Mullins Center · at UMass
Closing line
MASS -5.5✓ MASS covered by 1.5
Closing total143.5Over by 5.5
| This season | MASS | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-4 | Record | 4-3 |
| 3-5 | ATS | 2-5 |
| 3-5 | O/U | 3-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: HARV 71–74 MASS · ✓ MASS (61%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HARV | 21 | 50 | 71 |
| MASS | 36 | 42 | 78 |
1st half: HARV 21, MASS 36 (MASS by 15). The model had MASS by 1.7 and a total of 68.1 (actual 57).
Team stats
| HARV | MASS | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-65 43% | Field goals | 28-55 51% |
| 3-19 16% | 3-pointers | 8-16 50% |
| 12-15 80% | Free throws | 14-21 67% |
| 34 12 off | Rebounds | 33 7 off |
| 13 | Assists | 19 |
| 11 | Steals | 5 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 17 | Fouls | 19 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 20 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| HARV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Eisendrath G | 37 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Robert Hinton G | 36 | 35 | 8 | 2 | 12-22 | 0-3 |
| Chandler Pigge G | 32 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 4-15 | 1-3 |
| Tey Barbour G | 32 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3-9 | 1-7 |
| Thomas Batties II F | 28 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 6-9 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Austin Hunt G | 19 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Ryan Sullivan F | 7 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Luca Ace-Nasteski F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Frankie Mannino G | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Kenan Parrish F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Xavier Nesbitt G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Payton Pitts, Dutch Dowdell, Alex Touomou, Joseph Quartey, Greg Cooper, Avner Dror
| MASS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Banks Jr. G | 37 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 10-19 | 5-9 |
| Danny Carbuccia G | 36 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 2-7 | 0-1 |
| Jayden Ndjigue G | 35 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 4-6 | 1-1 |
| Daniel Hankins-Sanford F | 32 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Leonardo Bettiol F | 27 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 7-10 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dimitri Clerc F | 13 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Dwayne Wimbley Jr. F | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| K'Jei Parker G | 7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| Luka Damjanac F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Josh Engel, Donovan Brown, Isaiah Placide, Bilal Osman, CJ Outlaw, Rollie Castineyra
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMASS -5.5
ModelMASS -3.1
Model edgeHARV +2.4
L MASS covered
Total
Market143.5
Model145.3
Model edgeOver 1.8
W Over
Projected score
HARV 71.1 · MASS 74.2
HARV 71 · MASS 78
Win probability
MASS 61%
1st half
Spread
MASS -1.7
MASS -15.0
Total
68.1
57 points
Projected score
HARV 33.2 · MASS 34.9
HARV 21 · MASS 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMASS -4.5
1 → MASS
CloseMASS -5.5
1 pt toward MASS
Total
Open145.5
▼ 2
Close143.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
HARV +205 · MASS -250
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MASS -4.5 · closed MASS -5.5 · moved 1 toward MASSmodel MASS -3
model MASS -3
Opened 145.5 · closed 143.5 · moved 2 downmodel 145.5
model 145.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4 50% | 3-5 38% | 3-5 38% | |
| 4-3 57% | 2-5 29% | 3-4 43% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
HARV 1–3 MASSMASS leads · 4 games since 2021-22 · HARV 1-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2024-25 | MASS 62 @ HARV 54 | HARV +2.5 | MASS W |
| Nov 17, 2023-24 | HARV 78 @ MASS 75 | MASS -3.5 | HARV W |
| Dec 2, 2022-23 | MASS 71 @ HARV 68 | HARV +1.5 | MASS W |
| Dec 4, 2021-22 | HARV 77 @ MASS 87 | MASS -5 | MASS W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Harvard
8 games played
Straight up
4-4
50% wins
Against the spread
3-5
38% covers · avg −1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-5
38% overs · avg −4.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | vs | W 86-75 | -15.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 11 | vs | L 60-77 | -5.5 | L −22.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 15 | @ | W 75-52 | -6.5 | W +16.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 16 | @ | W 56-54 | +6.5 | W +8.5 | 130.5 | U 110 |
| Nov 19 | @ | L 80-84 | +12.5 | W +8.5 | 142.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 22 | vs | L 74-75 | -4.5 | L −5.5 | 136.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 26 | @ | L 60-73 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 138.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | vs | W 56-53 | -7.5 | L −4.5 | 137.5 | U 109 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
9
vs
UNH
W 86-75
−4.5
11
vs
NE
L 60-77
−22.5
15
@
ARMY
W 75-52
+16.5
16
@
MRST
W 56-54
+8.5
19
@
PSU
L 80-84
+8.5
22
vs
BU
L 74-75
−5.5
26
@
BC
L 60-73
−5.5
29
vs
BRY
W 56-53
−4.5
covered 3didn’t cover 5avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
9
vs
UNH
W 86-75
+13.5
11
vs
NE
L 60-77
−7.5
15
@
ARMY
W 75-52
−19.5
16
@
MRST
W 56-54
−20.5
19
@
PSU
L 80-84
+21.5
22
vs
BU
L 74-75
+12.5
26
@
BC
L 60-73
−5.5
29
vs
BRY
W 56-53
−28.5
over 3under 5avg −4.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
UMass
7 games played
Straight up
4-3
57% wins
Against the spread
2-5
29% covers · avg −0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-4
43% overs · avg −1.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | L 72-78 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 8 | vs | W 83-62 | -9.5 | W +11.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 13 | vs | W 94-80 | -16.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 16 | vs | W 84-77 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 21 | vs | L 65-69 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 161.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 22 | vs | L 75-79 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 24 | vs | W 73-65 | +3.5 | W +11.5 | 149.5 | U 138 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
MRSH
L 72-78
−10.5
8
vs
UALB
W 83-62
+11.5
13
vs
LEM
W 94-80
−2.5
16
vs
CCSU
W 84-77
−5.5
21
vs
COFC
L 65-69
−0.5
22
vs
GB
L 75-79
−9.5
24
vs
ORST
W 73-65
+11.5
covered 2didn’t cover 5avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
MRSH
L 72-78
−2.5
8
vs
UALB
W 83-62
−10.5
13
vs
LEM
W 94-80
+20.5
16
vs
CCSU
W 84-77
+16.5
21
vs
COFC
L 65-69
−27.5
22
vs
GB
L 75-79
+7.5
24
vs
ORST
W 73-65
−11.5
over 3under 4avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Harvard
4-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Bryant56–53
- L@ Boston College60–73
- Lvs Boston U74–75
- L@ Penn State80–84
- W@ Marist56–54
4 days since their last game.
UMass
4-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Oregon St73–65
- Lvs Green Bay75–79
- Lvs Charleston65–69
- Wvs C Connecticut84–77
- Wvs Le Moyne94–80
A week or more of rest.