b1Bank Fant Coliseum · at UL Monroe · Conference game
Closing line
TXST -10.5✓ ULM covered by 5.5
TXST -10.5✓ ULM covered by 5.5Closing total150.5Over by 12.5
| TXST | This season | ULM |
|---|---|---|
| 6-7 | Record | 1-12 |
| 5-8 | ATS | 6-7 |
| 7-6 | O/U | 11-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TXST 80–73 ULM · ✓ TXST (71%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TXST | 46 | 38 | 84 |
| ULM | 40 | 39 | 79 |
1st half: TXST 46, ULM 40 (TXST by 6). The model had TXST by 4.0 and a total of 71.5 (actual 86).
Team stats
| TXST | ULM | |
|---|---|---|
| 36-70 51% | Field goals | 28-56 50% |
| 4-14 29% | 3-pointers | 12-24 50% |
| 8-12 67% | Free throws | 11-16 69% |
| 40 16 off | Rebounds | 25 4 off |
| 21 | Assists | 14 |
| 12 | Steals | 8 |
| 2 | Blocks | 5 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 16 | Fouls | 10 |
| 48 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 3 |
Players
| TXST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaden Gumbs G | 38 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 5-11 | 0-2 |
| Mark Drone G | 36 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 9-14 | 3-6 |
| DJ Hall F | 29 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 8-11 | 0-1 |
| Kyndall Davis G | 22 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1-9 | 0-2 |
| Tay Knox C | 13 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jalen Bolden G | 28 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 6-10 | 1-3 |
| Robert Fields C | 16 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Makai Willis C | 13 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3-8 | 0-0 |
| Franck Emmou G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Dimp Pernell, Isaiah Barganier, Jaelyn Lee, Deke Thompson, Ky Pernell, Cameron Simpson
| ULM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lavell Brodnex G | 39 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 9-13 | 3-4 |
| Krystian Lewis G | 38 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 6-13 | 4-8 |
| MJ Russell G | 35 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 7-13 | 2-4 |
| Renars Sondors F | 32 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 3-8 | 1-3 |
| Dylan Diaz G | 31 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3-5 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Alex Molofeev G | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Ayomide Bamisile F | 7 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Micah Caster G | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Wiggy Ball G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Brady Craig, Alex Huguet, Przemek Hartman, Cam Campbell, Ajay Tew, Brentay Noel
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTXST -7.5
3 → TXST
CloseTXST -10.5
3 pts toward TXST
Total
Open150.5
no move
Close150.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
TXST -550 · ULM +410
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TXST -7.5 · closed TXST -10.5 · moved 3 toward TXSTmodel TXST -6.5
model TXST -6.5
Opened 150.5 · unchangedmodel 152.5
model 152.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | TXST -10.5 | TXST -6.5 | ULM +4.0 | W ULM covered |
| Total | 150.5 | 152.7 | Over 2.2 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | TXST 79.6 · ULM 73.1 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | TXST -4.0 | TXST -6.0 |
| 1H total | 71.5 | 86 |
| 1H projected score | TXST 37.8 · ULM 33.8 | TXST 46 · ULM 40 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TXST | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% |
| ULM | 1-9 10% | 5-5 50% | 9-1 90% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
TXST 6–2 ULMTXST leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · TXST has won the last 4 meetings · TXST 6-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2024-25 | ULM 63 @ TXST 80 | TXST -12.5 | TXST W |
| Feb 13, 2024-25 | TXST 72 @ ULM 60 | ULM +8.5 | TXST W |
| Feb 27, 2023-24 | ULM 55 @ TXST 73 | TXST -5.5 | TXST W |
| Jan 13, 2023-24 | TXST 67 @ ULM 54 | ULM +3.5 | TXST W |
| Jan 14, 2022-23 | TXST 58 @ ULM 61 | ULM +4.5 | ULM W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Texas St
13 games played
Straight up
6-7
46% wins
Against the spread
5-8
38% covers · avg −3.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-6
54% overs · avg +2.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ BGSU | L 48-83 | +5.5 | L −29.5 | 146.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 8 | @ TULN | L 71-79 | +12.5 | W +4.5 | 146.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 12 | vs UTSA | W 80-69 | -2.5 | W +8.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 15 | vs TXSO | W 77-67 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 18 | vs ACU | W 63-49 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 138.5 | U 112 |
