Northwestern State Demons at SE Louisiana Lions: Model Line and Edge

Sun, Dec 7, 4:30 PM ETUniversity Center · at SE Louisiana · Conference game

#318NWSTN'Western St76▲ winner

Final

Closing lineSELA -7.5✓ NWST covered by 15.5

Closing total133.5Over by 10.5

Season records: N'Western St and SE Louisiana
NWST	This season	SELA
0-7	Record	2-5
3-4	ATS	4-3
6-1	O/U	2-5

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: NWST 67–74 SELA · ✗ SELA (74%) lost

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
NWST	25	51	76
SELA	29	39	68

1st half: NWST 25, SELA 29 (SELA by 4). The model had SELA by 4.3 and a total of 65.7 (actual 54).

Team stats

NWST		SELA
25-49 51%	Field goals	22-50 44%
5-13 38%	3-pointers	3-19 16%
21-27 78%	Free throws	21-30 70%
36 11 off	Rebounds	25 9 off
9	Assists	9
7	Steals	7
0	Blocks	3
15	Turnovers	11
21	Fouls	25
32	Points in paint	36
15	Fast-break points	13

Players

NWST	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Chris Mubiru G	32	7	6	3	2-3	0-1
Willie Williams F	29	2	7	1	1-3	0-0
Izzy Miles G	25	13	0	1	4-8	2-3
Justin Redmond G	20	17	3	1	6-10	1-2
Landyn Jumawan G	6	0	0	0	0-1	0-1
Bench
Micah Thomas G	28	18	2	2	5-14	1-4
Kordrick Turner F	21	4	6	0	2-2	0-0
Omar Adegbola G	20	11	5	0	3-5	1-2
Chip Brunt G	13	2	1	1	1-1	0-0
Moustapha Loum F	6	2	2	0	1-2	0-0

Did not play: J.C. Riley Jr., CJ Larry, Quentin Bolton, Seth Ned

SELA	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Jeremy Elyzee G	33	19	5	2	6-10	0-3
CJ Booker PG	28	8	2	1	3-6	1-2
Isaiah Gaines F	26	17	7	1	5-8	0-1
Jaiden Lawrence G	22	6	0	0	2-5	2-5
Ethan Pickett G	18	2	2	2	1-2	0-0
Bench
Jalen Forrest G	20	10	1	0	3-7	0-2
Peter Hemschemeier G	18	2	2	2	1-5	0-2
Ubong-Abasi Etim C	12	2	0	0	1-2	0-0
Seth Jones G	8	0	2	0	0-2	0-1
Kyle Edison G	6	2	0	1	0-1	0-1
Garrett Shoemaker F	5	0	0	0	0-0	0-0
Makhi Myles F	4	0	0	0	0-2	0-2

Did not play: Ahmed Essahaty, Cody Al-Naziat, Amir Chaney

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
NWST WLWWL	3-4	43%	2-4	3-4
SELA WWLWW	4-3	57%	—	1-0

Venue/role: NWST away, as underdog; SELA home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
NWST OOOOO	6-1	86%	0-7
SELA UUUOU	2-5	29%	2-5

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
NWSTlast 7	0-7 0%	3-4 43%	6-1 86%
SELAlast 7	2-5 29%	4-3 57%	2-5 29%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22

NWST 3–5 SELASELA leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · NWST 3-5 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Feb 24, 2024-25	NWST 72 @ SELA 69	SELA -7.5	NWST W
Jan 18, 2024-25	SELA 65 @ NWST 64	NWST -1.5	SELA W
Feb 10, 2023-24	SELA 69 @ NWST 59	NWST +1	SELA W
Jan 22, 2023-24	NWST 62 @ SELA 71	SELA -5.5	SELA W
Feb 16, 2022-23	SELA 76 @ NWST 81	NWST -5.5	SELA W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

N'Western St

7 games played

Straight up

0-7

0% wins

Against the spread

3-4

43% covers · avg −5.2 pts vs the line

Over / Under

6-1

86% overs · avg +8.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

0-70%

L L L L L L L

7 straight losses0 of last 4 won

Against the spread

3-443%

L L W L W W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

6-186%

O U O O O O O

5 straight overs4 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@TA&M	L 68-98	+21.5	L −8.5	153.5	O 166
Nov 6	@UNT	L 53-80	+11.5	L −15.5	137.5	U 133
Nov 11	@UNA	L 83-87	+6.5	W +2.5	142.5	O 170
Nov 18	@SF	L 64-84	+16.5	L −3.5	143.5	O 148
Nov 21	@GCU	L 72-85	+18.5	W +5.5	147.5	O 157
Nov 29	vsSOU	L 73-75	+3.5	W +1.5	144.5	O 148
Dec 5	@MCN	L 54-92	+19.5	L −18.5	139.5	O 146

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

TA&M

L 68-98

−8.5

UNT

L 53-80

−15.5

UNA

L 83-87

+2.5

L 64-84

−3.5

GCU

L 72-85

+5.5

SOU

L 73-75

+1.5

MCN

L 54-92

−18.5

covered 3didn’t cover 4avg −5.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

TA&M

L 68-98

+12.5

UNT

L 53-80

−4.5

UNA

L 83-87

+27.5

L 64-84

+4.5

GCU

L 72-85

+9.5

SOU

L 73-75

+3.5

MCN

L 54-92

+6.5

over 6under 1avg +8.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

SE Louisiana

7 games played

Straight up

2-5

29% wins

Against the spread

4-3

57% covers · avg +3.1 pts vs the line

Over / Under

2-5

29% overs · avg −6.4 pts vs the total

Straight up

2-529%

L L L L L W W

2 straight wins2 of last 4 won

Against the spread

4-357%

L L W W L W W

2 straight covers3 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

2-529%

O U U U U O U

1 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@MISS	L 58-88	+21.5	L −8.5	143.5	O 146
Nov 7	@UL	L 52-58	+3.5	L −2.5	135.5	U 110
Nov 10	@GT	L 60-70	+14.5	W +4.5	133.5	U 130
Nov 15	@MSST	L 68-75	+27.5	W +20.5	150.5	U 143
Nov 26	@UNCW	L 57-70	+11.5	L −1.5	137.5	U 127
Nov 28	vsGWEB	W 76-68	-6.5	W +1.5	141.5	O 144
Nov 29	vsNAVY	W 69-65	+3.5	W +7.5	136.5	U 134

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

MISS

L 58-88

−8.5

L 52-58

−2.5

L 60-70

+4.5

MSST

L 68-75

+20.5

UNCW

L 57-70

−1.5

GWEB

W 76-68

+1.5

NAVY

W 69-65

+7.5

covered 4didn’t cover 3avg +3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

MISS

L 58-88

+2.5

L 52-58

−25.5

L 60-70

−3.5

MSST

L 68-75

−7.5

UNCW

L 57-70

−10.5

GWEB

W 76-68

+2.5

NAVY

W 69-65

−2.5

over 2under 5avg −6.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

N'Western St @ SE Louisiana

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market vs model

Market

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

N'Western St

SE Louisiana

N'Western St

SE Louisiana