Hart Center Arena · at Holy Cross
Closing line
SIE -9.5✓ HC covered by 5.5
SIE -9.5✓ HC covered by 5.5Closing total137.5Over by 4.5
| SIE | This season | HC |
|---|---|---|
| 3-2 | Record | 1-5 |
| 3-2 | ATS | 3-3 |
| 1-4 | O/U | 2-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SIE 73–67 HC · ✓ SIE (69%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SIE | 39 | 34 | 73 |
| HC | 39 | 30 | 69 |
1st half: SIE 39, HC 39 (tied). The model had SIE by 3.7 and a total of 65.4 (actual 78).
Team stats
| SIE | HC | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-55 58% | Field goals | 28-52 54% |
| 2-11 18% | 3-pointers | 6-19 32% |
| 7-9 78% | Free throws | 7-10 70% |
| 25 4 off | Rebounds | 24 3 off |
| 14 | Assists | 13 |
| 9 | Steals | 5 |
| 1 | Blocks | 2 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 8 | Fouls | 14 |
| 50 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| SIE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Doty G | 38 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2-8 | 0-2 |
| Brendan Coyle G | 37 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 3-5 | 1-3 |
| Justice Shoats G | 36 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 11-16 | 0-1 |
| Tasman Goodrick F | 18 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 5-6 | 0-1 |
| Antonio Chandler F | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Francis Folefac F | 31 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7-9 | 0-0 |
| Christian Jones G | 17 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Isaiah Henderson G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Danny Murray, Owen Schlager, Cooper Nadler, Riley Mulvey, Tajae Jones, Chris Torres, Mosi Clayton, Marcus Jackson, Reid Ducharme
| HC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aiden Disu F | 36 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 7-11 | 1-2 |
| Tyler Boston G | 31 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4-7 | 2-4 |
| Joe Nugent F | 28 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-4 |
| Gabe Warren G | 27 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Aidan Richard F | 26 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3-8 | 1-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| DeAndre Williams G | 17 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Will Aljancic F | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| John St. Germain III G | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Declan Ryan F | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jude Haigh, Tim Finau, Ethan Clark, Austin Mejia, Chuck Hare, Jaden Kirkwood, Ben Capron
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSIE -9.5
ModelSIE -5.8
Model edgeHC +3.7
W HC covered
Total
Market137.5
Model139.6
Model edgeOver 2.1
W Over
Projected score
SIE 72.7 · HC 66.9
SIE 73 · HC 69
Win probability
SIE 69%
1st half
Spread
SIE -3.7
tied
Total
65.4
78 points
Projected score
SIE 34.5 · HC 30.9
SIE 39 · HC 39
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSIE -7.5
2 → SIE
CloseSIE -9.5
2 pts toward SIE
Total
Open139.5
▼ 2
Close137.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
SIE -550 · HC +380
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SIE -7.5 · closed SIE -9.5 · moved 2 toward SIEmodel SIE -6
model SIE -6
Opened 139.5 · closed 137.5 · moved 2 downmodel 139.5
model 139.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SIElast 5 | 3-2 60% | 3-2 60% | 1-4 20% |
| HClast 6 | 1-5 17% | 3-3 50% | 2-4 33% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
SIE 3–1 HCSIE leads · 4 games since 2021-22 · SIE 2-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2024-25 | HC 78 @ SIE 70 | SIE -4.5 | HC W |
| Nov 6, 2023-24 | HC 71 @ SIE 73 | SIE -6.5 | HC W |
| Nov 7, 2022-23 | SIE 75 @ HC 68 | HC +1.5 | SIE W |
| Dec 11, 2021-22 | SIE 72 @ HC 59 | HC +5.5 | SIE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Siena
5 games played
Straight up
3-2
60% wins
Against the spread
3-2
60% covers · avg +1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-4
20% overs · avg −8.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
BRY
BRYW 82-66
+2.5
7
@
BRWN
BRWNW 62-46
+12.5
12
@
SBU
SBUL 66-75
+0.5
17
vs
COLG
COLGL 69-72
−9.5
21
vs
UALB
UALBW 73-63
−0.5
covered 3didn’t cover 2avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBRY
BRYW 82-66
−0.5
7
@BRWN
BRWNW 62-46
−34.5
12
@SBU
SBUL 66-75
+0.5
17
vsCOLG
COLGL 69-72
−5.5
21
vsUALB
UALBW 73-63
−4.5
over 1under 4avg −8.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Holy Cross
6 games played
Straight up
1-5
17% wins
Against the spread
3-3
50% covers · avg −0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −8.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
PROV
PROVL 79-89
+13.5
8
@
BYU
BYUL 53-98
−6.5
10
@
UTAH
UTAHL 69-87
+3.5
16
vs
HAMP
HAMPW 67-61
+10.5
18
@BRWN
BRWNL 49-68
−16.5
21
@
SHU
SHUL 66-79
−5.5
covered 3didn’t cover 3avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@PROV
PROVL 79-89
+15.5
8
@BYU
BYUL 53-98
−14.5
10
@UTAH
UTAHL 69-87
+0.5
16
vsHAMP
HAMPW 67-61
−20.5
18
@BRWN
BRWNL 49-68
−24.5
21
@SHU
SHUL 66-79
−7.5
over 2under 4avg −8.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Siena
3-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UAlbany73–63
- Lvs Colgate69–72
- L@ St Bonaventure66–75
- W@ Brown62–46
- Wvs Bryant82–66
3 days since their last game.
Holy Cross
1-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Sacred Heart66–79
- L@ Brown49–68
- Wvs Hampton67–61
- L@ Utah69–87
- L@ BYU53–98
3 days since their last game.