Hyland Arena · at Lindenwood Lions · Conference game
Closing line
LIN -4.5✓ TNST covered by 14.5
LIN -4.5✓ TNST covered by 14.5Closing total160.5Over by 21.5
 TNST | This season | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| 9-7 | Record | 9-8 |
| 9-7 | ATS | 8-9 |
| 8-8 | O/U | 10-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TNST 78–81 LIN · ✗ LIN (61%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TNST | 43 | 53 | 96 |
| LIN | 39 | 47 | 86 |
1st half: TNST 43, LIN 39 (TNST by 4). The model had LIN by 1.7 and a total of 74.8 (actual 82).
Team stats
| TNST | LIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 41-68 60% | Field goals | 29-58 50% |
| 7-14 50% | 3-pointers | 8-19 42% |
| 7-10 70% | Free throws | 20-22 91% |
| 31 9 off | Rebounds | 27 7 off |
| 14 | Assists | 19 |
| 11 | Steals | 11 |
| 4 | Blocks | 3 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 17 | Fouls | 13 |
| 56 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 15 |
Players
| TNST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dante Harris G | 37 | 20 | 2 | 3 | 9-14 | 2-3 |
| Travis Harper II G | 35 | 30 | 3 | 0 | 13-21 | 2-5 |
| Aaron Nkrumah G | 32 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 8-12 | 3-5 |
| Antoine Lorick III F | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 6-8 | 0-0 |
| Jalen Pitre F | 22 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Carlous Williams F | 18 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Kavien Jones F | 18 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Damon Howard Jr. G | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Jabrion Spikes G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Khalil London G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ogien Ayo, Jean Lafleur, Jayden Jones, Maddux Bodenhamer, JC Brooks, Alex Garcia
| LIN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anias Futrell G | 40 | 25 | 4 | 3 | 9-21 | 3-9 |
| Mekhi Cooper G | 35 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Jadis Jones G | 32 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 6-11 | 0-1 |
| Dontrez Williams G | 23 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Milos Nenadic C | 22 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 4-8 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Clayton Jackson G | 28 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 5-7 | 2-2 |
| Robert Lewis F | 20 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Todd Bieg, Kevin Anthony, Daniel Kwon, William Campbell, Tidiane d'Almeida, Jeremiah Talton, Jalen Bouknight, Jaylon McDaniel
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketLIN -4.5
ModelLIN -3.1
Model edgeTNST +1.4
W TNST covered
Total
Market160.5
Model159.8
Model edgeUnder 0.7
L Over
Projected score
TNST 78.3 · LIN 81.4
TNST 96 · LIN 86
Win probability
LIN 61%
1st half
Spread
LIN -1.7
TNST -4.0
Total
74.8
82 points
Projected score
TNST 36.5 · LIN 38.3
TNST 43 · LIN 39
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLIN -4.5
no move
CloseLIN -4.5
No change since the open
Total
Open158.5
▲ 2
Close160.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
TNST +164 · LIN -198
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LIN -4.5 · unchangedmodel LIN -3
model LIN -3
Opened 158.5 · closed 160.5 · moved 2 upmodel 160
model 160
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TNST | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
| LIN | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
TNST 6–1 LINTNST leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · TNST has won the last 2 meetings · TNST 5-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2024-25 | LIN 55 vs TNST 69 | TNST -2.5 | TNST W |
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | LIN 76 @ TNST 84 | TNST -6.5 | TNST W |
| Jan 9, 2024-25 | TNST 62 @ LIN 72 | LIN -1.5 | LIN W |
| Feb 8, 2023-24 | TNST 65 @ LIN 55 | LIN +3.5 | TNST W |
| Jan 13, 2023-24 | LIN 60 @ TNST 75 | TNST -10.5 | TNST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Tennessee St
16 games played
Straight up
9-7
56% wins
Against the spread
9-7
56% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-8
50% overs · avg +1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ BEL | L 79-87 | +13.5 | W +5.5 | 158.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 16 | @ WKU | L 82-95 | +12.5 | L −0.5 | 167.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 20 | @ TENN | L 60-89 | +31.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 25 | @ UNCA | W 75-73 | +5.5 | W +7.5 | 164.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 30 | @ UTC | W 70-64 | +8.5 | W +14.5 | 155.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 3 | @ AAMU | L 53-80 | -4.5 | L −31.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 13 | @ UNLV | W 63-60 | +12.5 | W +15.5 | 161.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 18 | vs UTM | W 78-71 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 20 | vs SEMO | L 82-91 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 30 | @ TNTC | W 88-76 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 155.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 3 | @ LR | W 84-79 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 8 | @ WIU | W 90-68 | -6.5 | W +15.5 | 145.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 10 | @ EIU | L 70-74 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 15 | vs MORE | W 105-100 | -7.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | O 205 |
