Wisdom Gym · at Tarleton St · Conference game
Closing line
TAR -4.5✓ SUU covered by 0.5
TAR -4.5✓ SUU covered by 0.5Closing total144.5Over by 7.5
 SUU | This season | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| 6-17 | Record | 9-13 |
| 11-12 | ATS | 13-9 |
| 13-10 | O/U | 10-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SUU 72–79 TAR · ✓ TAR (73%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SUU | 36 | 38 | 74 |
| TAR | 44 | 34 | 78 |
1st half: SUU 36, TAR 44 (TAR by 8). The model had TAR by 4.1 and a total of 71.0 (actual 80).
Team stats
| SUU | TAR | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-54 39% | Field goals | 33-61 54% |
| 11-21 52% | 3-pointers | 1-6 17% |
| 21-27 78% | Free throws | 11-17 65% |
| 37 15 off | Rebounds | 33 12 off |
| 12 | Assists | 7 |
| 7 | Steals | 10 |
| 3 | Blocks | 5 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 18 | Fouls | 19 |
| 18 | Points in paint | 60 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 19 |
Players
| SUU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Hayhurst G | 40 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 3-7 | 2-3 |
| Jaiden Feroah F | 39 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Elijah Duval G | 36 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 7-20 | 2-4 |
| Isaiah Cottrell F | 33 | 13 | 16 | 0 | 3-11 | 1-3 |
| Kai Burdick C | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dylan Jones G | 25 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 4-7 | 4-7 |
| Cale Barclay F | 14 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Logan Stephens G | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Zeplin Kidd, Juok Riak, Brayden Johnson, Jalen Lee, Langston Binns, Lorenzo Abellar, Zach Bell, Chuks Isitua
| TAR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Mizell G | 29 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Kaia Isaac G | 28 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Andy Sigiscar F | 24 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 7-9 | 0-0 |
| Ocypher Owens F | 22 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Kade Douglas G | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Daniel Dormu G | 31 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 5-9 | 0-1 |
| Chris Mpaka F | 18 | 14 | 9 | 0 | 6-11 | 0-0 |
| Cameron Thomas G | 17 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| Freddy Hicks G | 16 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-1 |
| Damion Porter Jr. G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jaden Jinks, AJ Dent, Matyas Vrabel, Roy Marom, Malek Archie, Joseph Martinez, Leroy Kelly IV, Cam McDowell, Dior Johnson
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketTAR -4.5
ModelTAR -7.0
Model edgeTAR +2.5
L SUU covered
Total
Market144.5
Model151.8
Model edgeOver 7.3
W Over
Projected score
SUU 72.4 · TAR 79.4
SUU 74 · TAR 78
Win probability
TAR 73%
1st half
Spread
TAR -4.1
TAR -8.0
Total
71.0
80 points
Projected score
SUU 33.5 · TAR 37.5
SUU 36 · TAR 44
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTAR -5.5
1 → SUU
CloseTAR -4.5
1 pt toward SUU
Total
Open145.5
▼ 1
Close144.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
SUU +185 · TAR -225
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TAR -5.5 · closed TAR -4.5 · moved 1 toward SUUmodel TAR -7
model TAR -7
Opened 145.5 · closed 144.5 · moved 1 downmodel 152
model 152
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SUU | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
| TAR | 2-8 20% | 3-7 30% | 2-8 20% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
SUU 3–5 TARTAR leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · SUU 3-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2025-26 | TAR 62 @ SUU 59 | SUU +1.5 | TAR W |
| Jan 15, 2025-26 | TAR 105 @ SUU 106 | SUU +3.5 | SUU W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | SUU 58 @ TAR 75 | TAR -6.5 | TAR W |
