Stan Sheriff Center · at Hawai'i · Conference game
Closing line
HAW -6.5✓ UCSD covered by 1.5
HAW -6.5✓ UCSD covered by 1.5Closing total149.5Under by 10.5
 UCSD | This season | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| 14-8 | Record | 14-5 |
| 11-11 | ATS | 8-9 |
| 11-11 | O/U | 6-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UCSD 70–75 HAW · ✓ HAW (68%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCSD | 32 | 35 | 67 |
| HAW | 34 | 38 | 72 |
1st half: UCSD 32, HAW 34 (HAW by 2). The model had HAW by 3.0 and a total of 67.7 (actual 66).
Team stats
| UCSD | HAW | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-59 42% | Field goals | 26-60 43% |
| 7-26 27% | 3-pointers | 5-26 19% |
| 10-18 56% | Free throws | 15-23 65% |
| 27 3 off | Rebounds | 47 12 off |
| 8 | Assists | 10 |
| 9 | Steals | 6 |
| 1 | Blocks | 7 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 18 | Fouls | 17 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 15 | Fast-break points | 16 |
Players
| UCSD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hudson Mayes G | 34 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 5-11 | 0-1 |
| Alex Chaikin G | 32 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 4-11 | 1-6 |
| Leo Beath F | 30 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Tom Beattie G | 29 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 5-8 | 1-3 |
| Bol Dengdit C | 27 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 5-7 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Aidan Burke G | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-6 | 2-3 |
| Jaden Vance F | 18 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-1 |
| Cade Pendleton F | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-5 |
Did not play: Jasen Brooks, Yaqub Mir, Dimitrije Vukicevic, Trap Johnson, Ryder Elisaldez, Christopher Cox, Tyson Dunn, Emanuel Prospere II
| HAW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Finlinson F | 34 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 5-12 | 1-5 |
| Hunter Erickson G | 34 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 2-7 | 1-5 |
| Isaac Johnson C | 30 | 20 | 9 | 0 | 8-14 | 2-4 |
| Dre Bullock G | 30 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 3-11 | 0-4 |
| Harry Rouhliadeff F | 30 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaiah Kerr G | 22 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Gytis Nemeiksa F | 18 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 5-9 | 0-3 |
| Yacine Toumi F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tanner Cuff, AJ Economou, Aaron Hunkin-Claytor, Jalen Myers, Hunter Carter
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketHAW -6.5
ModelHAW -5.2
Model edgeUCSD +1.3
W UCSD covered
Total
Market149.5
Model144.5
Model edgeUnder 5.0
W Under
Projected score
UCSD 69.6 · HAW 74.8
UCSD 67 · HAW 72
Win probability
HAW 68%
1st half
Spread
HAW -3.0
HAW -2.0
Total
67.7
66 points
Projected score
UCSD 32.3 · HAW 35.3
UCSD 32 · HAW 34
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenHAW -6.5
no move
CloseHAW -6.5
No change since the open
Total
Open146.5
▲ 3
Close149.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
UCSD +230 · HAW -285
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened HAW -6.5 · unchangedmodel HAW -5
model HAW -5
Opened 146.5 · closed 149.5 · moved 3 upmodel 144.5
model 144.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCSD | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% |
| HAW | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
