FedExForum · at Grizzlies
LineNo line yet
Total—
 DET | This season | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| 5-1 | Record | 6-0 |
| 5-1 | ATS | 6-0 |
| 2-4 | O/U | 2-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects DET 114–110 · win probability DET 63%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 224.1
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 212-225 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: MEM has more of the edges
DET 3, MEM 5 · 2026-27 so far
Context
Schedule so far
DET has played the 17th-hardest schedule, MEM the 30th. A record against a soft schedule means less
DETBigMEM offense vs DET defense
Offense 11th of 30 against a defense 1st, on the model’s ratings
MEMBigRebounding
Offensive rebound rate: DET 27.2%, MEM 30.6%. Defensive: DET 72.8%, MEM 75.0%
DETSmallFree throws
Free throw rate: DET 28.9, MEM 25.3. Allowed: DET 28.1, MEM 31.4
Context
Tempo
About 102 possessions: DET plays 100.9 a game (29th fastest), MEM 103.6 (13th). Faster games mean more points
MEMSmallThree-pointers
DET hits 36.3% and allows 32.5%; MEM hits 41.7% and allows 30.0%. Threes are 43.3% and 42.1% of their shots
MEMSmallShooting
Effective FG%: DET 53.1 and allows 48.8; MEM 55.9 and allows 49.2
MEMSmallHome court
MEM at home. This season: MEM 2-0 at home, DET 3-1 away
DETSmallTurnovers
Turnover rate: DET 15.6%, MEM 15.4%. Forced: DET 17.1%, MEM 15.7%
MEMSmallDET offense vs MEM defense
Offense 17th of 30 against a defense 13th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Recent form
Last 5: DET 4-1 ATS, margin +8.0; MEM 5-0 ATS, margin +14.2
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: DET 100%, MEM 100%. Transfers in: DET 0, MEM 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edge
Spread
Market—
ModelDET -4.8
Model edge—
Total
Market—
Model224.1
Model edge—
Projected score
DET 114.4 · MEM 109.7
Win probability
DET 63%
1st half
Spread
DET -2.9
Total
112.4
Projected score
DET 57.6 · MEM 54.8
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Moneyline
—
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DETlast 6 | 5-1 83% | 5-1 83% | 2-4 33% |
| MEMlast 6 | 6-0 100% | 6-0 100% | 2-4 33% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 11 since 2021-22
DET 2–9 MEMMEM leads · 11 games since 2021-22 · DET has won the last 2 meetings · DET 1-9-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2025-26 | MEM 110 @ DET 126 | DET -16.5 | MEM W |
| Nov 3, 2025-26 | DET 114 @ MEM 106 | MEM +4.5 | DET W |
| Apr 5, 2024-25 | MEM 109 @ DET 103 | DET +1.5 | MEM W |
| Nov 27, 2024-25 | DET 111 @ MEM 131 | MEM -7.5 | MEM W |
| Apr 5, 2023-24 | DET 90 @ MEM 108 | MEM +1.5 | MEM W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Pistons
6 games played
Straight up
5-1
83% wins
Against the spread
5-1
83% covers · avg +5.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −11.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
20
vs
BOS
BOSW 121-113
+9.5
23
@
MIA
MIAW 128-111
+14.5
25
@
PHI
PHIW 106-93
+11.5
27
@
NY
NYL 97-111
−9.5
28
vs
CHA
CHAW 97-89
+0.5
30
@
BKN
BKNW 110-94
+7.5
covered 5didn’t cover 1avg +5.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
20
vsBOS
BOSW 121-113
+13.5
23
@MIA
MIAW 128-111
+3.5
25
@PHI
PHIW 106-93
−29.5
27
@NY
NYL 97-111
−12.5
28
vsCHA
CHAW 97-89
−26.5
30
@BKN
BKNW 110-94
−18.5
over 2under 4avg −11.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Grizzlies
6 games played
Straight up
6-0
100% wins
Against the spread
6-0
100% covers · avg +14.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −8.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vs
UTAH
UTAHW 123-103
+18.5
23
@
GS
GSW 111-108
+7.5
25
@
SAC
SACW 123-112
+7.5
26
@UTAH
UTAHW 110-105
+3.5
29
@
POR
PORW 124-103
+28.5
31
vsSAC
SACW 136-105
+23.5
covered 6didn’t cover 0avg +14.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vsUTAH
UTAHW 123-103
−14.5
23
@GS
GSW 111-108
−17.5
25