| Nov 21 | vs LR | W 65-56 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 131.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 28 | vs SEA | L 52-66 | +7.5 | L −6.5 | 136.5 | U 118 |
| Nov 29 | vs LEH | L 74-78 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 135.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 3 | @ RICE | L 72-77 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 133.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 10 | vs SOU | W 86-83 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 142.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 17 | vs ARST | L 70-89 | +4.5 | L −14.5 | 151.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 20 | vs USA | W 67-65 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 136.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 31 | @ TROY | L 80-100 | +8.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | O 180 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@BGSU
BGSUL 48-83
−29.5
8
@TULN
TULNL 71-79
+4.5
12
vsUTSA
UTSAW 80-69
+8.5
15
vsTXSO
TXSOW 77-67
+5.5
18
vsACU
ACUW 63-49
+12.5
21
vsLR
LRW 65-56
+3.5
28
vsSEA
SEAL 52-66
−6.5
29
vsLEH
LEHL 74-78
−10.5
3
@RICE
RICEL 72-77
−1.5
10
vsSOU
SOUW 86-83
−0.5
17
vsARST
ARSTL 70-89
−14.5
20
vsUSA
USAW 67-65
−1.5
31
@TROY
TROYL 80-100
−11.5
covered 5didn’t cover 8avg −3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@BGSU
BGSUL 48-83
−15.5
8
@TULN
TULNL 71-79
+3.5
12
vsUTSA
UTSAW 80-69
+1.5
15
vsTXSO
TXSOW 77-67
−0.5
18
vsACU
ACUW 63-49
−26.5
21
vsLR
LRW 65-56
−10.5
28
vsSEA
SEAL 52-66
−18.5
29
vsLEH
LEHL 74-78
+16.5
3
@RICE
RICEL 72-77
+15.5
10
vsSOU
SOUW 86-83
+26.5
17
vsARST
ARSTL 70-89
+7.5
20
vsUSA
USAW 67-65
−4.5
31
@TROY
TROYL 80-100
+34.5
over 7under 6avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
UL Monroe
13 games played
Straight up
1-12
8% wins
Against the spread
6-7
46% covers · avg +0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-2
85% overs · avg +10.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ NIU | L 82-102 | +7.5 | L −12.5 | 147.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 7 | @ MISS | L 65-86 | +37.5 | W +16.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 13 | @ HCU | L 61-72 | +8.5 | L −2.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 17 | vs LAM | L 66-79 | +11.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 22 | vs MORE | L 80-83 | +6.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 23 | @ ETSU | L 55-97 | +19.5 | L −22.5 | 146.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 3 | vs MVSU | W 66-52 | -9.5 | W +4.5 | 149.5 | U 118 |
| Dec 7 | @ SFA | L 76-96 | +19.5 | L −0.5 | 142.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | @ MIA | L 79-104 | +35.5 | W +10.5 | 153.5 | O 183 |
| Dec 17 | vsUSA | L 92-96 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 148.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 20 | vs UL | L 62-76 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 136.5 | O 138 |
| Dec 28 | @ KSU | L 85-94 | +32.5 | W +23.5 | 169.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 1 | vs USM | L 73-87 | +9.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@NIU
NIUL 82-102
−12.5
7
@MISS
MISSL 65-86
+16.5
13
@HCU
HCUL 61-72
−2.5
17
vsLAM
LAML 66-79
−1.5
22
vsMORE
MOREL 80-83
+3.5
23
@ETSU
ETSUL 55-97
−22.5
3
vsMVSU
MVSUW 66-52
+4.5
7
@SFA
SFAL 76-96
−0.5
13
@MIA
MIAL 79-104
+10.5
17
vsUSA
USAL 92-96
+5.5
20
vsUL
ULL 62-76
−12.5
28
@KSU
KSUL 85-94
+23.5
1
vsUSM
USML 73-87
−4.5
covered 6didn’t cover 7avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@NIU
NIUL 82-102
+36.5
7
@MISS
MISSL 65-86
+1.5
13
@HCU
HCUL 61-72
−10.5
17
vsLAM
LAML 66-79
+4.5
22
vsMORE
MOREL 80-83
+17.5
23
@ETSU
ETSUL 55-97
+5.5
3
vsMVSU
MVSUW 66-52
−31.5
7
@SFA
SFAL 76-96
+29.5
13
@MIA
MIAL 79-104
+29.5
17
vsUSA
USAL 92-96
+39.5
20
vsUL
ULL 62-76
+1.5
28
@KSU
KSUL 85-94
+9.5
1
vsUSM
USML 73-87
+7.5
over 11under 2avg +10.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Texas St
6-7 overall · 1-2 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Troy80–100
- Wvs South Alabama67–65
- Lvs Arkansas St70–89
- Wvs Southern86–83
- L@ Rice72–77
3 days since their last game.
UL Monroe
1-12 overall · 0-3 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Southern Miss73–87
- L@ Kansas St85–94
- Lvs Louisiana62–76
- Lvs South Alabama92–96
- L@ Miami79–104
2 days since their last game.