LionTree Arena · at UC San Diego · Conference game
Closing line
UCSD -14.5✓ CSUB covered by 2.5
UCSD -14.5✓ CSUB covered by 2.5Closing total148.5Over by 7.5
 CSUB | This season | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| 6-20 | Record | 17-9 |
| 9-17 | ATS | 14-12 |
| 12-14 | O/U | 11-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CSUB 66–82 UCSD · ✓ UCSD (92%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSUB | 27 | 45 | 72 |
| UCSD | 43 | 41 | 84 |
1st half: CSUB 27, UCSD 43 (UCSD by 16). The model had UCSD by 9.3 and a total of 69.1 (actual 70).
Team stats
| CSUB | UCSD | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-49 45% | Field goals | 26-52 50% |
| 3-21 14% | 3-pointers | 8-22 36% |
| 25-32 78% | Free throws | 24-35 69% |
| 26 4 off | Rebounds | 37 11 off |
| 11 | Assists | 15 |
| 8 | Steals | 9 |
| 1 | Blocks | 1 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 20 | Fouls | 25 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| CSUB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronald Jessamy F | 38 | 40 | 9 | 2 | 14-21 | 0-2 |
| Dailin Smith G | 31 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 3-9 | 2-7 |
| AJ George G | 29 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 4-4 | 1-1 |
| Tom Mark F | 25 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-4 |
| CJ Hardy G | 17 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kadar Waller G | 32 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Bentley Waller G | 18 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Mike Price G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Dylan Purnell G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Pierre Geneste Jr., TJ James Jr., Jaden Alexander, Colin Darby, Caleb McCarty
| UCSD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hudson Mayes G | 32 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 6-14 | 0-4 |
| Tom Beattie G | 30 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 4-9 | 2-4 |
| Alex Chaikin G | 29 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 4-9 | 3-7 |
| Leo Beath F | 27 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Bol Dengdit C | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaden Vance F | 19 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Dimitrije Vukicevic C | 17 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Aidan Burke G | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Emanuel Prospere II G | 10 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ryder Elisaldez, Cade Pendleton, Tyson Dunn, Christopher Cox, Jasen Brooks, Trap Johnson, Yaqub Mir
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCSD -15.5
1 → CSUB
CloseUCSD -14.5
1 pt toward CSUB
Total
Open149.5
▼ 1
Close148.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
CSUB +850 · UCSD -1450
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCSD -15.5 · closed UCSD -14.5 · moved 1 toward CSUBmodel UCSD -16
model UCSD -16
Opened 149.5 · closed 148.5 · moved 1 downmodel 147.5
model 147.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UCSD -14.5 | UCSD -15.8 | UCSD +1.3 | L CSUB covered |
| Total | 148.5 | 147.7 | Under 0.8 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | CSUB 66 · UCSD 81.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UCSD -9.3 | UCSD -16.0 |
| 1H total | 69.1 | 70 |
| 1H projected score | CSUB 29.9 · UCSD 39.2 | CSUB 27 · UCSD 43 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSUB | 0-10 0% | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% |
| UCSD | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 2-8 20% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
CSUB 3–6 UCSDUCSD leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · UCSD has won the last 3 meetings · CSUB 3-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2025-26 | UCSD 83 @ CSUB 62 | CSUB +8.5 | UCSD W |
| Feb 13, 2024-25 | UCSD 73 @ CSUB 54 | CSUB +13.5 | UCSD W |
| Dec 7, 2024-25 | CSUB 60 @ UCSD 81 | UCSD -10.5 | UCSD W |
| Feb 29, 2023-24 | UCSD 57 @ CSUB 70 | CSUB +5.5 | CSUB W |
| Dec 28, 2023-24 | CSUB 64 @ UCSD 76 | UCSD -7.5 | UCSD W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Bakersfield
26 games played
Straight up
6-20
23% wins
