5 UCLAUCLA leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · UCLA has won the last 5 meetings · ASU 1-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2023-24 | ASU 47 @ UCLA 59 | UCLA -6.5 | UCLA W |
| Jan 17, 2023-24 | UCLA 68 @ ASU 66 | ASU -3.5 | UCLA W |
| Mar 2, 2022-23 | ASU 61 @ UCLA 79 | UCLA -11.5 | UCLA W |
| Jan 19, 2022-23 | UCLA 74 @ ASU 62 | ASU +5.5 | UCLA W |
| Feb 21, 2021-22 | ASU 52 @ UCLA 66 | UCLA -13.5 | UCLA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Arizona St
11 games played
Straight up
9-2
82% wins
Against the spread
8-3
73% covers · avg +3.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-6
45% overs · avg +0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs SUU | W 81-64 | -17.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 9 | vs UTU | W 81-66 | -12.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 14 | vs GONZ | L 65-77 | +13.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 17 | vs GAST | W 75-62 | -18.5 | L −5.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 20 | @ HAW | W 83-76 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 24 | vs TEX | W 87-86 | +6.5 | W +7.5 | 153.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 25 | vs WSU | W 100-94 | -4.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | O 194 |
| Nov 26 | vs USC | L 75-88 | +4.5 | L −8.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 6 | vs OU | W 86-70 | +5.5 | W +21.5 | 157.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 9 | vs NAU | W 73-48 | -16.5 | W +8.5 | 154.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 13 | vs SCU | W 82-79 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | O 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsSUU
SUUW 81-64
−0.5
9
vsUTU
UTUW 81-66
+2.5
14
vsGONZ
GONZL 65-77
+1.5
17
vsGAST
GASTW 75-62
−5.5
20
@HAW
HAWW 83-76
+8.5
24
vsTEX
TEXW 87-86
+7.5
25
vsWSU
WSUW 100-94
+1.5
26
vsUSC
USCL 75-88
−8.5
6
vsOU
OUW 86-70
+21.5
9
vsNAU
NAUW 73-48
+8.5
13
vsSCU
SCUW 82-79
+4.5
covered 8didn’t cover 3avg +3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsSUU
SUUW 81-64
−6.5
9
vsUTU
UTUW 81-66
−5.5
14
vsGONZ
GONZL 65-77
−16.5
17
vsGAST
GASTW 75-62
−8.5
20
@HAW
HAWW 83-76
+15.5
24
vsTEX
TEXW 87-86
+19.5
25
vsWSU
WSUW 100-94
+36.5
26
vsUSC
USCL 75-88
+1.5
6
vsOU
OUW 86-70
−1.5
9
vsNAU
NAUW 73-48
−33.5
13
vsSCU
SCUW 82-79
+6.5
over 5under 6avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
UCLA
10 games played
Straight up
7-3
70% wins
Against the spread
4-6
40% covers · avg −4.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-5
50% overs · avg −2.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs EWU | W 80-74 | -29.5 | L −23.5 | 149.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 7 | vs PEPP | W 74-63 | -29.5 | L −18.5 | 152.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 10 | vs WGA | W 83-62 | -30.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 14 | vs ARIZ | L 65-69 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 18 | vs SAC | W 79-48 | -27.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 21 | vs PRES | W 86-46 | -25.5 | W +14.5 | 131.5 | O 132 |
| Nov 25 | vs CAL | L 72-80 | -7.5 | L −15.5 | 143.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 3 | @ WASH | W 82-80 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 6 | vs ORE | W 74-63 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 13 | vsGONZ | L 72-82 | +10.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsEWU
EWUW 80-74
−23.5
7
vsPEPP
PEPPW 74-63
−18.5
10
vsWGA
WGAW 83-62
−9.5
14
vsARIZ
ARIZL 65-69
−2.5
18
vsSAC
SACW 79-48
+3.5
21
vsPRES
PRESW 86-46
+14.5
25
vsCAL
CALL 72-80
−15.5
3
@WASH
WASHW 82-80
−0.5
6
vsORE
OREW 74-63
+2.5
13
vsGONZ
GONZL 72-82
+0.5
covered 4didn’t cover 6avg −4.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsEWU
EWUW 80-74
+4.5
7
vsPEPP
PEPPW 74-63
−15.5
10
vsWGA
WGAW 83-62
−1.5
14
vsARIZ
ARIZL 65-69
−19.5
18
vsSAC
SACW 79-48
−19.5
21
vsPRES
PRESW 86-46
+0.5
25
vsCAL
CALL 72-80
+8.5
3
@WASH
WASHW 82-80
+20.5
6
vsORE
OREW 74-63
−9.5
13
vsGONZ
GONZL 72-82
+6.5
over 5under 5avg −2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Arizona St
9-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Santa Clara82–79
- Wvs N Arizona73–48
- Wvs Oklahoma86–70
- Lvs USC75–88
- Wvs Washington St100–94
4 days since their last game.
UCLA
7-3 overall · 2-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Gonzaga72–82
- Wvs Oregon74–63
- W@ Washington82–80
- Lvs California72–80
- Wvs Presbyterian86–46
4 days since their last game.