| Jan 9, 2024-25 | TAR 74 @ SUU 66 | SUU -7.5 | TAR W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | TAR 88 @ SUU 83 | SUU +4.5 | TAR W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Southern Utah
23 games played
Straight up
6-17
26% wins
Against the spread
11-12
48% covers · avg −0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-10
57% overs · avg +1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ ASU | L 64-81 | +17.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 8 | vs RGV | L 72-95 | +1.5 | L −21.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 15 | @ OMA | L 85-90 | +8.5 | W +3.5 | 153.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 17 | @ GONZ | L 50-122 | +35.5 | L −36.5 | 160.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 19 | @ WSU | L 74-98 | +12.5 | L −11.5 | 157.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 28 | @ RMU | L 54-61 | +8.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | U 115 |
| Nov 29 | vs STET | W 70-68 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 6 | @ ORST | L 70-81 | +10.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 13 | @ WASH | L 69-105 | +25.5 | L −10.5 | 153.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 18 | @ NAU | L 57-65 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 29 | @ UTU | L 66-80 | +7.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 3 | vs UTA | L 77-86 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 8 | @ UVU | L 72-89 | +18.5 | W +1.5 | 154.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 10 | @ CBU | L 55-58 | +14.5 | W +11.5 | 150.5 | U 113 |
| Jan 15 | vsTAR | W 106-105 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 150.5 | O 211 |
| Jan 17 | vs ACU | W 74-52 | +3.5 | W +25.5 | 149.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 21 | vsUVU | W 84-70 | +12.5 | W +26.5 | 160.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 24 | @UTU | L 91-102 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | O 193 |
| Jan 29 | @UTA | L 61-80 | +9.5 | L −9.5 | 144.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 31 | @ACU | W 79-76 | +6.5 | W +9.5 | 150.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 7 | vsTAR | L 59-62 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 121 |
| Feb 12 | vsCBU | L 66-83 | +5.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Feb 14 | @UTA | W 78-73 | +8.5 | W +13.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@ASU
ASUL 64-81
+0.5
8
vsRGV
RGVL 72-95
−21.5
15
@OMA
OMAL 85-90
+3.5
17
@GONZ
GONZL 50-122
−36.5
19
@WSU
WSUL 74-98
−11.5
28
@RMU
RMUL 54-61
+1.5
29
vsSTET
STETW 70-68
+0.5
6
@ORST
ORSTL 70-81
−0.5
13
@WASH
WASHL 69-105
−10.5
18
@NAU
NAUL 57-65
−2.5
29
@UTU
UTUL 66-80
−6.5
3
vsUTA
UTAL 77-86
−3.5
8
@UVU
UVUL 72-89
+1.5
10
@CBU
CBUL 55-58
+11.5
15
vsTAR
TARW 106-105
+4.5
17
vsACU
ACUW 74-52
+25.5
21
vsUVU
UVUW 84-70
+26.5
24
@UTU
UTUL 91-102
−4.5
29
@UTA
UTAL 61-80
−9.5
31
@ACU
ACUW 79-76
+9.5
7
vsTAR
TARL 59-62
−1.5
12
vsCBU
CBUL 66-83
−11.5
14
@UTA
UTAW 78-73
+13.5
covered 11didn’t cover 12avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@ASU
ASUL 64-81
−6.5
8
vsRGV
RGVL 72-95
+6.5
15
@OMA
OMAL 85-90
+21.5
17
@GONZ
GONZL 50-122
+11.5
19
@WSU
WSUL 74-98
+14.5
28
@RMU
RMUL 54-61
−37.5
29
vsSTET
STETW 70-68
−10.5
6
@ORST
ORSTL 70-81
+4.5
13
@WASH
WASHL 69-105
+20.5
18
@NAU
NAUL 57-65
−28.5
29
@UTU
UTUL 66-80
−2.5
3
vsUTA
UTAL 77-86
+24.5
8
@UVU
UVUL 72-89
+6.5
10
@CBU
CBUL 55-58
−37.5
15
vsTAR
TARW 106-105
+60.5
17
vsACU
ACUW 74-52
−23.5
21
vsUVU
UVUW 84-70
−6.5
24
@UTU
UTUL 91-102
+43.5
29
@UTA
UTAL 61-80
−3.5
31
@ACU
ACUW 79-76
+4.5
7
vsTAR
TARL 59-62
−28.5
12
vsCBU
CBUL 66-83
+1.5
14
@UTA
UTAW 78-73
+7.5
over 13under 10avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Tarleton St
22 games played
Straight up
9-13
41% wins
Against the spread
13-9
59% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-12
45% overs · avg +3.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ SMU | L 76-96 | +21.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 5 | @ LSU | L 60-96 | +15.5 | L −20.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 8 | vs AMCC | W 85-77 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 11 | vs MRMK | W 76-62 | -4.5 | W +9.5 | 142.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 14 | @ BAY | L 81-94 | +23.5 | W +10.5 | 149.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 20 | @ RICE | W 90-74 | +4.5 | W +20.5 | 146.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 1 | @ CIN | L 58-76 | +24.5 | W +6.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 16 | @ MVSU | W 88-64 | -17.5 | W +6.5 | 142.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 19 | vs FAMU | W 78-54 | -14.5 | W +9.5 | 145.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 29 | @UTA | W 69-63 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 136.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 1 | vsUVU | L 85-91 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 3 | vsCBU | W 81-76 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 8 | vsACU | L 80-84 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 140.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 15 | @SUU | L 105-106 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 150.5 | O 211 |
| Jan 17 | @UTU | L 71-75 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 21 | @UTA | L 64-71 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 29 | vsUVU | L 55-83 | +6.5 | L −21.5 | 154.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 31 | vsUTU | L 59-65 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 5 | @CBU | L 55-56 | +10.5 | W +9.5 | 138.5 | U 111 |
| Feb 7 | @SUU | W 62-59 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 121 |
| Feb 14 | @ACU | L 59-73 | +3.5 | L −10.5 | 134.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 16 | vsACU | W 65-62 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 134.5 | U 127 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@SMU
SMUL 76-96
+1.5
5
@LSU
LSUL 60-96
−20.5
8
vsAMCC
AMCCW 85-77
+4.5
11
vsMRMK
MRMKW 76-62
+9.5
14
@BAY
BAYL 81-94
+10.5
20
@RICE
RICEW 90-74
+20.5
1
@CIN
CINL 58-76
+6.5
16
@MVSU
MVSUW 88-64
+6.5
19
vsFAMU
FAMUW 78-54
+9.5
29
@UTA
UTAW 69-63
+8.5
1
vsUVU
UVUL 85-91
−0.5
3
vsCBU
CBUW 81-76
+3.5
8
vsACU
ACUL 80-84
−8.5
15
@SUU
SUUL 105-106
−4.5
17
@UTU
UTUL 71-75
−0.5
21
@UTA
UTAL 64-71
−3.5
29
vsUVU
UVUL 55-83
−21.5
31
vsUTU
UTUL 59-65
−7.5
5
@CBU
CBUL 55-56
+9.5
7
@SUU
SUUW 62-59
+1.5
14
@ACU
ACUL 59-73
−10.5
16
vsACU
ACUW 65-62
+4.5
covered 13didn’t cover 9avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@SMU
SMUL 76-96
+27.5
5
@LSU
LSUL 60-96
+7.5
8
vsAMCC
AMCCW 85-77
+19.5
11
vsMRMK
MRMKW 76-62
−4.5
14
@BAY
BAYL 81-94
+25.5
20
@RICE
RICEW 90-74
+17.5
1
@CIN
CINL 58-76
−8.5
16
@MVSU
MVSUW 88-64
+9.5
19
vsFAMU
FAMUW 78-54
−13.5
29
@UTA
UTAW 69-63
−4.5
1
vsUVU
UVUL 85-91
+31.5
3
vsCBU
CBUW 81-76
+9.5
8
vsACU
ACUL 80-84
+23.5
15
@SUU
SUUL 105-106
+60.5
17
@UTU
UTUL 71-75
−4.5
21
@UTA
UTAL 64-71
−7.5
29
vsUVU
UVUL 55-83
−16.5
31
vsUTU
UTUL 59-65
−25.5
5
@CBU
CBUL 55-56
−27.5
7
@SUU
SUUW 62-59
−28.5
14
@ACU
ACUL 59-73
−2.5
16
vsACU
ACUW 65-62
−7.5
over 10under 12avg +3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Southern Utah
6-17 overall · 5-8 in conference · Big Sky Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ UT Arlington78–73
- Lvs CA Baptist66–83
- Lvs Tarleton St59–62
- W@ Abilene Chrstn79–76
- L@ UT Arlington61–80
5 days since their last game.
Tarleton St
9-13 overall · 4-9 in conference · United Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Abilene Chrstn65–62
- L@ Abilene Chrstn59–73
- W@ Southern Utah62–59
- L@ CA Baptist55–56
- Lvs Utah Tech59–65
3 days since their last game.