Titan Gym · at Fullerton · Conference game
Closing line
CSUF -1.5✓ CP covered by 4.5
CSUF -1.5✓ CP covered by 4.5Closing total177.5Over by 7.5
 CP | This season | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| 2-5 | Record | 2-5 |
| 3-4 | ATS | 4-3 |
| 4-3 | O/U | 4-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CP 86–85 CSUF · ✓ CP (52%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CP | 43 | 51 | 94 |
| CSUF | 44 | 47 | 91 |
1st half: CP 43, CSUF 44 (CSUF by 1). The model had CP by 0.6 and a total of 79.8 (actual 87).
Team stats
| CP | CSUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-55 49% | Field goals | 31-66 47% |
| 18-37 49% | 3-pointers | 9-23 39% |
| 22-30 73% | Free throws | 20-29 69% |
| 33 5 off | Rebounds | 36 12 off |
| 15 | Assists | 12 |
| 8 | Steals | 8 |
| 3 | Blocks | 1 |
| 22 | Turnovers | 17 |
| 28 | Fouls | 26 |
| 18 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| CP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Bandelj G | 30 | 37 | 5 | 3 | 11-13 | 9-10 |
| Cayden Ward G | 29 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 3-9 | 2-5 |
| Hamad Mousa G | 27 | 27 | 7 | 2 | 8-13 | 4-8 |
| Luka Tarlac G | 24 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Austin Goode F | 13 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Guzman Vasilic G | 28 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 5-10 | 3-8 |
| Jake Davis G | 15 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Ali Assran F | 12 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kieran Elliott G | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Troy Plumtree F | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Aaron Price Jr. PF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jackson Mosley, Braden Freeman, Jess Esso Essis, Jason Scott, Eric Brown
| CSUF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Ward G | 33 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 3-9 | 1-2 |
| Christian Williams G | 27 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2-6 | 2-4 |
| Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro G | 27 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 4-12 | 1-4 |
| Kendrick De Luna F | 17 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bryce Cofield G | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| KJ Garris Jr. G | 25 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 6-9 | 1-3 |
| Jaden Henderson G | 24 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 8-13 | 4-6 |
| Landon Seaman F | 22 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 6-8 | 0-0 |
| Davis White G | 16 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
Did not play: Ben Winker, Matthew Quinlan, Nicholas Khatchikian, Cam Smith, Karan Kolappa, Yesan Warren, Bailey Nunn, Kidus Tilahun
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketCSUF -1.5
ModelCP -0.7
Model edgeCP +2.2
W CP covered
Total
Market177.5
Model170.7
Model edgeUnder 6.8
L Over
Projected score
CP 85.7 · CSUF 85
CP 94 · CSUF 91
Win probability
CP 52%
1st half
Spread
CP -0.6
CSUF -1.0
Total
79.8
87 points
Projected score
CP 40.2 · CSUF 39.6
CP 43 · CSUF 44
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCP -1.5
3 → CSUF
CloseCSUF -1.5
3 pts toward CSUF
Total
Open175.5
▲ 2
Close177.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
CP -105 · CSUF -115
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CP -1.5 · closed CSUF -1.5 · moved 3 toward CSUFmodel CP -0.5
model CP -0.5
Opened 175.5 · closed 177.5 · moved 2 upmodel 170.5
model 170.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CPlast 7 | 2-5 29% | 3-4 43% | 4-3 57% |
| CSUFlast 7 | 2-5 29% | 4-3 57% | 4-3 57% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
CP 2–5 CSUFCSUF leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · CP has won the last 2 meetings · CP 4-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2024-25 | CSUF 61 @ CP 100 | CP -14.5 | CP W |
| Feb 13, 2024-25 | CP 98 @ CSUF 83 | CSUF +5.5 | CP W |
| Feb 22, 2023-24 | CP 50 @ CSUF 68 | CSUF -9.5 | CSUF W |
| Jan 25, 2023-24 | CSUF 54 @ CP 51 | CP +5.5 | CP W |
| Feb 18, 2022-23 | CP 62 @ CSUF 83 | CSUF -10.5 | CSUF W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Cal Poly
7 games played
Straight up
2-5
29% wins
Against the spread
3-4
43% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-3
57% overs · avg −1.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
USC
USCL 64-94
−5.5
8
@
SEA
SEAW 73-71
+12.5
12
@
CSU
CSUL 79-93
+4.5
14
@
MONT
MONTL 82-90
−0.5
20
@
UTAH
UTAHW 92-85
+21.5
24
@
NAU
NAUL 87-93
−7.5
25
vs
SEMO
SEMOL 68-84
−14.5
covered 3didn’t cover 4avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@USC
USCL 64-94
−5.5
8
@SEA
SEAW 73-71
−20.5
12
@CSU
CSUL 79-93
+6.5
14
@MONT
MONTL 82-90
+3.5
20
@UTAH
UTAHW 92-85
+9.5
24
@NAU
NAUL 87-93
+15.5
25
vsSEMO
SEMOL 68-84
−18.5
over 4under 3avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Fullerton
7 games played
Straight up
2-5
29% wins
Against the spread
4-3
57% covers · avg +2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-3
57% overs · avg +8.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ WYO | L 82-92 | +15.5 | W +5.5 | 154.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 10 | @ CAL | L 65-93 | +22.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 15 | vs PAC | L 73-85 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 159.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 21 | @ PORT | L 85-103 | +6.5 | L −11.5 | 164.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 22 | vs STMN | W 88-80 | +11.5 | W +19.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 23 | vs UNCO | L 93-97 | +8.5 | W +4.5 | 164.5 | O 190 |
| Nov 29 | vs PEPP | W 83-69 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 161.5 | U 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@WYO
WYOL 82-92
+5.5
10
@CAL
CALL 65-93
−5.5
15
vsPAC
PACL 73-85
−5.5
21
@PORT
PORTL 85-103
−11.5
22
vsSTMN
STMNW 88-80
+19.5
23
vsUNCO
UNCOL 93-97
+4.5
29
vsPEPP
PEPPW 83-69
+12.5
covered 4didn’t cover 3avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@WYO
WYOL 82-92
+19.5
10
@CAL
CALL 65-93
−4.5
15
vsPAC
PACL 73-85
−1.5
21
@PORT
PORTL 85-103
+23.5
22
vsSTMN
STMNW 88-80
+5.5
23
vsUNCO
UNCOL 93-97
+25.5
29
vsPEPP
PEPPW 83-69
−9.5
over 4under 3avg +8.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Cal Poly
2-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs SE Missouri68–84
- L@ N Arizona87–93
- W@ Utah92–85
- L@ Montana82–90
- L@ Colorado St79–93
A week or more of rest.
Fullerton
2-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Pepperdine83–69
- Lvs N Colorado93–97
- Wvs St Thomas88–80
- L@ Portland85–103
- Lvs Pacific73–85
5 days since their last game.