DeGol Arena · at Saint Francis Red Wolves · Conference game
Closing line
CCSU -6.5✓ CCSU covered by 1.5
CCSU -6.5✓ CCSU covered by 1.5Closing total144.5Over by 43.5
| CCSU | This season | SFPA |
|---|---|---|
| 7-6 | Record | 2-13 |
| 8-5 | ATS | 7-8 |
| 8-5 | O/U | 7-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CCSU 76–68 SFPA · ✓ CCSU (75%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CCSU | 47 | 51 | 98 |
| SFPA | 43 | 47 | 90 |
1st half: CCSU 47, SFPA 43 (CCSU by 4). The model had CCSU by 4.8 and a total of 67.3 (actual 90).
Team stats
| CCSU | SFPA | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-50 60% | Field goals | 31-67 46% |
| 11-19 58% | 3-pointers | 12-31 39% |
| 27-34 79% | Free throws | 16-22 73% |
| 27 4 off | Rebounds | 37 16 off |
| 21 | Assists | 19 |
| 4 | Steals | 3 |
| 0 | Blocks | 0 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 17 | Fouls | 23 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 17 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| CCSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darin Smith Jr. G | 36 | 34 | 9 | 2 | 10-14 | 4-4 |
| Jay Rodgers G | 34 | 13 | 1 | 13 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Max Frazier F | 30 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Melo Sanchez G | 30 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 6-10 | 3-6 |
| James Jones G | 15 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Elijah Parker G | 23 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Roddy Jones G | 14 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 4-5 | 3-4 |
| Daniel James F | 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Ashton Reynolds G | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Rashawn Tibby, Nico Ashley, Corsley Edwards Jr., Jayden Mott, Adam Fox, Gabe Spinelli, Ja'Kobe Williams
| SFPA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ahmad Harrison G | 33 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 7-14 | 3-8 |
| Gestin Liberis F | 29 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 5-9 | 0-2 |
| Victor Payne Jr. G | 25 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 4-6 | 4-6 |
| Skylar Wicks G | 24 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 3-10 | 0-4 |
| Chris Moncrief G | 22 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 3-8 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ralph Martino Jr. G | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-1 |
| Zion Russell G | 20 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 5-7 | 2-3 |
| Brandon Russell G | 16 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-8 | 1-4 |
| Cameron Tweedy F | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Paris Papadatos, Melvin Weaver III, Kam Wylie, Kofi Asare, Brandon Rabish, Trey Weiand, Carson Rhodes, KJ Swain Jr., Ryen Gresko
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCCSU -6.5
no move
CloseCCSU -6.5
No change since the open
Total
Open144.5
no move
Close144.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
CCSU -278 · SFPA +225
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CCSU -6.5 · unchangedmodel CCSU -8
model CCSU -8
Opened 144.5 · unchangedmodel 144
model 144
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | CCSU -6.5 | CCSU -7.9 | CCSU +1.4 | W CCSU covered |
| Total | 144.5 | 143.8 | Under 0.8 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | CCSU 75.8 · SFPA 67.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | CCSU -4.8 | CCSU -4.0 |
| 1H total | 67.3 | 90 |
| 1H projected score | CCSU 36.1 · SFPA 31.3 | CCSU 47 · SFPA 43 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CCSU | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% |
| SFPA | 2-8 20% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 11 since 2021-22
CCSU 6–5 SFPACCSU leads · 11 games since 2021-22 · CCSU 5-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2024-25 | SFPA 46 @ CCSU 43 | CCSU -11.5 | SFPA W |
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | SFPA 67 @ CCSU 83 | CCSU -11.5 | CCSU W |
| Jan 3, 2024-25 | CCSU 74 @ SFPA 59 | SFPA +5.5 | CCSU W |
| Mar 6, 2023-24 | SFPA 62 @ CCSU 71 | CCSU -14.5 | SFPA W |
| Feb 1, 2023-24 | SFPA 62 @ CCSU 63 | CCSU -13.5 | SFPA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
C Connecticut
13 games played
Straight up
7-6
54% wins
Against the spread
8-5
62% covers · avg +2.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-5
