Thomas Assembly Center · at Louisiana Tech · Conference game
Closing line
LT -1.5✓ NMSU covered by 10.5
LT -1.5✓ NMSU covered by 10.5Closing total135.5Under by 0.5
 NMSU | This season | LT |
|---|---|---|
| 7-11 | Record | 9-9 |
| 8-10 | ATS | 9-9 |
| 10-8 | O/U | 8-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NMSU 67–67 LT · ✓ NMSU (51%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NMSU | 31 | 41 | 72 |
| LT | 32 | 31 | 63 |
1st half: NMSU 31, LT 32 (LT by 1). The model had NMSU by 0.2 and a total of 63.1 (actual 63).
Team stats
| NMSU | LT | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-55 49% | Field goals | 21-61 34% |
| 8-20 40% | 3-pointers | 7-27 26% |
| 10-15 67% | Free throws | 14-25 56% |
| 35 11 off | Rebounds | 41 22 off |
| 15 | Assists | 12 |
| 9 | Steals | 6 |
| 3 | Blocks | 4 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 19 | Fouls | 15 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| NMSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jae'Coby Osborne F | 35 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| Julius Mims F | 31 | 13 | 12 | 0 | 6-10 | 0-0 |
| Anthony Wrzeszcz G | 30 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Jemel Jones G | 29 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 10-18 | 2-5 |
| Gabe Pickens G | 26 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Elijah Elliott G | 17 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3-7 | 2-4 |
| Jayland Randall G | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Chris Terrell G | 11 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2-5 | 2-3 |
| Augustine Ekwe C | 9 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Teysean Eaglestaff, Christian Villegas, Cyr Malonga, Kyrese Mullen, Omarr Smith, Amarco Doyle
| LT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Dudley G | 38 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4-15 | 0-5 |
| AJ Bates G | 31 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 1-8 | 0-5 |
| Jaylen Fenner G | 31 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 2-7 | 1-3 |
| Avery Thomas II F | 16 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Melian Martinez C | 12 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Scooter Williams G | 30 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 6-13 | 5-9 |
| Will Allen F | 18 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 4-6 | 1-2 |
| Kylan Howze F | 18 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Sir Issac Herron F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Lachlan Thompson, Jermaurhiyun Anderson, Keegan Rowell, Kaden Cooper, Will Jeffress, A'Meir Williams
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketLT -1.5
ModelNMSU -0.2
Model edgeNMSU +1.7
W NMSU covered
Total
Market135.5
Model134.6
Model edgeUnder 0.9
W Under
Projected score
NMSU 67.4 · LT 67.2
NMSU 72 · LT 63
Win probability
NMSU 51%
1st half
Spread
NMSU -0.2
LT -1.0
Total
63.1
63 points
Projected score
NMSU 31.6 · LT 31.4
NMSU 31 · LT 32
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNMSU -1.5
3 → LT
CloseLT -1.5
3 pts toward LT
Total
Open136.5
▼ 1
Close135.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
NMSU +100 · LT -120
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NMSU -1.5 · closed LT -1.5 · moved 3 toward LTmodel NMSU -0
model NMSU -0
Opened 136.5 · closed 135.5 · moved 1 downmodel 134.5
model 134.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NMSU | 2-8 20% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% |
| LT | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
NMSU 2–2 LTSeries tied · 4 games since 2021-22 · NMSU has won the last 2 meetings · NMSU 3-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2024-25 | NMSU 67 @ LT 55 | LT -4.5 | NMSU W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | LT 48 @ NMSU 78 | NMSU +2.5 | NMSU W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | LT 67 @ NMSU 58 | NMSU +9.5 | NMSU W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | NMSU 53 @ LT 73 | LT -11.5 | LT W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
New Mexico St
18 games played
Straight up
7-11
39% wins
Against the spread
8-10
44% covers · avg −2.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-8
56% overs · avg +1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15 | vs UNM | W 76-68 | +3.5 | W +11.5 | 139.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 21 | vs SAM | W 81-72 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 25 | vs UCI | W 57-45 | +2.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | U 102 |
| Nov 26 | vs GAST | W 77-58 | -12.5 | W +6.5 | 136.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 2 | vs USA | L 75-77 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 135.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 6 | @ ACU | L 69-77 | -1.5 | L −9.5 | 131.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 13 | vs TLSA | L 70-83 | +4.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 21 | vs SHSU | W 87-78 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 153.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 2 | @ FIU | L 74-89 | -1.5 | L −16.5 | 157.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 4 | @ MOST | L 82-89 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 134.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 8 | vs WKU | W 80-64 | -2.5 | W +13.5 | 154.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 10 | vs MTSU | L 55-59 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 114 |
