Madison Square Garden · at Knicks · Conference game
LineNo line yet
Total—
 DET | This season | NY |
|---|---|---|
| 5-1 | Record | 2-4 |
| 5-1 | ATS | 1-5 |
| 2-4 | O/U | 1-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects NY 108–107 · win probability NY 54%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 215.3
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 212-225 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: DET has more of the edges
DET 5, NY 3 · 2026-27 so far
DETBigNY offense vs DET defense
Offense 23rd of 30 against a defense 1st, on the model’s ratings
NYBigDET offense vs NY defense
Offense 17th of 30 against a defense 3rd, on the model’s ratings
NYBigRebounding
Offensive rebound rate: DET 27.2%, NY 30.3%. Defensive: DET 72.8%, NY 78.7%
DETBigShooting
Effective FG%: DET 53.1 and allows 48.8; NY 49.5 and allows 53.1
DETBigTurnovers
Turnover rate: DET 15.6%, NY 15.2%. Forced: DET 17.1%, NY 13.2%
DETBigRecent form
Last 5: DET 4-1 ATS, margin +8.0; NY 1-4 ATS, margin +0.4
DETSmallThree-pointers
DET hits 36.3% and allows 32.5%; NY hits 35.2% and allows 35.5%. Threes are 43.3% and 43.2% of their shots
NYSmallHome court
NY at home. This season: NY 1-2 at home, DET 3-1 away
Context
Schedule so far
DET has played the 17th-hardest schedule, NY the 13th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: DET 28.9, NY 24.5. Allowed: DET 28.1, NY 25.9
Context
Tempo
About 101 possessions: DET plays 100.9 a game (29th fastest), NY 101.0 (28th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: DET 100%, NY 100%. Transfers in: DET 0, NY 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edge
Spread
Market—
ModelNY -1.3
Model edge—
Total
Market—
Model215.3
Model edge—
Projected score
DET 107 · NY 108.3
Win probability
NY 54%
1st half
Spread
NY -0.6
Total
108.3
Projected score
DET 53.8 · NY 54.4
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Moneyline
—
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DETlast 6 | 5-1 83% | 5-1 83% | 2-4 33% |
| NYlast 6 | 2-4 33% | 1-5 17% | 1-5 17% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 24 since 2021-22
DET 8–16 NYNY leads · 24 games since 2021-22 · DET 12-12 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026-27 | DET 97 @ NY 111 | NY -4.5 | NY W |
| Feb 19, 2025-26 | DET 126 @ NY 111 | NY -3.5 | DET W |
| Feb 6, 2025-26 | NY 80 @ DET 118 | DET -5.5 | DET W |
| Jan 5, 2025-26 | NY 90 @ DET 121 | DET +1.5 | DET W |
| May 1, 2024-25 | NY 116 @ DET 113 | DET -1.5 | NY W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Pistons
6 games played
Straight up
5-1
83% wins
Against the spread
5-1
83% covers · avg +5.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −11.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
20
vs
BOS
BOSW 121-113
+9.5
23
@
MIA
MIAW 128-111
+14.5
25
@
PHI
PHIW 106-93
+11.5
27
@NY
NYL 97-111
−9.5
28
vs
CHA
CHAW 97-89
+0.5
30
@
BKN
BKNW 110-94
+7.5
covered 5didn’t cover 1avg +5.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
20
vsBOS
BOSW 121-113
+13.5
23
@MIA
MIAW 128-111
+3.5
25
@PHI
PHIW 106-93
−29.5
27
@NY
NYL 97-111
−12.5
28
vsCHA
CHAW 97-89
−26.5
30
@BKN
BKNW 110-94
−18.5
over 2under 4avg −11.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Knicks
6 games played
Straight up
2-4
33% wins
Against the spread
1-5
17% covers · avg −3.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-5
17% overs · avg −11.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
20
vsPHI
PHIL 100-106
−10.5
23
@BOS
BOSL 103-107
−1.5
25
vs
ORL
ORLL 102-111
−15.5
27
vsDET
DETW 111-97
+9.5
28
@
CHI
CHIW 133-127
−1.5
30
@PHI
PHIL 93-98
−2.5
covered 1didn’t cover 5avg −3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
20
vsPHI
PHIL 100-106
−25.5
23
@BOS
BOSL 103-107
−10.5
25
vsORL
ORLL 102-111
−11.5
27
vsDET
DETW 111-97
−12.5
28
@CHI
