Corbett Sports Center · at NC A&T · Conference game
Closing line
UNCW -10.5✓ NCAT covered by 1.5
UNCW -10.5✓ NCAT covered by 1.5Closing total146.5Over by 18.5
| UNCW | This season | NCAT |
|---|---|---|
| 9-2 | Record | 5-4 |
| 5-6 | ATS | 5-4 |
| 6-5 | O/U | 3-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UNCW 77–69 NCAT · ✓ UNCW (75%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNCW | 42 | 45 | 87 |
| NCAT | 47 | 31 | 78 |
1st half: UNCW 42, NCAT 47 (NCAT by 5). The model had UNCW by 4.8 and a total of 68.2 (actual 89).
Team stats
| UNCW | NCAT | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-57 44% | Field goals | 27-61 44% |
| 10-24 42% | 3-pointers | 7-22 32% |
| 27-35 77% | Free throws | 17-24 71% |
| 42 10 off | Rebounds | 30 5 off |
| 15 | Assists | 11 |
| 4 | Steals | 7 |
| 5 | Blocks | 3 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 21 | Fouls | 22 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 16 | Fast-break points | 16 |
Players
| UNCW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Hodge G | 37 | 24 | 1 | 1 | 6-12 | 5-9 |
| Greedy Williams G | 35 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 4-11 | 2-5 |
| Gavin Walsh F | 34 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 4-7 | 2-4 |
| Patrick Wessler C | 33 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5-12 | 0-1 |
| Noah Ross G | 18 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Madison Durr G | 20 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 3-6 | 1-1 |
| Christian May G | 20 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Makoi Mabor Makoi F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Matija Prodanovic, Adam Tokpah, JoJo Fullwood, Makel Smith, CJ Luster II, Grady Whitt, Jahnathan Lamothe
| NCAT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis Walker F | 38 | 23 | 3 | 3 | 8-16 | 1-4 |
| Zamoku Weluche-Ume F | 38 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 7-12 | 3-6 |
| Dwayne Pierce G | 34 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 6-14 | 2-6 |
| Amadou Doumbia F | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Trent Middleton Jr. G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Brooklyn Vick G | 24 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Will Felton C | 21 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Bryson Ogletree G | 20 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| KJ Debrick F | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Yancarlos Cueto, Mujahiid Burton, Lo Walker, Efstratios Kalliontzis, Chanler Montgomery, Jalal McKie, Uchenna Kellman-Nicholes
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUNCW -10.5
ModelUNCW -7.8
Model edgeNCAT +2.7
W NCAT covered
Total
Market146.5
Model145.5
Model edgeUnder 1.0
L Over
Projected score
UNCW 76.7 · NCAT 68.8
UNCW 87 · NCAT 78
Win probability
UNCW 75%
1st half
Spread
UNCW -4.8
NCAT -5.0
Total
68.2
89 points
Projected score
UNCW 36.5 · NCAT 31.7
UNCW 42 · NCAT 47
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNCW -9.5
1 → UNCW
CloseUNCW -10.5
1 pt toward UNCW
Total
Open143.5
▲ 3
Close146.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
UNCW -575 · NCAT +425
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNCW -9.5 · closed UNCW -10.5 · moved 1 toward UNCWmodel UNCW -8
model UNCW -8
Opened 143.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 3 upmodel 145.5
model 145.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNCW | 9-1 90% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| NCATlast 9 | 5-4 56% | 5-4 56% | 3-6 33% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
UNCW 4–0 NCATUNCW leads · 4 games since 2021-22 · UNCW has won the last 4 meetings · UNCW 2-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2024-25 | UNCW 83 @ NCAT 59 | NCAT +17.5 | UNCW W |
| Feb 15, 2023-24 | NCAT 54 @ UNCW 73 | UNCW -22.5 | NCAT W |
| Feb 2, 2022-23 | NCAT 63 @ UNCW 87 | UNCW -7.5 | UNCW W |
| Jan 7, 2022-23 | UNCW 66 @ NCAT 61 | NCAT +5.5 | NCAT W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UNC Wilmington
