SRC Arena · at UC Riverside · Conference game
Closing line
HAW -8.5✓ HAW covered by 34.5
HAW -8.5✓ HAW covered by 34.5Closing total149.5Under by 16.5
| HAW | This season | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| 8-2 | Record | 4-8 |
| 4-4 | ATS | 7-5 |
| 2-6 | O/U | 8-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: HAW 77–69 UCR · ✓ HAW (76%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HAW | 45 | 43 | 88 |
| UCR | 27 | 18 | 45 |
1st half: HAW 45, UCR 27 (HAW by 18). The model had HAW by 4.9 and a total of 68.5 (actual 72).
Team stats
| HAW | UCR | |
|---|---|---|
| 34-62 55% | Field goals | 16-50 32% |
| 13-27 48% | 3-pointers | 3-16 19% |
| 7-14 50% | Free throws | 10-15 67% |
| 46 16 off | Rebounds | 24 6 off |
| 21 | Assists | 4 |
| 8 | Steals | 7 |
| 5 | Blocks | 4 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 12 | Fouls | 16 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| HAW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Erickson G | 28 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3-9 | 1-5 |
| Harry Rouhliadeff F | 28 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Aaron Hunkin-Claytor G | 28 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Isaac Johnson C | 22 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 7-10 | 3-4 |
| Dre Bullock G | 20 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4-7 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Gytis Nemeiksa F | 27 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 5-11 | 0-2 |
| Isaiah Kerr G | 16 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 3-6 | 2-4 |
| Isaac Finlinson F | 14 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4-6 | 2-2 |
| AJ Economou G | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Hunter Carter G | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
Did not play: Tanner Cuff, Jalen Myers, Yacine Toumi
| UCR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BJ Kolly F | 37 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 3-8 | 0-1 |
| Marqui Worthy Jr. G | 33 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 3-11 | 1-3 |
| Tyler Jones G | 29 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Osiris Grady F | 27 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Andrew Henderson G | 23 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3-11 | 0-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jailen Daniel-Dalton F | 27 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Dylan Godfrey F | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Ben Waller G | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| EJ Spillman G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: De'Undrae Perteete Jr., Amaury McKinney, Gavin Haase, Daniel Tobiloba, Denzel Hines, Parker Strauss
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketHAW -8.5
ModelHAW -7.9
Model edgeUCR +0.6
L HAW covered
Total
Market149.5
Model146.1
Model edgeUnder 3.4
W Under
Projected score
HAW 77 · UCR 69.1
HAW 88 · UCR 45
Win probability
HAW 76%
1st half
Spread
HAW -4.9
HAW -18.0
Total
68.5
72 points
Projected score
HAW 36.7 · UCR 31.8
HAW 45 · UCR 27
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenHAW -9.5
1 → UCR
CloseHAW -8.5
1 pt toward UCR
Total
Open150.5
▼ 1
Close149.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
HAW -455 · UCR +350
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened HAW -9.5 · closed HAW -8.5 · moved 1 toward UCRmodel HAW -8
model HAW -8
Opened 150.5 · closed 149.5 · moved 1 downmodel 146
model 146
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HAW | 8-2 80% | 4-4 50% | 2-6 25% |
| UCR | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
HAW 5–3 UCRHAW leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · HAW 5-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024-25 | UCR 82 @ HAW 76 | HAW +1.5 | UCR W |
| Jan 9, 2024-25 | HAW 83 @ UCR 76 | UCR -2.5 | HAW W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | HAW 76 @ UCR 73 | UCR -0.5 | HAW W |
| Jan 13, 2023-24 | UCR 56 @ HAW 63 | HAW -6.5 | HAW W |
