DeGol Arena · at Saint Francis Red Wolves · Conference game
Closing line
SFPA -1.5✓ NHVN covered by 13.5
SFPA -1.5✓ NHVN covered by 13.5Closing total131.5Over by 18.5
 NHVN | This season | SFPA |
|---|---|---|
| 6-12 | Record | 4-14 |
| 9-9 | ATS | 9-9 |
| 5-13 | O/U | 8-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NHVN 69–67 SFPA · ✓ NHVN (56%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NHVN | 41 | 40 | 81 |
| SFPA | 37 | 32 | 69 |
1st half: NHVN 41, SFPA 37 (NHVN by 4). The model had NHVN by 1.2 and a total of 63.5 (actual 78).
Team stats
| NHVN | SFPA | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-48 52% | Field goals | 25-56 45% |
| 10-20 50% | 3-pointers | 7-21 33% |
| 21-27 78% | Free throws | 12-18 67% |
| 32 5 off | Rebounds | 30 8 off |
| 15 | Assists | 15 |
| 3 | Steals | 6 |
| 1 | Blocks | 0 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 16 | Fouls | 21 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| NHVN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Pasha F | 36 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 4-11 | 2-6 |
| Najimi George G | 34 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 3-9 | 0-1 |
| Jabri Fitzpatrick G | 34 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 5-7 | 2-2 |
| Kheni Briggs G | 32 | 29 | 1 | 2 | 9-13 | 5-7 |
| Stefano Faloppa F | 31 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Maison Adeleye G | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Teshaun Steele F | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kyle Kearson G | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Aidan Losiewicz G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Tristan Burth C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Matiss Ogle, Zoumana Traore, John Oladipo, Timothy Coleman, Nathan Narcisse, Vere Anthony, Owen Hotaling, Dior Kennedy, Justice Hanna, Dominick LaDuca, Jagger Bascombe
| SFPA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ahmad Harrison G | 35 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 5-16 | 2-7 |
| Skylar Wicks G | 31 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 5-11 | 2-4 |
| Gestin Liberis F | 29 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| Victor Payne Jr. G | 28 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Chris Moncrief G | 27 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Zion Russell G | 28 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 4-6 | 2-3 |
| Paris Papadatos G | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Brandon Russell G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Cameron Tweedy F | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Brandon Rabish, Melvin Weaver III, Kam Wylie, Kofi Asare, Ralph Martino Jr., Trey Weiand, Carson Rhodes, KJ Swain Jr., Ryen Gresko
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSFPA -1.5
no move
CloseSFPA -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open131.5
no move
Close131.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
NHVN -105 · SFPA -115
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SFPA -1.5 · unchangedmodel NHVN -1.5
model NHVN -1.5
Opened 131.5 · unchangedmodel 135.5
model 135.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | SFPA -1.5 | NHVN -1.7 | NHVN +3.2 | W NHVN covered |
| Total | 131.5 | 135.5 | Over 4.0 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | NHVN 68.6 · SFPA 66.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | NHVN -1.2 | NHVN -4.0 |
| 1H total | 63.5 | 78 |
| 1H projected score | NHVN 32.3 · SFPA 31.2 | NHVN 41 · SFPA 37 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NHVN | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
| SFPA | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
New Haven
18 games played
Straight up
6-12
33% wins
Against the spread
9-9
50% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-13
28% overs · avg −6.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CONN | L 55-79 | +42.5 | W +18.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 7 | vs COLU | L 53-71 | +7.5 | L −10.5 | 148.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 8 | vs PSU | L 43-87 | +18.5 | L −25.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 10 | @ UML | W 73-67 | +10.5 | W +16.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 15 | vs DSU | W 65-52 | -1.5 | W +11.5 | 130.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 18 | @ HALL | L 45-68 | +25.5 | W +2.5 | 129.5 | U 113 |
| Dec 6 | @ BC | L 63-67 | +17.5 | W +13.5 | 126.5 | O 130 |
| Dec 10 | @ NJIT | L 64-70 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 130.5 | O 134 |
| Dec 22 | @ FOR | L 47-65 | +13.5 | L −4.5 | 127.5 | U 112 |
| Dec 29 | @ VAN | L 53-96 | +39.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 2 | @ STO | W 70-55 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 128.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 4 | @ CCSU | L 61-72 | +7.5 | L −3.5 | 130.5 | O 133 |