| Jan 15 | @ LIB | L 71-73 | +8.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | @ DEL | W 97-68 | -4.5 | W +24.5 | 134.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 22 | vsMOST | L 75-84 | -6.5 | L −15.5 | 144.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 24 | vsFIU | L 78-81 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 159.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 28 | vsDEL | L 64-73 | -13.5 | L −22.5 | 137.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 31 | @ KENN | L 53-76 | +3.5 | L −19.5 | 159.5 | U 129 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
15
vsUNM
UNMW 76-68
+11.5
21
vsSAM
SAMW 81-72
+0.5
25
vsUCI
UCIW 57-45
+14.5
26
vsGAST
GASTW 77-58
+6.5
2
vsUSA
USAL 75-77
−4.5
6
@ACU
ACUL 69-77
−9.5
13
vsTLSA
TLSAL 70-83
−8.5
21
vsSHSU
SHSUW 87-78
+3.5
2
@FIU
FIUL 74-89
−16.5
4
@MOST
MOSTL 82-89
−5.5
8
vsWKU
WKUW 80-64
+13.5
10
vsMTSU
MTSUL 55-59
−7.5
15
@LIB
LIBL 71-73
+6.5
17
@DEL
DELW 97-68
+24.5
22
vsMOST
MOSTL 75-84
−15.5
24
vsFIU
FIUL 78-81
−10.5
28
vsDEL
DELL 64-73
−22.5
31
@KENN
KENNL 53-76
−19.5
covered 8didn’t cover 10avg −2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
15
vsUNM
UNMW 76-68
+4.5
21
vsSAM
SAMW 81-72
+7.5
25
vsUCI
UCIW 57-45
−37.5
26
vsGAST
GASTW 77-58
−1.5
2
vsUSA
USAL 75-77
+16.5
6
@ACU
ACUL 69-77
+14.5
13
vsTLSA
TLSAL 70-83
+6.5
21
vsSHSU
SHSUW 87-78
+11.5
2
@FIU
FIUL 74-89
+5.5
4
@MOST
MOSTL 82-89
+36.5
8
vsWKU
WKUW 80-64
−10.5
10
vsMTSU
MTSUL 55-59
−30.5
15
@LIB
LIBL 71-73
−1.5
17
@DEL
DELW 97-68
+30.5
22
vsMOST
MOSTL 75-84
+14.5
24
vsFIU
FIUL 78-81
−0.5
28
vsDEL
DELL 64-73
−0.5
31
@KENN
KENNL 53-76
−30.5
over 10under 8avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Louisiana Tech
18 games played
Straight up
9-9
50% wins
Against the spread
9-9
50% covers · avg −1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-10
44% overs · avg −5.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ NEV | L 50-77 | +9.5 | L −17.5 | 136.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 15 | vs JKST | W 68-51 | -8.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 19 | @ INST | L 51-60 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | U 111 |
| Nov 26 | vsINST | W 75-73 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 29 | vs ALCN | W 83-58 | -16.5 | W +8.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Dec 3 | @ GASO | L 69-77 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 13 | vs UL | W 65-44 | -9.5 | W +11.5 | 126.5 | U 109 |
| Dec 17 | @ TULN | L 53-61 | +4.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | U 114 |
| Dec 29 | vs UTEP | W 75-63 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 130.5 | O 138 |
| Jan 2 | @MTSU | L 51-88 | +6.5 | L −30.5 | 134.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 4 | @WKU | L 61-66 | +9.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 8 | vsLIB | L 56-72 | +4.5 | L −11.5 | 135.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 10 | vsDEL | W 70-68 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 123.5 | O 138 |
| Jan 14 | vsMTSU | W 59-58 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 131.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 17 | @ JXST | L 60-64 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 127.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 23 | vsKENN | W 82-76 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 28 | @UTEP | W 69-59 | +2.5 | W +12.5 | 130.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 31 | @SHSU | L 67-83 | +7.5 | L −8.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@NEV
NEVL 50-77
−17.5
15
vsJKST
JKSTW 68-51
+8.5
19
@INST
INSTL 51-60
−5.5
26
vsINST
INSTW 75-73
−0.5
29
vsALCN
ALCNW 83-58
+8.5
3
@GASO
GASOL 69-77
−6.5
13
vsUL
ULW 65-44
+11.5
17
@TULN
TULNL 53-61
−3.5
29
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-63
+9.5
2
@MTSU
MTSUL 51-88
−30.5
4
@WKU
WKUL 61-66
+4.5
8
vsLIB
LIBL 56-72
−11.5
10
vsDEL
DELW 70-68
−4.5
14
vsMTSU
MTSUW 59-58
+4.5
17
@JXST
JXSTL 60-64
+0.5
23
vsKENN
KENNW 82-76
+7.5
28
@UTEP
UTEPW 69-59
+12.5
31
@SHSU
SHSUL 67-83
−8.5
covered 9didn’t cover 9avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@NEV
NEVL 50-77
−9.5
15
vsJKST
JKSTW 68-51
−27.5
19
@INST
INSTL 51-60
−36.5
26
vsINST
INSTW 75-73
+6.5
29
vsALCN
ALCNW 83-58
+3.5
3
@GASO
GASOL 69-77
+0.5
13
vsUL
ULW 65-44
−17.5
17
@TULN
TULNL 53-61
−26.5
29
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-63
+7.5
2
@MTSU
MTSUL 51-88
+4.5
4
@WKU
WKUL 61-66
−18.5
8
vsLIB
LIBL 56-72
−7.5
10
vsDEL
DELW 70-68
+14.5
14
vsMTSU
MTSUW 59-58
−14.5
17
@JXST
JXSTL 60-64
−3.5
23
vsKENN
KENNW 82-76
+13.5
28
@UTEP
UTEPW 69-59
−2.5
31
@SHSU
SHSUL 67-83
+8.5
over 8under 10avg −5.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
New Mexico St
7-11 overall · 3-8 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Kennesaw St53–76
- Lvs Delaware64–73
- Lvs FIU78–81
- Lvs Missouri St75–84
- W@ Delaware97–68
4 days since their last game.
Louisiana Tech
9-9 overall · 5-5 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Sam Houston67–83
- W@ UTEP69–59
- Wvs Kennesaw St82–76
- L@ Jax State60–64
- Wvs MTSU59–58
4 days since their last game.