| Feb 23, 2022-23 | UCR 54 @ HAW 52 | HAW -3.5 | UCR W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Hawai'i
10 games played
Straight up
8-2
80% wins
Against the spread
4-4
50% covers · avg +1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-6
25% overs · avg −4.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ ORE | L 59-60 | +11.5 | W +10.5 | 144.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 10 | vs ETAM | W 100-74 | -18.5 | W +7.5 | 145.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 12 | vs MVSU | W 88-56 | -41.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 14 | vs MAN | W 86-56 | -15.5 | W +14.5 | 156.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 15 | vs UTU | W 68-62 | -16.5 | L −10.5 | 149.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 20 | vs ASU | L 76-83 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 28 | vs UND | W 92-55 | -18.5 | W +18.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 4 | vs UCD | W 75-69 | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 6 | vs CSUF | W 69-59 | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 13 | vs UTEP | W 66-61 | -12.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | U 127 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@ORE
OREL 59-60
+10.5
10
vsETAM
ETAMW 100-74
+7.5
12
vsMVSU
MVSUW 88-56
−9.5
14
vsMAN
MANW 86-56
+14.5
15
vsUTU
UTUW 68-62
−10.5
20
vsASU
ASUL 76-83
−8.5
28
vsUND
UNDW 92-55
+18.5
13
vsUTEP
UTEPW 66-61
−7.5
covered 4didn’t cover 4avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@ORE
OREL 59-60
−25.5
10
vsETAM
ETAMW 100-74
+28.5
12
vsMVSU
MVSUW 88-56
−7.5
14
vsMAN
MANW 86-56
−14.5
15
vsUTU
UTUW 68-62
−19.5
20
vsASU
ASUL 76-83
+15.5
28
vsUND
UNDW 92-55
−2.5
13
vsUTEP
UTEPW 66-61
−11.5
over 2under 6avg −4.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
UC Riverside
12 games played
Straight up
4-8
33% wins
Against the spread
7-5
58% covers · avg +0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-4
67% overs · avg +3.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @UND | W 74-70 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 11 | @ UNM | L 68-82 | +19.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 15 | vsUND | L 74-76 | -3.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 18 | @ CBU | L 57-80 | +12.5 | L −10.5 | 142.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 21 | @ USD | W 85-71 | +7.5 | W +21.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs GRAM | W 83-74 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 29 | @UTU | L 69-77 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 4 | @ UCI | L 60-73 | +13.5 | W +0.5 | 142.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 6 | @ CP | W 88-84 | +5.5 | W +9.5 | 162.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | @ BYU | L 53-100 | +33.5 | L −13.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 20 | @ STMN | L 78-92 | +14.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 23 | @ UCLA | L 65-97 | +24.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@UND
UNDW 74-70
+5.5
11
@UNM
UNML 68-82
+5.5
15
vsUND
UNDL 74-76
−5.5
18
@CBU
CBUL 57-80
−10.5
21
@USD
USDW 85-71
+21.5
24
vsGRAM
GRAMW 83-74
+5.5
29
@UTU
UTUL 69-77
−2.5
4
@UCI
UCIL 60-73
+0.5
6
@CP
CPW 88-84
+9.5
13
@BYU
BYUL 53-100
−13.5
20
@STMN
STMNL 78-92
+0.5
23
@UCLA
UCLAL 65-97
−7.5
covered 7didn’t cover 5avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@UND
UNDW 74-70
−2.5
11
@UNM
UNML 68-82
+8.5
15
vsUND
UNDL 74-76
+1.5
18
@CBU
CBUL 57-80
−5.5
21
@USD
USDW 85-71
+3.5
24
vsGRAM
GRAMW 83-74
+12.5
29
@UTU
UTUL 69-77
+0.5
4
@UCI
UCIL 60-73
−9.5
6
@CP
CPW 88-84
+9.5
13
@BYU
BYUL 53-100
−2.5
20
@STMN
STMNL 78-92
+17.5
23
@UCLA
UCLAL 65-97
+13.5
over 8under 4avg +3.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Hawai'i
8-2 overall · 2-0 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UTEP66–61
- Wvs Fullerton69–59
- Wvs UC Davis75–69
- Wvs North Dakota92–55
- Lvs Arizona St76–83
A week or more of rest.
UC Riverside
4-8 overall · 1-1 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ UCLA65–97
- L@ St Thomas78–92
- L@ BYU53–100
- W@ Cal Poly88–84
- L@ UC Irvine60–73
A week or more of rest.