College Park Center · at UT Arlington · Conference game
Closing line
UTA -2.5✓ TAR covered by 8.5
UTA -2.5✓ TAR covered by 8.5Closing total136.5Under by 4.5
 TAR | This season | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| 5-4 | Record | 6-4 |
| 8-1 | ATS | 6-4 |
| 6-3 | O/U | 1-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TAR 70–71 UTA · ✗ UTA (54%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TAR | 35 | 34 | 69 |
| UTA | 30 | 33 | 63 |
1st half: TAR 35, UTA 30 (TAR by 5). The model had UTA by 0.6 and a total of 65.7 (actual 65).
Team stats
| TAR | UTA | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-52 50% | Field goals | 19-45 42% |
| 4-13 31% | 3-pointers | 5-16 31% |
| 13-28 46% | Free throws | 20-28 71% |
| 27 7 off | Rebounds | 38 10 off |
| 13 | Assists | 11 |
| 11 | Steals | 2 |
| 0 | Blocks | 2 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 18 |
| 23 | Fouls | 23 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 19 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| TAR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaia Isaac G | 36 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| Freddy Hicks G | 33 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 4-6 | 0-2 |
| Leroy Kelly IV G | 22 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Chris Mpaka F | 17 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Jordan Mizell G | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cam McDowell G | 28 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 8-16 | 3-6 |
| Daniel Dormu G | 21 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Kade Douglas G | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Dior Johnson G | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Andy Sigiscar F | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Ocypher Owens F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jaden Jinks, Damion Porter Jr., Joseph Martinez, Cameron Thomas, AJ Dent, Matyas Vrabel, Roy Marom, Malek Archie
| UTA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raysean Seamster F | 37 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| Marcell McCreary G | 36 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 3-10 | 1-5 |
| Marcus Rigsby Jr. G | 24 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Cash Chavis G | 20 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0-8 | 0-2 |
| Cameron Jackson F | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Bahsil Laster G | 23 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Amari Reed F | 15 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Miles Goodman F | 15 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Jordan Lowery G | 12 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 4-6 | 2-3 |
| Tyran Mason G | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Jayden Smoot G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Augustine Youssef, Alex Bossinakis, Stoney Hadnot
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUTA -2.5
no move
CloseUTA -2.5
No change since the open
Total
Open137.5
▼ 1
Close136.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
TAR +124 · UTA -148
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UTA -2.5 · unchangedmodel UTA -1
model UTA -1
Opened 137.5 · closed 136.5 · moved 1 downmodel 140
model 140
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UTA -2.5 | UTA -1.2 | TAR +1.3 | W TAR covered |
| Total | 136.5 | 140.2 | Over 3.7 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | TAR 69.5 · UTA 70.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UTA -0.6 | TAR -5.0 |
| 1H total | 65.7 | 65 |
| 1H projected score | TAR 32.6 · UTA 33.1 | TAR 35 · UTA 30 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TARlast 9 | 5-4 56% | 8-1 89% | 6-3 67% |
| UTA | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 1-9 10% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
TAR 5–2 UTATAR leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · TAR 3-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | TAR 57 @ UTA 67 | UTA -6.5 | UTA W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | UTA 74 @ TAR 77 | TAR +5.5 | TAR W |