| Jan 8 | @ LEM | L 47-73 | +5.5 | L −20.5 | 137.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 10 | vs FDU | W 65-55 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 130.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 17 | vs WAG | W 80-74 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 129.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 19 | @ CHST | W 62-56 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 129.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 23 | vs MERC | L 57-61 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 122.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 29 | @MERC | L 51-70 | +5.5 | L −13.5 | 122.5 | U 121 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CONN
CONNL 55-79
+18.5
7
vsCOLU
COLUL 53-71
−10.5
8
vsPSU
PSUL 43-87
−25.5
10
@UML
UMLW 73-67
+16.5
15
vsDSU
DSUW 65-52
+11.5
18
@HALL
HALLL 45-68
+2.5
6
@BC
BCL 63-67
+13.5
10
@NJIT
NJITL 64-70
−8.5
22
@FOR
FORL 47-65
−4.5
29
@VAN
VANL 53-96
−3.5
2
@STO
STOW 70-55
+16.5
4
@CCSU
CCSUL 61-72
−3.5
8
@LEM
LEML 47-73
−20.5
10
vsFDU
FDUW 65-55
+8.5
17
vsWAG
WAGW 80-74
+4.5
19
@CHST
CHSTW 62-56
+7.5
23
vsMERC
MERCL 57-61
−2.5
29
@MERC
MERCL 51-70
−13.5
covered 9didn’t cover 9avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CONN
CONNL 55-79
−11.5
7
vsCOLU
COLUL 53-71
−24.5
8
vsPSU
PSUL 43-87
−13.5
10
@UML
UMLW 73-67
−2.5
15
vsDSU
DSUW 65-52
−13.5
18
@HALL
HALLL 45-68
−16.5
6
@BC
BCL 63-67
+3.5
10
@NJIT
NJITL 64-70
+3.5
22
@FOR
FORL 47-65
−15.5
29
@VAN
VANL 53-96
+3.5
2
@STO
STOW 70-55
−3.5
4
@CCSU
CCSUL 61-72
+2.5
8
@LEM
LEML 47-73
−17.5
10
vsFDU
FDUW 65-55
−10.5
17
vsWAG
WAGW 80-74
+24.5
19
@CHST
CHSTW 62-56
−11.5
23
vsMERC
MERCL 57-61
−4.5
29
@MERC
MERCL 51-70
−1.5
over 5under 13avg −6.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Saint Francis Red Wolves
18 games played
Straight up
4-14
22% wins
Against the spread
9-9
50% covers · avg −1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-10
44% overs · avg +2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ OU | L 66-102 | +31.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 6 | @ TCU | L 63-104 | +27.5 | L −13.5 | 153.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 11 | vs MSM | L 66-74 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 18 | @ LEH | L 62-79 | +10.5 | L −6.5 | 151.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 24 | vs BEL | L 57-94 | +21.5 | L −15.5 | 157.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 26 | vs TROY | L 64-74 | +21.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 1 | @ XAV | L 74-96 | +27.5 | W +5.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 7 | @ RAD | L 56-89 | +13.5 | L −19.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 14 | @ TEM | L 67-95 | +20.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 17 | @ FLA | L 61-102 | +44.5 | W +3.5 | 156.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 20 | vs RMU | L 70-79 | +13.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 2 | vsLEM | L 58-84 | +5.5 | L −20.5 | 151.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 4 | vsFDU | W 85-82 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 8 | @WAG | W 71-69 | +7.5 | W +9.5 | 144.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 10 | @ LIU | L 63-67 | +15.5 | W +11.5 | 148.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 17 | vsCCSU | L 90-98 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 188 |
| Jan 19 | vsSTO | W 63-61 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 23 | vsCHST | W 81-60 | -3.5 | W +17.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@OU
OUL 66-102
−4.5
6
@TCU
TCUL 63-104
−13.5
11
vsMSM
MSML 66-74
−1.5
18
@LEH
LEHL 62-79
−6.5
24
vsBEL
BELL 57-94
−15.5
26
vsTROY
TROYL 64-74
+11.5
1
@XAV
XAVL 74-96
+5.5
7
@RAD
RADL 56-89
−19.5
14
@TEM
TEML 67-95
−7.5
17
@FLA
FLAL 61-102
+3.5
20
vsRMU
RMUL 70-79
+4.5
2
vsLEM
LEML 58-84
−20.5
4
vsFDU
FDUW 85-82
+5.5
8
@WAG
WAGW 71-69
+9.5
10
@LIU
LIUL 63-67
+11.5
17
vsCCSU
CCSUL 90-98
−1.5
19
vsSTO
STOW 63-61
+0.5
23
vsCHST
CHSTW 81-60
+17.5
covered 9didn’t cover 9avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@OU
OUL 66-102
+18.5
6
@TCU
TCUL 63-104
+13.5
11
vsMSM
MSML 66-74
−9.5
18
@LEH
LEHL 62-79
−10.5
24
vsBEL
BELL 57-94
−6.5
26
vsTROY
TROYL 64-74
−13.5
1
@XAV
XAVL 74-96
+17.5
7
@RAD
RADL 56-89
−9.5
14
@TEM
TEML 67-95
+11.5
17
@FLA
FLAL 61-102
+6.5
20
vsRMU
RMUL 70-79
+3.5
2
vsLEM
LEML 58-84
−9.5
4
vsFDU
FDUW 85-82
+23.5
8
@WAG
WAGW 71-69
−4.5
10
@LIU
LIUL 63-67
−18.5
17
vsCCSU
CCSUL 90-98
+43.5
19
vsSTO
STOW 63-61
−17.5
23
vsCHST
CHSTW 81-60
−2.5
over 8under 10avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
New Haven
6-12 overall · 4-4 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Mercyhurst51–70
- Lvs Mercyhurst57–61
- W@ Chicago St62–56
- Wvs Wagner80–74
- Wvs FDU65–55
2 days since their last game.
Saint Francis Red Wolves
4-14 overall · 4-3 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Chicago St81–60
- Wvs Stonehill63–61
- Lvs C Connecticut90–98
- L@ Long Island63–67
- W@ Wagner71–69
A week or more of rest.