Against the spread
9-17
35% covers · avg −3.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-14
46% overs · avg +4.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CAL | L 60-87 | +15.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 11 | vs WIU | W 74-58 | -7.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 14 | @ MISS | L 60-82 | +23.5 | W +1.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 17 | @ PRST | L 80-93 | +8.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 22 | vs MVSU | W 86-70 | -21.5 | L −5.5 | 138.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 25 | @ FSU | L 59-89 | +26.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 30 | vs FRES | W 76-71 | +10.5 | W +15.5 | 150.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 4 | @ CSUN | L 66-87 | +5.5 | L −15.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 6 | @ UCSB | L 84-109 | +12.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | O 193 |
| Dec 11 | vs NDSU | L 69-80 | +7.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 13 | vs PEPP | L 62-70 | -1.5 | L −9.5 | 147.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 23 | vs IDHO | W 64-63 | +7.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 1 | vs UCI | L 77-81 | +11.5 | W +7.5 | 143.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 3 | @ UCD | W 81-79 | +9.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 8 | vs UCR | W 67-66 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 10 | @ LBSU | L 75-81 | +6.5 | W +0.5 | 142.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 15 | vsUCSB | L 69-75 | +7.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | vsUCSD | L 62-83 | +8.5 | L −12.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 22 | @ HAW | L 71-98 | +17.5 | L −9.5 | 144.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 29 | vs CP | L 79-104 | +1.5 | L −23.5 | 161.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 31 | vsUCD | L 72-80 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 152.5 | U 152 |
| Feb 5 | @UCI | L 62-78 | +16.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | U 140 |
| Feb 7 | @ CSUF | L 66-82 | +9.5 | L −6.5 | 157.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 12 | vsHAW | L 74-89 | +13.5 | L −1.5 | 151.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 19 | @UCR | L 65-93 | +6.5 | L −21.5 | 150.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 21 | vsCSUF | L 80-88 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | O 168 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CAL
CALL 60-87
−11.5
11
vsWIU
WIUW 74-58
+8.5
14
@MISS
MISSL 60-82
+1.5
17
@PRST
PRSTL 80-93
−4.5
22
vsMVSU
MVSUW 86-70
−5.5
25
@FSU
FSUL 59-89
−3.5
30
vsFRES
FRESW 76-71
+15.5
4
@CSUN
CSUNL 66-87
−15.5
6
@UCSB
UCSBL 84-109
−12.5
11
vsNDSU
NDSUL 69-80
−3.5
13
vsPEPP
PEPPL 62-70
−9.5
23
vsIDHO
IDHOW 64-63
+8.5
1
vsUCI
UCIL 77-81
+7.5
3
@UCD
UCDW 81-79
+11.5
8
vsUCR
UCRW 67-66
−2.5
10
@LBSU
LBSUL 75-81
+0.5
15
vsUCSB
UCSBL 69-75
+1.5
17
vsUCSD
UCSDL 62-83
−12.5
22
@HAW
HAWL 71-98
−9.5
29
vsCP
CPL 79-104
−23.5
31
vsUCD
UCDL 72-80
−2.5
5
@UCI
UCIL 62-78
+0.5
7
@CSUF
CSUFL 66-82
−6.5
12
vsHAW
HAWL 74-89
−1.5
19
@UCR
UCRL 65-93
−21.5
21
vsCSUF
CSUFL 80-88
−2.5
covered 9didn’t cover 17avg −3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CAL
CALL 60-87
−0.5
11
vsWIU
WIUW 74-58
−9.5
14
@MISS
MISSL 60-82
+1.5
17
@PRST
PRSTL 80-93
+31.5
22
vsMVSU
MVSUW 86-70
+17.5
25
@FSU
FSUL 59-89
−11.5
30
vsFRES
FRESW 76-71
−3.5
4
@CSUN
CSUNL 66-87
−2.5
6
@UCSB
UCSBL 84-109
+47.5
11
vsNDSU
NDSUL 69-80
−0.5
13
vsPEPP
PEPPL 62-70
−15.5
23
vsIDHO
IDHOW 64-63
−23.5
1
vsUCI
UCIL 77-81
+14.5
3
@UCD
UCDW 81-79
+8.5
8
vsUCR
UCRW 67-66
−14.5
10
@LBSU
LBSUL 75-81
+13.5
15
vsUCSB
UCSBL 69-75
−0.5
17
vsUCSD
UCSDL 62-83
−2.5
22
@HAW
HAWL 71-98
+24.5
29
vsCP
CPL 79-104
+21.5
31
vsUCD
UCDL 72-80
−0.5
5
@UCI
UCIL 62-78
−4.5
7
@CSUF
CSUFL 66-82
−9.5
12
vsHAW
HAWL 74-89
+11.5
19
@UCR
UCRL 65-93
+7.5
21
vsCSUF
CSUFL 80-88
+7.5
over 12under 14avg +4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
UC San Diego
26 games played
Straight up
17-9
65% wins
Against the spread
14-12
54% covers · avg −0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-15