| Jan 17 | vs USI | W 73-67 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 22 | @ SIUE | L 66-74 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@BEL
BELL 79-87
+5.5
16
@WKU
WKUL 82-95
−0.5
20
@TENN
TENNL 60-89
+2.5
25
@UNCA
UNCAW 75-73
+7.5
30
@UTC
UTCW 70-64
+14.5
3
@AAMU
AAMUL 53-80
−31.5
13
@UNLV
UNLVW 63-60
+15.5
18
vsUTM
UTMW 78-71
+4.5
20
vsSEMO
SEMOL 82-91
−7.5
30
@TNTC
TNTCW 88-76
+10.5
3
@LR
LRW 84-79
+3.5
8
@WIU
WIUW 90-68
+15.5
10
@EIU
EIUL 70-74
−7.5
15
vsMORE
MOREW 105-100
−2.5
17
vsUSI
USIW 73-67
−2.5
22
@SIUE
SIUEL 66-74
−6.5
covered 9didn’t cover 7avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@BEL
BELL 79-87
+7.5
16
@WKU
WKUL 82-95
+9.5
20
@TENN
TENNL 60-89
−8.5
25
@UNCA
UNCAW 75-73
−16.5
30
@UTC
UTCW 70-64
−21.5
3
@AAMU
AAMUL 53-80
−14.5
13
@UNLV
UNLVW 63-60
−38.5
18
vsUTM
UTMW 78-71
+7.5
20
vsSEMO
SEMOL 82-91
+21.5
30
@TNTC
TNTCW 88-76
+8.5
3
@LR
LRW 84-79
+18.5
8
@WIU
WIUW 90-68
+12.5
10
@EIU
EIUL 70-74
−0.5
15
vsMORE
MOREW 105-100
+56.5
17
vsUSI
USIW 73-67
−10.5
22
@SIUE
SIUEL 66-74
−2.5
over 8under 8avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Lindenwood Lions
17 games played
Straight up
9-8
53% wins
Against the spread
8-9
47% covers · avg +2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-7
59% overs · avg +0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ TTU | L 60-98 | +29.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 10 | @ SLU | L 66-109 | +24.5 | L −18.5 | 165.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 14 | vs CHSO | W 83-77 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 155.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 16 | @AAMU | L 65-74 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 149.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 20 | @ IU | L 53-73 | +32.5 | W +12.5 | 155.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 24 | vs KC | W 80-67 | -4.5 | W +8.5 | 152.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 2 | @ NIU | W 99-64 | +3.5 | W +38.5 | 147.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 6 | @EIU | W 82-74 | -8.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 18 | vsWIU | W 92-76 | -12.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 23 | @ MOST | L 65-70 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 1 | vsMORE | W 77-64 | -6.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 3 | vsUSI | W 83-80 | -9.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 6 | @SIUE | L 62-66 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 142.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 10 | vsLR | L 74-82 | -6.5 | L −14.5 | 149.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 15 | @SEMO | W 88-76 | +6.5 | W +18.5 | 154.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 17 | @UTM | L 55-69 | +2.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 22 | vsTNTC | W 89-68 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 151.5 | O 157 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@TTU
TTUL 60-98
−8.5
10
@SLU
SLUL 66-109
−18.5
14
vsCHSO
CHSOW 83-77
+3.5
16
@AAMU
AAMUL 65-74
−5.5
20
@IU
IUL 53-73
+12.5
24
vsKC
KCW 80-67
+8.5
2
@NIU
NIUW 99-64
+38.5
6
@EIU
EIUW 82-74
−0.5
18
vsWIU
WIUW 92-76
+3.5
23
@MOST
MOSTL 65-70
−1.5
1
vsMORE
MOREW 77-64
+6.5
3
vsUSI
USIW 83-80
−6.5
6
@SIUE
SIUEL 62-66
−2.5
10
vsLR
LRL 74-82
−14.5
15
@SEMO
SEMOW 88-76
+18.5
17
@UTM
UTML 55-69
−11.5
22
vsTNTC
TNTCW 89-68
+12.5
covered 8didn’t cover 9avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@TTU
TTUL 60-98
+11.5
10
@SLU
SLUL 66-109
+9.5
14
vsCHSO
CHSOW 83-77
+4.5
16
@AAMU
AAMUL 65-74
−10.5
20
@IU
IUL 53-73
−29.5
24
vsKC
KCW 80-67
−5.5
2
@NIU
NIUW 99-64
+15.5
6
@EIU
EIUW 82-74
+10.5
18
vsWIU
WIUW 92-76
+21.5
23
@MOST
MOSTL 65-70
−10.5
1
vsMORE
MOREW 77-64
−6.5
3
vsUSI
USIW 83-80
+15.5
6
@SIUE
SIUEL 62-66
−14.5
10
vsLR
LRL 74-82
+6.5
15
@SEMO
SEMOW 88-76
+9.5
17
@UTM
UTML 55-69
−23.5
22
vsTNTC
TNTCW 89-68
+5.5
over 10under 7avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Tennessee St
9-7 overall · 6-3 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ SIUE66–74
- Wvs Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles73–67
- Wvs Morehead St105–100
- L@ E Illinois70–74
- W@ W Illinois90–68
2 days since their last game.
Lindenwood Lions
9-8 overall · 6-3 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Tennessee Tech89–68
- L@ UT Martin55–69
- W@ SE Missouri88–76
- Lvs Little Rock74–82
- L@ SIUE62–66
2 days since their last game.