UCSD 4–5 HAWHAW leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · UCSD has won the last 3 meetings · UCSD 5-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2025-26 | HAW 73 @ UCSD 83 | UCSD -2.5 | UCSD W |
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | HAW 44 @ UCSD 83 | UCSD -15.5 | UCSD W |
| Jan 30, 2024-25 | UCSD 74 @ HAW 63 | HAW +7.5 | UCSD W |
| Feb 8, 2023-24 | UCSD 86 @ HAW 94 | HAW -1.5 | HAW W |
| Jan 20, 2023-24 | HAW 61 @ UCSD 67 | UCSD -4.5 | UCSD W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UC San Diego
22 games played
Straight up
14-8
64% wins
Against the spread
11-11
50% covers · avg −0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-11
50% overs · avg −3.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs HCU | W 78-60 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 12 | @ FRES | W 78-73 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs IDHO | W 75-67 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 24 | vs TEM | W 91-76 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 148.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 25 | vs BRAD | W 87-77 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | vs TOW | W 87-73 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 138.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 2 | @ NEV | L 70-76 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 6 | @ LBSU | W 80-74 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 13 | vs TULN | W 93-67 | -5.5 | W +20.5 | 149.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 16 | @ LMU | W 67-57 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 19 | vs USD | L 80-82 | -12.5 | L −14.5 | 156.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 1 | @ CP | L 65-67 | -8.5 | L −10.5 | 174.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 3 | vsHAW | W 83-73 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 8 | vs CSUF | L 71-88 | -13.5 | L −30.5 | 166.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 10 | @ UCR | W 69-66 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 15 | vs CSUN | L 79-84 | -7.5 | L −12.5 | 159.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 17 | @ CSUB | W 83-62 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 22 | @ UCD | W 80-74 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 24 | vs UCI | L 59-61 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 146.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 29 | vs UCSB | L 48-62 | -4.5 | L −18.5 | 145.5 | U 110 |
| Jan 31 | @CSUN | L 64-81 | -1.5 | L −18.5 | 160.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 5 | vsLBSU | W 77-74 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | O 151 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vsHCU
HCUW 78-60
+10.5
12
@FRES
FRESW 78-73
+6.5
15
vsIDHO
IDHOW 75-67
+2.5
24
vsTEM
TEMW 91-76
+16.5
25
vsBRAD
BRADW 87-77
+11.5
26
vsTOW
TOWW 87-73
+12.5
2
@NEV
NEVL 70-76
−0.5
6
@LBSU
LBSUW 80-74
−2.5
13
vsTULN
TULNW 93-67
+20.5
16
@LMU
LMUW 67-57
+8.5
19
vsUSD
USDL 80-82
−14.5
1
@CP
CPL 65-67
−10.5
3
vsHAW
HAWW 83-73
+7.5
8
vsCSUF
CSUFL 71-88
−30.5
10
@UCR
UCRW 69-66
−7.5
15
vsCSUN
CSUNL 79-84
−12.5
17
@CSUB
CSUBW 83-62
+12.5
22
@UCD
UCDW 80-74
+4.5
24
vsUCI
UCIL 59-61
−4.5
29
vsUCSB
UCSBL 48-62
−18.5
31
@CSUN
CSUNL 64-81
−18.5
5
vsLBSU
LBSUW 77-74
−7.5
covered 11didn’t cover 11avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsHCU
HCUW 78-60
−3.5
12
@FRES
FRESW 78-73
+2.5
15
vsIDHO
IDHOW 75-67
−6.5
24
vsTEM
TEMW 91-76
+18.5
25
vsBRAD
BRADW 87-77
+18.5
26
vsTOW
TOWW 87-73
+21.5
2
@NEV
NEVL 70-76
−3.5
6
@LBSU
LBSUW 80-74
+8.5
13
vsTULN
TULNW 93-67
+10.5
16
@LMU
LMUW 67-57
−26.5
19
vsUSD
USDL 80-82
+5.5
1
@CP
CPL 65-67
−42.5
3
vsHAW
HAWW 83-73
+7.5
8
vsCSUF
CSUFL 71-88
−7.5
10
@UCR
UCRW 69-66