42% overs · avg −5.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs HCU | W 78-60 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 12 | @FRES | W 78-73 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 15 | vsIDHO | W 75-67 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 24 | vs TEM | W 91-76 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 148.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 25 | vs BRAD | W 87-77 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | vs TOW | W 87-73 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 138.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 2 | @ NEV | L 70-76 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 6 | @LBSU | W 80-74 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 13 | vs TULN | W 93-67 | -5.5 | W +20.5 | 149.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 16 | @ LMU | W 67-57 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 19 | vs USD | L 80-82 | -12.5 | L −14.5 | 156.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 1 | @CP | L 65-67 | -8.5 | L −10.5 | 174.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 3 | vsHAW | W 83-73 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 8 | vsCSUF | L 71-88 | -13.5 | L −30.5 | 166.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 10 | @UCR | W 69-66 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 15 | vsCSUN | L 79-84 | -7.5 | L −12.5 | 159.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 17 | @CSUB | W 83-62 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 22 | @UCD | W 80-74 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 24 | vsUCI | L 59-61 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 146.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 29 | vsUCSB | L 48-62 | -4.5 | L −18.5 | 145.5 | U 110 |
| Jan 31 | @CSUN | L 64-81 | -1.5 | L −18.5 | 160.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 5 | vsLBSU | W 77-74 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 7 | @HAW | L 67-72 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 12 | vsUCD | W 68-51 | -5.5 | W +11.5 | 150.5 | U 119 |
| Feb 14 | vsUCR | W 72-66 | -11.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 21 | @UCI | W 71-69 | +3.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | U 140 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vsHCU
HCUW 78-60
+10.5
12
@FRES
FRESW 78-73
+6.5
15
vsIDHO
IDHOW 75-67
+2.5
24
vsTEM
TEMW 91-76
+16.5
25
vsBRAD
BRADW 87-77
+11.5
26
vsTOW
TOWW 87-73
+12.5
2
@NEV
NEVL 70-76
−0.5
6
@LBSU
LBSUW 80-74
−2.5
13
vsTULN
TULNW 93-67
+20.5
16
@LMU
LMUW 67-57
+8.5
19
vsUSD
USDL 80-82
−14.5
1
@CP
CPL 65-67
−10.5
3
vsHAW
HAWW 83-73
+7.5
8
vsCSUF
CSUFL 71-88
−30.5
10
@UCR
UCRW 69-66
−7.5
15
vsCSUN
CSUNL 79-84
−12.5
17
@CSUB
CSUBW 83-62
+12.5
22
@UCD
UCDW 80-74
+4.5
24
vsUCI
UCIL 59-61
−4.5
29
vsUCSB
UCSBL 48-62
−18.5
31
@CSUN
CSUNL 64-81
−18.5
5
vsLBSU
LBSUW 77-74
−7.5
7
@HAW
HAWL 67-72
+1.5
12
vsUCD
UCDW 68-51
+11.5
14
vsUCR
UCRW 72-66
−5.5
21
@UCI
UCIW 71-69
+5.5
covered 14didn’t cover 12avg −0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsHCU
HCUW 78-60
−3.5
12
@FRES
FRESW 78-73
+2.5
15
vsIDHO
IDHOW 75-67
−6.5
24
vsTEM
TEMW 91-76
+18.5
25
vsBRAD
BRADW 87-77
+18.5
26
vsTOW
TOWW 87-73
+21.5
2
@NEV
NEVL 70-76
−3.5
6
@LBSU
LBSUW 80-74
+8.5
13
vsTULN
TULNW 93-67
+10.5
16
@LMU
LMUW 67-57
−26.5
19
vsUSD
USDL 80-82
+5.5
1
@CP
CPL 65-67
−42.5
3
vsHAW
HAWW 83-73
+7.5
8
vsCSUF
CSUFL 71-88
−7.5
10
@UCR
UCRW 69-66
−14.5
15
vsCSUN
CSUNL 79-84
+3.5
17
@CSUB
CSUBW 83-62
−2.5
22
@UCD
UCDW 80-74
+1.5
24
vsUCI
UCIL 59-61
−26.5
29
vsUCSB
UCSBL 48-62
−35.5
31
@CSUN
CSUNL 64-81
−15.5
5
vsLBSU
LBSUW 77-74
+6.5
7
@HAW
HAWL 67-72
−10.5
12
vsUCD
UCDW 68-51
−31.5
14
vsUCR
UCRW 72-66
−9.5
21
@UCI
UCIW 71-69
−3.5
over 11under 15avg −5.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Bakersfield
6-20 overall · 2-14 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Fullerton80–88
- L@ UC Riverside65–93
- Lvs Hawai'i74–89
- L@ Fullerton66–82
- L@ UC Irvine62–78
5 days since their last game.
UC San Diego
17-9 overall · 9-7 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ UC Irvine71–69
- Wvs UC Riverside72–66
- Wvs UC Davis68–51
- L@ Hawai'i67–72
- Wvs Long Beach St77–74
5 days since their last game.