62% overs · avg +4.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ QUIN | L 49-71 | +9.5 | L −12.5 | 150.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 11 | @ BC | W 60-59 | +17.5 | W +18.5 | 136.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 16 | @ MASS | L 77-84 | +12.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 21 | @ RUTG | W 67-54 | +15.5 | W +28.5 | 137.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 24 | vs SHU | W 108-106 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | O 214 |
| Dec 3 | @ HALL | L 61-77 | +18.5 | W +2.5 | 128.5 | O 138 |
| Dec 7 | @ NE | L 56-73 | +1.5 | L −15.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 13 | @ BING | W 84-67 | -7.5 | W +9.5 | 133.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 18 | vs FAIR | L 70-84 | -6.5 | L −20.5 | 143.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 2 | @ LIU | L 78-84 | +6.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 4 | vs NHVN | W 72-61 | -7.5 | W +3.5 | 130.5 | O 133 |
| Jan 8 | vs STO | W 76-69 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 10 | @ LEM | W 69-59 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 146.5 | U 128 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@QUIN
QUINL 49-71
−12.5
11
@BC
BCW 60-59
+18.5
16
@MASS
MASSL 77-84
+5.5
21
@RUTG
RUTGW 67-54
+28.5
24
vsSHU
SHUW 108-106
−1.5
3
@HALL
HALLL 61-77
+2.5
7
@NE
NEL 56-73
−15.5
13
@BING
BINGW 84-67
+9.5
18
vsFAIR
FAIRL 70-84
−20.5
2
@LIU
LIUL 78-84
+0.5
4
vsNHVN
NHVNW 72-61
+3.5
8
vsSTO
STOW 76-69
−0.5
10
@LEM
LEMW 69-59
+11.5
covered 8didn’t cover 5avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@QUIN
QUINL 49-71
−30.5
11
@BC
BCW 60-59
−17.5
16
@MASS
MASSL 77-84
+16.5
21
@RUTG
RUTGW 67-54
−16.5
24
vsSHU
SHUW 108-106
+70.5
3
@HALL
HALLL 61-77
+9.5
7
@NE
NEL 56-73
−9.5
13
@BING
BINGW 84-67
+17.5
18
vsFAIR
FAIRL 70-84
+10.5
2
@LIU
LIUL 78-84
+15.5
4
vsNHVN
NHVNW 72-61
+2.5
8
vsSTO
STOW 76-69
+10.5
10
@LEM
LEMW 69-59
−18.5
over 8under 5avg +4.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Saint Francis Red Wolves
15 games played
Straight up
2-13
13% wins
Against the spread
7-8
47% covers · avg −2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-8
47% overs · avg +0.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ OU | L 66-102 | +31.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 6 | @ TCU | L 63-104 | +27.5 | L −13.5 | 153.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 11 | vs MSM | L 66-74 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 18 | @ LEH | L 62-79 | +10.5 | L −6.5 | 151.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 24 | vs BEL | L 57-94 | +21.5 | L −15.5 | 157.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 26 | vs TROY | L 64-74 | +21.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 1 | @ XAV | L 74-96 | +27.5 | W +5.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 7 | @ RAD | L 56-89 | +13.5 | L −19.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 14 | @ TEM | L 67-95 | +20.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 17 | @ FLA | L 61-102 | +44.5 | W +3.5 | 156.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 20 | vs RMU | L 70-79 | +13.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 2 | vsLEM | L 58-84 | +5.5 | L −20.5 | 151.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 4 | vs FDU | W 85-82 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 8 | @ WAG | W 71-69 | +7.5 | W +9.5 | 144.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 10 | @LIU | L 63-67 | +15.5 | W +11.5 | 148.5 | U 130 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@OU
OUL 66-102
−4.5
6
@TCU
TCUL 63-104
−13.5
11
vsMSM
MSML 66-74
−1.5
18
@LEH
LEHL 62-79
−6.5
24
vsBEL
BELL 57-94
−15.5
26
vsTROY
TROYL 64-74
+11.5
1
@XAV
XAVL 74-96
+5.5
7
@RAD
RADL 56-89
−19.5
14
@TEM
TEML 67-95
−7.5
17
@FLA
FLAL 61-102
+3.5
20
vsRMU
RMUL 70-79
+4.5
2
vsLEM
LEML 58-84
−20.5
4
vsFDU
FDUW 85-82
+5.5
8
@WAG
WAGW 71-69
+9.5
10
@LIU
LIUL 63-67
+11.5
covered 7didn’t cover 8avg −2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@OU
OUL 66-102
+18.5
6
@TCU
TCUL 63-104
+13.5
11
vsMSM
MSML 66-74
−9.5
18
@LEH
LEHL 62-79
−10.5
24
vsBEL
BELL 57-94
−6.5
26
vsTROY
TROYL 64-74
−13.5
1
@XAV
XAVL 74-96
+17.5
7
@RAD
RADL 56-89
−9.5
14
@TEM
TEML 67-95
+11.5
17
@FLA
FLAL 61-102
+6.5
20
vsRMU
RMUL 70-79
+3.5
2
vsLEM
LEML 58-84
−9.5
4
vsFDU
FDUW 85-82
+23.5
8
@WAG
WAGW 71-69
−4.5
10
@LIU
LIUL 63-67
−18.5
over 7under 8avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
C Connecticut
7-6 overall · 3-1 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Le Moyne69–59
- Wvs Stonehill76–69
- Wvs New Haven72–61
- L@ Long Island78–84
- Lvs Fairfield70–84
A week or more of rest.
Saint Francis Red Wolves
2-13 overall · 2-2 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Long Island63–67
- W@ Wagner71–69
- Wvs FDU85–82
- Lvs Le Moyne58–84
- Lvs Robert Morris70–79
A week or more of rest.