CHIW 133-127
+26.5
30
@PHI
PHIL 93-98
−33.5
over 1under 5avg −11.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Knicks has the better starters
Position by position: Pistons 1, Knicks 2, even 2
PistonsBetterKnicks
G C. Cunningham22.2 pts · 5.5 reb · 7.2 ast
Score 47
→NYBig
G J. Brunson25.5 pts · 2.8 reb · 5.2 ast
Score 86
G A. Thompson8.8 pts · 7.4 reb · 5 ast
Score 79
=Even
G J. Hart8.7 pts · 7.5 reb · 3.3 ast
Score 91
F D. Robinson16.8 pts · 2 reb · 2.2 ast
Score 77
=Even
G M. Bridges6.2 pts · 2.8 reb · 2 ast
Score 75
F P. Reed13.8 pts · 7 reb · 2 ast
Score 97
←DETSmall
F O. Anunoby16.2 pts · 5.8 reb · 2.7 ast
Score 73
F J. Collins9.2 pts · 7.2 reb · 0.5 ast
Score 30
→NYBig
C K. Towns21.8 pts · 13.5 reb · 3.2 ast
Score 80
PistonsBetterKnicks
DET offense17th of 30 · -0.6
→NYBig
NY defense3rd of 30 · +5.2
DET defense1st of 30 · +7.1
←DETBig
NY offense23rd of 30 · -1.8
Backcourt+10.1 · 2 players
→NYBig
Backcourt+35.0 · 3 players
Frontcourt+19.7 · 3 players
←DETSmall
Frontcourt+17.7 · 2 players
Bench+22.1 · 5 players
←DETBig
Bench+5.0 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestDET betterNY betterNEW no NBA numbers yet
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
PistonsGuards
C. Cunningham34 minA. Thompson26 minD. Jenkins25 minE. Harkless21 minK. Huerter21 minJ. Green19 min
Forwards
D. Robinson30 minP. Reed27 minJ. Collins27 minT. Prince24 minR. Holland16 minT. Smith8 min
Centers
I. Jones5 min
Out
I. JoeOutJ. DurenOut
KnicksGuards
J. Brunson35 minJ. Hart33 minM. Bridges28 minL. Shamet24 minM. McBride19 minT. Kolek14 min
Forwards
O. Anunoby34 minD. Knecht10 minM. Diawara9 minP. Dadiet5 minT. NickelNew
Centers
K. Towns32 minJ. Wiseman15 minA. Drummond13 min
Out
J. AlvaradoOut
Matchup stats
2026-27 · rank among 30 teams
Scoring
Points per game
DET109.8 #21NY107.0 #27Points per possession
DET1.09 #18NY1.05 #24Pace (possessions)
DET100.9 #29NY101.0 #28Shooting
Effective FG%
DET53.1 #17NY49.5 #273-point %
DET36.3 #9NY35.2 #133-point attempt rate
DET43.3 #13NY43.2 #14Free throw rate
DET28.9 #14NY24.5 #23Possessions
Turnover rate
DET15.6 #17NY15.2 #14Offensive rebound rate
DET27.2 #17NY30.3 #6Assists per game
DET26.7 #15NY26.2 #18Defense
Points allowed
DET101.8 #1NY107.7 #6Points allowed per possession
DET1.01 #1NY1.07 #12Opponent effective FG%
DET48.8 #2NY53.1 #14Opponent 3-point %
DET32.5 #10NY35.5 #18Turnovers forced
DET17.1 #6NY13.2 #29Defensive rebound rate
DET72.8 #15NY78.7 #1Steals per game
DET9.0 #12NY7.3 #23Blocks per game
DET6.7 #4NY4.0 #28| DET | NY | |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| 109.8 #21 | Points per game | 107.0 #27 |
| 1.09 #18 | Points per possession | 1.05 #24 |
| 100.9 #29 | Pace (possessions) | 101.0 #28 |
| Shooting | ||
| 53.1 #17 | Effective FG% | 49.5 #27 |
| 36.3 #9 | 3-point % | 35.2 #13 |
| 43.3 #13 | 3-point attempt rate | 43.2 #14 |
| 28.9 #14 | Free throw rate | 24.5 #23 |
| Possessions | ||
| 15.6 #17 | Turnover rate | 15.2 #14 |
| 27.2 #17 | Offensive rebound rate | 30.3 #6 |
| 26.7 #15 | Assists per game | 26.2 #18 |
| Defense | ||
| 101.8 #1 | Points allowed | 107.7 #6 |
| 1.01 #1 | Points allowed per possession | 1.07 #12 |
| 48.8 #2 | Opponent effective FG% | 53.1 #14 |
| 32.5 #10 | Opponent 3-point % | 35.5 #18 |
| 17.1 #6 | Turnovers forced | 13.2 #29 |
| 72.8 #15 | Defensive rebound rate | 78.7 #1 |
| 9.0 #12 | Steals per game | 7.3 #23 |
| 6.7 #4 | Blocks per game | 4.0 #28 |
Pistons
5-1 overall · 5-1 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- W@ Nets110–94
- Wvs Hornets97–89
- L@ Knicks97–111
- W@ 76ers106–93
- W@ Heat128–111
A week or more of rest.
Knicks
2-4 overall · 2-4 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- L@ 76ers93–98
- W@ Bulls133–127
- Wvs Pistons111–97
- Lvs Magic102–111
- L@ Celtics103–107
A week or more of rest.