Watsco Center · at Miami
Closing line
MIA -35.5✓ ULM covered by 10.5
MIA -35.5✓ ULM covered by 10.5Closing total153.5Over by 29.5
 ULM | This season | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| 1-7 | Record | 8-2 |
| 3-5 | ATS | 7-3 |
| 6-2 | O/U | 5-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ULM 61–94 MIA · ✓ MIA (100%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ULM | 38 | 41 | 79 |
| MIA | 49 | 55 | 104 |
1st half: ULM 38, MIA 49 (MIA by 11). The model had MIA by 19.6 and a total of 72.6 (actual 87).
Team stats
| ULM | MIA | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-63 44% | Field goals | 42-70 60% |
| 15-32 47% | 3-pointers | 11-25 44% |
| 8-14 57% | Free throws | 9-17 53% |
| 26 9 off | Rebounds | 45 15 off |
| 15 | Assists | 28 |
| 2 | Steals | 7 |
| 5 | Blocks | 2 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 14 | Fouls | 16 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 62 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 19 |
Players
| ULM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MJ Russell G | 40 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 7-15 | 3-6 |
| Krystian Lewis G | 37 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 5-11 | 3-6 |
| Lavell Brodnex G | 35 | 10 | 13 | 4 | 3-12 | 0-1 |
| Renars Sondors F | 31 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 5-11 | 4-10 |
| Alex Molofeev G | 16 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dylan Diaz G | 21 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 4-6 | 4-6 |
| Ayomide Bamisile F | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Micah Caster G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Przemek Hartman C | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Wiggy Ball G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Cam Campbell, Brentay Noel, Ajay Tew, Alex Huguet, Brady Craig
| MIA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Donaldson G | 35 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 7-14 | 4-9 |
| Tru Washington G | 25 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 6-11 | 1-3 |
| Malik Reneau F | 25 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 10-15 | 0-1 |
| Ernest Udeh Jr. C | 25 | 14 | 15 | 0 | 6-8 | 0-0 |
| Shelton Henderson F | 17 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 4-5 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Timo Malovec F | 31 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 4-8 | 4-7 |
| Noam Dovrat G | 20 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Salih Altuntas C | 15 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Jordyn Kee G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| JJ Laboy G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Dante Allen, Treyvon Maddox, Marcus Allen
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMIA -36.5
1 → ULM
CloseMIA -35.5
1 pt toward ULM
Total
Open153.5
no move
Close153.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MIA -36.5 · closed MIA -35.5 · moved 1 toward ULMmodel MIA -33
model MIA -33
Opened 153.5 · unchangedmodel 155
model 155
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MIA -35.5 | MIA -32.8 | ULM +2.7 | W ULM covered |
| Total | 153.5 | 155.1 | Over 1.6 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | ULM 61.2 · MIA 94 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MIA -19.6 | MIA -11.0 |
| 1H total | 72.6 | 87 |
| 1H projected score | ULM 26.5 · MIA 46.1 | ULM 38 · MIA 49 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ULMlast 8 | 1-7 13% | 3-5 38% | 6-2 75% |
| MIA | 8-2 80% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UL Monroe
8 games played
Straight up
1-7
13% wins
Against the spread
3-5
38% covers · avg −1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-2
75% overs · avg +6.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ NIU | L 82-102 | +7.5 | L −12.5 | 147.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 7 | @ MISS | L 65-86 | +37.5 | W +16.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 13 | @ HCU | L 61-72 | +8.5 | L −2.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 17 | vs LAM | L 66-79 | +11.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 22 | vs MORE | L 80-83 | +6.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 23 | @ ETSU | L 55-97 | +19.5 | L −22.5 | 146.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 3 | vs MVSU | W 66-52 | -9.5 | W +4.5 | 149.5 | U 118 |
| Dec 7 | @ SFA | L 76-96 | +19.5 | L −0.5 | 142.5 | O 172 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@NIU
NIUL 82-102
−12.5
7
@MISS
MISSL 65-86
+16.5
13
@HCU
HCUL 61-72
−2.5
17
vsLAM
LAML 66-79
−1.5
22
vsMORE
MOREL 80-83
+3.5
23
@ETSU
ETSUL 55-97
−22.5
3
vsMVSU
MVSUW 66-52
+4.5
7
@SFA
SFAL 76-96
−0.5
covered 3didn’t cover 5avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@NIU
NIUL 82-102
+36.5
7
@MISS
MISSL 65-86
+1.5
13
@HCU
HCUL 61-72
−10.5
17
vsLAM
LAML 66-79
+4.5
22
vsMORE
MOREL 80-83
+17.5
23
@ETSU
ETSUL 55-97
+5.5
3
vsMVSU
MVSUW 66-52
−31.5
7
@SFA
SFAL 76-96
+29.5
over 6under 2avg +6.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Miami
10 games played
Straight up
8-2
80% wins
Against the spread
7-3
70% covers · avg +7.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-5
50% overs · avg −4.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs JAX | W 86-69 | -18.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 6 | vs BCU | W 101-61 | -16.5 | W +23.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 10 | vs STET | W 102-61 | -34.5 | W +6.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 16 | vs FLA | L 68-82 | +10.5 | L −3.5 | 171.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 20 | vs ELON | W 99-72 | -19.5 | W +7.5 | 164.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 23 | vs DSU | W 97-41 | -34.5 | W +21.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 27 | vs BYU | L 62-72 | +7.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 28 | vs GTWN | W 78-65 | -5.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 2 | @MISS | W 75-66 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 6 | vs USM | W 88-64 | -19.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsJAX
JAXW 86-69
−1.5
6
vsBCU
BCUW 101-61
+23.5
10
vsSTET
STETW 102-61
+6.5
16
vsFLA
FLAL 68-82
−3.5
20
vsELON
ELONW 99-72
+7.5
23
vsDSU
DSUW 97-41
+21.5
27
vsBYU
BYUL 62-72
−2.5
28
vsGTWN
GTWNW 78-65
+7.5
2
@MISS
MISSW 75-66
+10.5
6
vsUSM
USMW 88-64
+4.5
covered 7didn’t cover 3avg +7.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsJAX
JAXW 86-69
+12.5
6
vsBCU
BCUW 101-61
+7.5
10
vsSTET
STETW 102-61
+1.5
16
vsFLA
FLAL 68-82
−21.5
20
vsELON
ELONW 99-72
+6.5
23
vsDSU
DSUW 97-41
−13.5
27
vsBYU
BYUL 62-72
−31.5
28
vsGTWN
GTWNW 78-65
−8.5
2
@MISS
MISSW 75-66
−4.5
6
vsUSM
USMW 88-64
+6.5
over 5under 5avg −4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UL Monroe
1-7 overall · 0-0 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ SF Austin76–96
- Wvs Miss Valley St66–52
- L@ ETSU55–97
- Lvs Morehead St80–83
- Lvs Lamar66–79
6 days since their last game.
Miami
8-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Southern Miss88–64
- W@ Ole Miss75–66
- Wvs Georgetown78–65
- Lvs BYU62–72
- Wvs Delaware St97–41
A week or more of rest.