UTRGV Fieldhouse · at UT Rio Grande · Conference game
Closing line
RGV -6.5✓ NOLA covered by 22.5
RGV -6.5✓ NOLA covered by 22.5Closing total152.5Over by 1.5
 NOLA | This season | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| 3-8 | Record | 3-6 |
| 4-7 | ATS | 5-4 |
| 7-4 | O/U | 3-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NOLA 74–80 RGV · ✗ RGV (68%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NOLA | 35 | 50 | 85 |
| RGV | 24 | 45 | 69 |
1st half: NOLA 35, RGV 24 (NOLA by 11). The model had RGV by 3.1 and a total of 72.2 (actual 59).
Team stats
| NOLA | RGV | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-62 47% | Field goals | 24-59 41% |
| 9-25 36% | 3-pointers | 11-28 39% |
| 18-20 90% | Free throws | 10-17 59% |
| 38 12 off | Rebounds | 35 13 off |
| 15 | Assists | 17 |
| 8 | Steals | 4 |
| 4 | Blocks | 3 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 18 | Fouls | 16 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 16 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| NOLA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakevion Buckley G | 40 | 32 | 5 | 4 | 12-20 | 3-5 |
| MJ Thomas F | 30 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Coleton Benson G | 29 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 3-11 | 2-9 |
| Kedrick Osby F | 26 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Churchill Abass F | 20 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Panagiotis Pagonis F | 30 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 2-9 | 0-4 |
| Enzo Boudouma F | 14 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3-3 | 2-2 |
| Irish Coquia G | 11 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
Did not play: TJ Cope, Jamal Chretien II, Vieux Sanneh, Eze Nwakamma, Grant Kemp, Mathok Majok, William Patterson Jr.
| RGV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Koree Cotton G | 32 | 24 | 8 | 4 | 8-15 | 5-7 |
| Always Wright G | 26 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Filip Brankovic F | 25 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 5-7 | 2-3 |
| Marvin McGhee III G | 25 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-7 | 1-5 |
| Zae Blake G | 24 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2-7 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Julien Gomez G | 19 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Jaylen Washington Jr. G | 18 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 3-7 | 0-2 |
| Kwo Agwa F | 10 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-1 |
| Dane Christensen F | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Jalen Ricks G | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Luis Ramirez G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Marshal Destremau F | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Demarris Winters, Mustafo Vanjov, Kye Dickson
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketRGV -6.5
ModelRGV -5.4
Model edgeNOLA +1.1
W NOLA covered
Total
Market152.5
Model154.3
Model edgeOver 1.8
W Over
Projected score
NOLA 74.4 · RGV 79.9
NOLA 85 · RGV 69
Win probability
RGV 68%
1st half
Spread
RGV -3.1
NOLA -11.0
Total
72.2
59 points
Projected score
NOLA 34.6 · RGV 37.7
NOLA 35 · RGV 24
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenRGV -5.5
1 → RGV
CloseRGV -6.5
1 pt toward RGV
Total
Open155.5
▼ 3
Close152.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
NOLA +210 · RGV -258
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened RGV -5.5 · closed RGV -6.5 · moved 1 toward RGVmodel RGV -5.5
model RGV -5.5
Opened 155.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 3 downmodel 154.5
model 154.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NOLA | 2-8 20% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
| RGVlast 9 | 3-6 33% | 5-4 56% | 3-6 33% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
NOLA 0–2 RGVRGV leads · 2 games since 2021-22 · RGV has won the last 2 meetings · NOLA 1-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | NOLA 78 @ RGV 88 | RGV -10.5 | NOLA W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | RGV 76 @ NOLA 64 | NOLA +7.5 | RGV W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