−14.5
15
vsCSUN
CSUNL 79-84
+3.5
17
@CSUB
CSUBW 83-62
−2.5
22
@UCD
UCDW 80-74
+1.5
24
vsUCI
UCIL 59-61
−26.5
29
vsUCSB
UCSBL 48-62
−35.5
31
@CSUN
CSUNL 64-81
−15.5
5
vsLBSU
LBSUW 77-74
+6.5
over 11under 11avg −3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Hawai'i
19 games played
Straight up
14-5
74% wins
Against the spread
8-9
47% covers · avg +2.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-11
35% overs · avg +0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ ORE | L 59-60 | +11.5 | W +10.5 | 144.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 10 | vs ETAM | W 100-74 | -18.5 | W +7.5 | 145.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 12 | vs MVSU | W 88-56 | -41.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 14 | vs MAN | W 86-56 | -15.5 | W +14.5 | 156.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 15 | vs UTU | W 68-62 | -16.5 | L −10.5 | 149.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 20 | vs ASU | L 76-83 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 28 | vs UND | W 92-55 | -18.5 | W +18.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 4 | vsUCD | W 75-69 | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 6 | vsCSUF | W 69-59 | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 13 | vs UTEP | W 66-61 | -12.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 1 | @UCR | W 88-45 | -8.5 | W +34.5 | 149.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 3 | @UCSD | L 73-83 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 10 | vsUCI | W 67-66 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 15 | @CP | W 86-66 | -5.5 | W +14.5 | 160.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 17 | @UCSB | L 62-77 | -2.5 | L −17.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 22 | vsCSUB | W 98-71 | -17.5 | W +9.5 | 144.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 24 | vsCSUN | W 89-68 | -10.5 | W +10.5 | 158.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 29 | @UCI | L 76-87 | +1.5 | L −9.5 | 144.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 31 | @LBSU | W 89-82 | -8.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 171 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@ORE
OREL 59-60
+10.5
10
vsETAM
ETAMW 100-74
+7.5
12
vsMVSU
MVSUW 88-56
−9.5
14
vsMAN
MANW 86-56
+14.5
15
vsUTU
UTUW 68-62
−10.5
20
vsASU
ASUL 76-83
−8.5
28
vsUND
UNDW 92-55
+18.5
13
vsUTEP
UTEPW 66-61
−7.5
1
@UCR
UCRW 88-45
+34.5
3
@UCSD
UCSDL 73-83
−7.5
10
vsUCI
UCIW 67-66
−3.5
15
@CP
CPW 86-66
+14.5
17
@UCSB
UCSBL 62-77
−17.5
22
vsCSUB
CSUBW 98-71
+9.5
24
vsCSUN
CSUNW 89-68
+10.5
29
@UCI
UCIL 76-87
−9.5
31
@LBSU
LBSUW 89-82
−1.5
covered 8didn’t cover 9avg +2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@ORE
OREL 59-60
−25.5
10
vsETAM
ETAMW 100-74
+28.5
12
vsMVSU
MVSUW 88-56
−7.5
14
vsMAN
MANW 86-56
−14.5
15
vsUTU
UTUW 68-62
−19.5
20
vsASU
ASUL 76-83
+15.5
28
vsUND
UNDW 92-55
−2.5
13
vsUTEP
UTEPW 66-61
−11.5
1
@UCR
UCRW 88-45
−16.5
3
@UCSD
UCSDL 73-83
+7.5
10
vsUCI
UCIW 67-66
−7.5
15
@CP
CPW 86-66
−8.5
17
@UCSB
UCSBL 62-77
−4.5
22
vsCSUB
CSUBW 98-71
+24.5
24
vsCSUN
CSUNW 89-68
−1.5
29
@UCI
UCIL 76-87
+18.5
31
@LBSU
LBSUW 89-82
+26.5
over 6under 11avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UC San Diego
14-8 overall · 6-6 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Long Beach St77–74
- L@ CSU Northridge64–81
- Lvs Santa Barbara48–62
- Lvs UC Irvine59–61
- W@ UC Davis80–74
2 days since their last game.
Hawai'i
14-5 overall · 8-3 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Long Beach St89–82
- L@ UC Irvine76–87
- Wvs CSU Northridge89–68
- Wvs Bakersfield98–71
- L@ Santa Barbara62–77
A week or more of rest.