| Mar 15, 2023-24 | UTA 87 vs TAR 84 | TAR +1.5 | UTA W |
| Feb 15, 2023-24 | TAR 80 @ UTA 78 | UTA -4.5 | TAR W |
| Jan 4, 2023-24 | UTA 76 @ TAR 78 | TAR -4.5 | UTA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Tarleton St
9 games played
Straight up
5-4
56% wins
Against the spread
8-1
89% covers · avg +5.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-3
67% overs · avg +8.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ SMU | L 76-96 | +21.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 5 | @ LSU | L 60-96 | +15.5 | L −20.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 8 | vs AMCC | W 85-77 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 11 | vs MRMK | W 76-62 | -4.5 | W +9.5 | 142.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 14 | @ BAY | L 81-94 | +23.5 | W +10.5 | 149.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 20 | @ RICE | W 90-74 | +4.5 | W +20.5 | 146.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 1 | @ CIN | L 58-76 | +24.5 | W +6.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 16 | @ MVSU | W 88-64 | -17.5 | W +6.5 | 142.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 19 | vs FAMU | W 78-54 | -14.5 | W +9.5 | 145.5 | U 132 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@SMU
SMUL 76-96
+1.5
5
@LSU
LSUL 60-96
−20.5
8
vsAMCC
AMCCW 85-77
+4.5
11
vsMRMK
MRMKW 76-62
+9.5
14
@BAY
BAYL 81-94
+10.5
20
@RICE
RICEW 90-74
+20.5
1
@CIN
CINL 58-76
+6.5
16
@MVSU
MVSUW 88-64
+6.5
19
vsFAMU
FAMUW 78-54
+9.5
covered 8didn’t cover 1avg +5.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@SMU
SMUL 76-96
+27.5
5
@LSU
LSUL 60-96
+7.5
8
vsAMCC
AMCCW 85-77
+19.5
11
vsMRMK
MRMKW 76-62
−4.5
14
@BAY
BAYL 81-94
+25.5
20
@RICE
RICEW 90-74
+17.5
1
@CIN
CINL 58-76
−8.5
16
@MVSU
MVSUW 88-64
+9.5
19
vsFAMU
FAMUW 78-54
−13.5
over 6under 3avg +8.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
UT Arlington
10 games played
Straight up
6-4
60% wins
Against the spread
6-4
60% covers · avg +2.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-9
10% overs · avg −10.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ UNM | L 56-74 | +13.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 15 | vs MOST | W 67-49 | -3.5 | W +14.5 | 143.5 | U 116 |
| Nov 18 | @ EVAN | W 84-76 | +2.5 | W +10.5 | 138.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 21 | vs CAM | L 67-71 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 22 | @ WEB | W 74-73 | +2.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 29 | vs SFA | W 66-61 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 138.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 2 | @ ARST | L 63-83 | +5.5 | L −14.5 | 151.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 11 | @ RGV | W 58-50 | +4.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | U 108 |
| Dec 17 | @ STAN | L 60-76 | +10.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 22 | @ ORU | W 69-57 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 136.5 | U 126 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@UNM
UNML 56-74
−4.5
15
vsMOST
MOSTW 67-49
+14.5
18
@EVAN
EVANW 84-76
+10.5
21
vsCAM
CAML 67-71
−2.5
22
@WEB
WEBW 74-73
+3.5
29
vsSFA
SFAW 66-61
+3.5
2
@ARST
ARSTL 63-83
−14.5
11
@RGV
RGVW 58-50
+12.5
17
@STAN
STANL 60-76
−5.5
22
@ORU
ORUW 69-57
+8.5
covered 6didn’t cover 4avg +2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@UNM
UNML 56-74
−15.5
15
vsMOST
MOSTW 67-49
−27.5
18
@EVAN
EVANW 84-76
+21.5
21
vsCAM
CAML 67-71
−13.5
22
@WEB
WEBW 74-73
−2.5
29
vsSFA
SFAW 66-61
−11.5
2
@ARST
ARSTL 63-83
−5.5
11
@RGV
RGVW 58-50
−37.5
17
@STAN
STANL 60-76
−3.5
22
@ORU
ORUW 69-57
−10.5
over 1under 9avg −10.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Tarleton St
5-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · United Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Florida A&M78–54
- W@ Miss Valley St88–64
- L@ Cincinnati58–76
- W@ Rice90–74
- L@ Baylor81–94
A week or more of rest.
UT Arlington
6-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · United Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Oral Roberts69–57
- L@ Stanford60–76
- W@ UT Rio Grande58–50
- L@ Arkansas St63–83
- Wvs SF Austin66–61
A week or more of rest.