@SAC
SACW 123-112
+0.5
26
@UTAH
UTAHW 110-105
−22.5
29
@POR
PORW 124-103
−6.5
31
vsSAC
SACW 136-105
+11.5
over 2under 4avg −8.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Grizzlies has the better starters
Position by position: Pistons 1, Grizzlies 2, even 2
PistonsBetterGrizzlies
G C. Cunningham22.2 pts · 5.5 reb · 7.2 ast
Score 47
→MEMBig
G T. Jerome25.8 pts · 3.2 reb · 5.6 ast
Score 97
G A. Thompson8.8 pts · 7.4 reb · 5 ast
Score 79
=Even
F C. Boozer17.7 pts · 10.5 reb · 5.7 ast
Score 87
F D. Robinson16.8 pts · 2 reb · 2.2 ast
Score 77
←DETBig
F C. Coward13 pts · 8.6 reb · 2.6 ast
Score 33
F P. Reed13.8 pts · 7 reb · 2 ast
Score 97
=Even
F J. Wells12.2 pts · 3.3 reb · 1 ast
Score 85
F J. Collins9.2 pts · 7.2 reb · 0.5 ast
Score 30
→MEMBig
C Z. Edey7 pts · 7 reb · 1 ast
Score 92
PistonsBetterGrizzlies
DET offense17th of 30 · -0.6
=Even
MEM defense13th of 30 · +1.1
DET defense1st of 30 · +7.1
←DETSmall
MEM offense11th of 30 · +1.3
Backcourt+10.1 · 2 players
→MEMBig
Backcourt+16.5 · 1 player
Frontcourt+19.7 · 3 players
→MEMBig
Frontcourt+29.5 · 4 players
Bench+22.1 · 5 players
←DETBig
Bench-18.8 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestDET betterMEM betterNEW no NBA numbers yet
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
PistonsGuards
C. Cunningham34 minA. Thompson26 minD. Jenkins25 minE. Harkless21 minK. Huerter21 minJ. Green19 min
Forwards
D. Robinson30 minP. Reed27 minJ. Collins27 minT. Prince24 minR. Holland16 minT. Smith8 min
Centers
I. Jones5 min
Out
I. JoeOutJ. DurenOut
GrizzliesGuards
T. Jerome30 minJ. Mashack22 minJ. Small21 minC. Spencer19 minW. Clayton11 min
Forwards
C. Boozer31 minC. Coward28 minJ. Wells27 minJ. Grant24 minT. Hendricks19 minO. Prosper19 min
Centers
Z. Edey20 minI. Stewart18 minC. Cooper3 min
Out
S. PippenDay-To-DayQ. PostDay-To-Day
Matchup stats
2026-27 · rank among 30 teams
Scoring
Points per game
DET109.8 #21MEM121.2 #1Points per possession
DET1.09 #18MEM1.16 #4Pace (possessions)
DET100.9 #29MEM103.6 #13Shooting
Effective FG%
DET53.1 #17MEM55.9 #53-point %
DET36.3 #9MEM41.7 #13-point attempt rate
DET43.3 #13MEM42.1 #19Free throw rate
DET28.9 #14MEM25.3 #22Possessions
Turnover rate
DET15.6 #17MEM15.4 #16Offensive rebound rate
DET27.2 #17MEM30.6 #5Assists per game
DET26.7 #15MEM27.0 #13Defense
Points allowed
DET101.8 #1MEM106.0 #3Points allowed per possession
DET1.01 #1MEM1.03 #2Opponent effective FG%
DET48.8 #2MEM49.2 #3Opponent 3-point %
DET32.5 #10MEM30.0 #3Turnovers forced
DET17.1 #6MEM15.7 #15Defensive rebound rate
DET72.8 #15MEM75.0 #9Steals per game
DET9.0 #12MEM6.3 #28Blocks per game
DET6.7 #4MEM5.2 #11| DET | MEM | |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| 109.8 #21 | Points per game | 121.2 #1 |
| 1.09 #18 | Points per possession | 1.16 #4 |
| 100.9 #29 | Pace (possessions) | 103.6 #13 |
| Shooting | ||
| 53.1 #17 | Effective FG% | 55.9 #5 |
| 36.3 #9 | 3-point % | 41.7 #1 |
| 43.3 #13 | 3-point attempt rate | 42.1 #19 |
| 28.9 #14 | Free throw rate | 25.3 #22 |
| Possessions | ||
| 15.6 #17 | Turnover rate | 15.4 #16 |
| 27.2 #17 | Offensive rebound rate | 30.6 #5 |
| 26.7 #15 | Assists per game | 27.0 #13 |
| Defense | ||
| 101.8 #1 | Points allowed | 106.0 #3 |
| 1.01 #1 | Points allowed per possession | 1.03 #2 |
| 48.8 #2 | Opponent effective FG% | 49.2 #3 |
| 32.5 #10 | Opponent 3-point % | 30.0 #3 |
| 17.1 #6 | Turnovers forced | 15.7 #15 |
| 72.8 #15 | Defensive rebound rate | 75.0 #9 |
| 9.0 #12 | Steals per game | 6.3 #28 |
| 6.7 #4 | Blocks per game | 5.2 #11 |
Pistons
5-1 overall · 5-1 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- W@ Nets110–94
- Wvs Hornets97–89
- L@ Knicks97–111
- W@ 76ers106–93
- W@ Heat128–111
A week or more of rest.
Grizzlies
6-0 overall · 6-0 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Wvs Kings136–105
- W@ Trail Blazers124–103
- W@ Jazz110–105
- W@ Kings123–112
- W@ Warriors111–108
A week or more of rest.