11 games played
Straight up
9-2
82% wins
Against the spread
5-6
45% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-5
55% overs · avg −2.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10 | @ KENT | L 77-86 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 15 | vs UPST | W 73-60 | -14.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 18 | vs ECU | W 85-60 | -6.5 | W +18.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 21 | @ RAD | W 81-73 | -4.5 | W +3.5 | 151.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 26 | vs SELA | W 70-57 | -11.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 28 | vs NAVY | W 87-57 | -8.5 | W +21.5 | 138.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 29 | vs GWEB | W 88-62 | -18.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 3 | vs MRSH | W 70-69 | -8.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 6 | @ UL | W 70-63 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 130.5 | O 133 |
| Dec 13 | @ VAL | W 73-70 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 136.5 | O 143 |
| Dec 20 | vs HOW | L 66-67 | -15.5 | L −16.5 | 141.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
10
@KENT
KENTL 77-86
−5.5
15
vsUPST
UPSTW 73-60
−1.5
18
vsECU
ECUW 85-60
+18.5
21
@RAD
RADW 81-73
+3.5
26
vsSELA
SELAW 70-57
+1.5
28
vsNAVY
NAVYW 87-57
+21.5
29
vsGWEB
GWEBW 88-62
+7.5
3
vsMRSH
MRSHW 70-69
−7.5
6
@UL
ULW 70-63
−5.5
13
@VAL
VALW 73-70
−1.5
20
vsHOW
HOWL 66-67
−16.5
covered 5didn’t cover 6avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
10
@KENT
KENTL 77-86
+6.5
15
vsUPST
UPSTW 73-60
−22.5
18
vsECU
ECUW 85-60
−0.5
21
@RAD
RADW 81-73
+2.5
26
vsSELA
SELAW 70-57
−10.5
28
vsNAVY
NAVYW 87-57
+5.5
29
vsGWEB
GWEBW 88-62
+2.5
3
vsMRSH
MRSHW 70-69
−11.5
6
@UL
ULW 70-63
+2.5
13
@VAL
VALW 73-70
+6.5
20
vsHOW
HOWL 66-67
−8.5
over 6under 5avg −2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
NC A&T
9 games played
Straight up
5-4
56% wins
Against the spread
5-4
56% covers · avg +3.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-6
33% overs · avg −0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ SC | L 72-91 | +22.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 10 | vs SCST | W 85-62 | -2.5 | W +20.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 18 | @ MORG | W 79-73 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 161.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 28 | @ DAV | L 74-90 | +13.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 2 | @ CLT | L 57-74 | +7.5 | L −9.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 6 | @ NCCU | W 69-54 | -2.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 9 | vsHOW | L 69-73 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 149.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 12 | vs UMES | W 82-79 | -7.5 | L −4.5 | 130.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 16 | @ UNCG | W 71-65 | +6.5 | W +12.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@SC
SCL 72-91
+3.5
10
vsSCST
SCSTW 85-62
+20.5
18
@MORG
MORGW 79-73
+3.5
28
@DAV
DAVL 74-90
−2.5
2
@CLT
CLTL 57-74
−9.5
6
@NCCU
NCCUW 69-54
+12.5
9
vsHOW
HOWL 69-73
−6.5
12
vsUMES
UMESW 82-79
−4.5
16
@UNCG
UNCGW 71-65
+12.5
covered 5didn’t cover 4avg +3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@SC
SCL 72-91
+19.5
10
vsSCST
SCSTW 85-62
−12.5
18
@MORG
MORGW 79-73
−9.5
28
@DAV
DAVL 74-90
+18.5
2
@CLT
CLTL 57-74
−13.5
6
@NCCU
NCCUW 69-54
−19.5
9
vsHOW
HOWL 69-73
−7.5
12
vsUMES
UMESW 82-79
+30.5
16
@UNCG
UNCGW 71-65
−11.5
over 3under 6avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UNC Wilmington
9-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Howard66–67
- W@ Valparaiso73–70
- W@ Louisiana70–63
- Wvs Marshall70–69
- Wvs Gardner-Webb88–62
A week or more of rest.
NC A&T
5-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ UNC Greensboro71–65
- Wvs MD Eastern82–79
- Lvs Howard69–73
- W@ NC Central69–54
- L@ Charlotte57–74
A week or more of rest.