LSU N Orleans
11 games played
Straight up
3-8
27% wins
Against the spread
4-7
36% covers · avg +2.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-4
64% overs · avg +3.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ TCU | W 78-74 | +21.5 | W +25.5 | 149.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 10 | @ LSU | L 58-93 | +19.5 | L −15.5 | 162.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 14 | @ TULN | W 85-63 | +11.5 | W +33.5 | 153.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 18 | @ PEPP | L 79-90 | +5.5 | L −5.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 21 | @ FRES | L 76-85 | +6.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 24 | @ MSST | L 78-81 | +23.5 | W +20.5 | 160.5 | U 159 |
| Nov 26 | @ TTU | L 50-82 | +29.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 3 | @ MEM | L 70-86 | +14.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 6 | vs HCU | L 76-85 | -4.5 | L −13.5 | 140.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 8 | vs UIW | W 84-83 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 13 | @ HOU | L 57-99 | +32.5 | L −9.5 | 138.5 | O 156 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@TCU
TCUW 78-74
+25.5
10
@LSU
LSUL 58-93
−15.5
14
@TULN
TULNW 85-63
+33.5
18
@PEPP
PEPPL 79-90
−5.5
21
@FRES
FRESL 76-85
−2.5
24
@MSST
MSSTL 78-81
+20.5
26
@TTU
TTUL 50-82
−2.5
3
@MEM
MEML 70-86
−1.5
6
vsHCU
HCUL 76-85
−13.5
8
vsUIW
UIWW 84-83
+2.5
13
@HOU
HOUL 57-99
−9.5
covered 4didn’t cover 7avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@TCU
TCUW 78-74
+2.5
10
@LSU
LSUL 58-93
−11.5
14
@TULN
TULNW 85-63
−5.5
18
@PEPP
PEPPL 79-90
+11.5
21
@FRES
FRESL 76-85
+6.5
24
@MSST
MSSTL 78-81
−1.5
26
@TTU
TTUL 50-82
−25.5
3
@MEM
MEML 70-86
+6.5
6
vsHCU
HCUL 76-85
+20.5
8
vsUIW
UIWW 84-83
+18.5
13
@HOU
HOUL 57-99
+17.5
over 7under 4avg +3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
UT Rio Grande
9 games played
Straight up
3-6
33% wins
Against the spread
5-4
56% covers · avg +5.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-6
33% overs · avg −7.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ BAY | L 81-96 | +24.5 | W +9.5 | 154.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 8 | @ SUU | W 95-72 | -1.5 | W +21.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 11 | @ BOIS | L 65-85 | +16.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 22 | @ MOST | L 67-74 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 24 | @ ILL | L 73-87 | +33.5 | W +19.5 | 164.5 | U 160 |
| Dec 3 | @ SFA | L 60-73 | +6.5 | L −6.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 7 | vs APSU | W 63-50 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 151.5 | U 113 |
| Dec 11 | vs UTA | L 50-58 | -4.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | U 108 |
| Dec 16 | @ LAM | W 83-72 | +3.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | O 155 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@BAY
BAYL 81-96
+9.5
8
@SUU
SUUW 95-72
+21.5
11
@BOIS
BOISL 65-85
−3.5
22
@MOST
MOSTL 67-74
−3.5
24
@ILL
ILLL 73-87
+19.5
3
@SFA
SFAL 60-73
−6.5
7
vsAPSU
APSUW 63-50
+10.5
11
vsUTA
UTAL 50-58
−12.5
16
@LAM
LAMW 83-72
+14.5
covered 5didn’t cover 4avg +5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@BAY
BAYL 81-96
+22.5
8
@SUU
SUUW 95-72
+6.5
11
@BOIS
BOISL 65-85
−11.5
22
@MOST
MOSTL 67-74
−8.5
24
@ILL
ILLL 73-87
−4.5
3
@SFA
SFAL 60-73
−10.5
7
vsAPSU
APSUW 63-50
−38.5
11
vsUTA
UTAL 50-58
−37.5
16
@LAM
LAMW 83-72
+15.5
over 3under 6avg −7.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
LSU N Orleans
3-8 overall · 1-1 in conference · Southland Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Houston57–99
- Wvs Incarnate Word84–83
- Lvs Hou Christian76–85
- L@ Memphis70–86
- L@ Texas Tech50–82
A week or more of rest.
UT Rio Grande
3-6 overall · 1-1 in conference · Southland Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Lamar83–72
- Lvs UT Arlington50–58
- Wvs Austin Peay63–50
- L@ SF Austin60–73
- L@ Illinois73–87
A week or more of rest.