FedExForum · at Grizzlies · Conference game
LineNo line yet
Total—
 POR | This season | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| 4-1 | Record | 6-0 |
| 3-2 | ATS | 6-0 |
| 2-3 | O/U | 2-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects POR 117–113 · win probability POR 61%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 230.1
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 212-225 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: MEM has more of the edges
POR 1, MEM 3 · 2026-27 so far
PORBigFree throws
Free throw rate: POR 35.9, MEM 25.3. Allowed: POR 27.8, MEM 31.4
MEMSmallThree-pointers
POR hits 35.3% and allows 32.1%; MEM hits 41.7% and allows 30.0%. Threes are 51.5% and 42.1% of their shots
MEMSmallRecent form
Last 5: POR 3-2 ATS, margin +11.4; MEM 5-0 ATS, margin +14.2
MEMSmallHome court
MEM at home. This season: MEM 2-0 at home, POR 3-0 away
Context
Schedule so far
POR has played the 27th-hardest schedule, MEM the 30th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
POR offense vs MEM defense
Offense 10th of 30 against a defense 13th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: POR 56.2 and allows 51.3; MEM 55.9 and allows 49.2
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: POR 27.6%, MEM 30.6%. Defensive: POR 77.3%, MEM 75.0%
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: POR 14.6%, MEM 15.4%. Forced: POR 14.8%, MEM 15.7%
Context
Tempo
About 104 possessions: POR plays 103.5 a game (14th fastest), MEM 103.6 (13th). Faster games mean more points
Even
MEM offense vs POR defense
Offense 11th of 30 against a defense 11th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: POR 100%, MEM 100%. Transfers in: POR 0, MEM 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edge
Spread
Market—
ModelPOR -3.8
Model edge—
Total
Market—
Model230.1
Model edge—
Projected score
POR 117 · MEM 113.1
Win probability
POR 61%
1st half
Spread
POR -2.3
Total
115.2
Projected score
POR 58.8 · MEM 56.4
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Moneyline
—
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PORlast 5 | 4-1 80% | 3-2 60% | 2-3 40% |
| MEMlast 6 | 6-0 100% | 6-0 100% | 2-4 33% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 19 since 2021-22
POR 11–8 MEMPOR leads · 19 games since 2021-22 · POR 10-8-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026-27 | MEM 124 @ POR 103 | POR -7.5 | MEM W |
| Mar 4, 2025-26 | POR 122 @ MEM 114 | MEM +9.5 | MEM W |
| Feb 7, 2025-26 | MEM 115 @ POR 122 | POR -9.5 | MEM W |
| Feb 6, 2025-26 | MEM 115 @ POR 135 | POR -8.5 | POR W |
| Dec 7, 2025-26 | POR 96 @ MEM 119 | MEM -1.5 | MEM W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Trail Blazers
5 games played
Straight up
4-1
80% wins
Against the spread
3-2
60% covers · avg +6.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-3
40% overs · avg −3.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vs
PHX
PHXW 124-83
+37.5
23
@
SAC
SACW 128-120
−1.5
27
@
LAL
LALW 136-129
+8.5
29
vsMEM
MEML 103-124
−28.5
31
@
UTAH
UTAHW 112-90
+15.5
covered 3didn’t cover 2avg +6.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vsPHX
PHXW 124-83
−25.5
23
@SAC
SACW 128-120
+16.5
27
@LAL
LALW 136-129
+30.5
29
vsMEM
MEML 103-124
−6.5
31
@UTAH
UTAHW 112-90
−30.5
over 2under 3avg −3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Grizzlies
6 games played
Straight up
6-0
100% wins
Against the spread
6-0
100% covers · avg +14.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −8.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vsUTAH
UTAHW 123-103
+18.5
23
@
GS
GSW 111-108
+7.5
25
@SAC
SACW 123-112
+7.5
26
@UTAH
UTAHW 110-105
+3.5
29
@POR
PORW 124-103
+28.5
31
vsSAC
SACW 136-105
+23.5
covered 6didn’t cover 0avg +14.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vsUTAH
UTAHW 123-103
−14.5
23
@GS
GSW 111-108
−17.5
25
@SAC
SACW 123-112
+0.5
26
@UTAH
UTAHW 110-105
−22.5
29
@POR
PORW 124-103
−6.5
31
vsSAC
SACW 136-105
+11.5
over 2under 4avg −8.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Grizzlies has the better starters
Position by position: Trail Blazers 1, Grizzlies 3, even 1
Trail BlazersBetterGrizzlies
G D. Lillard19.2 pts · 4 reb · 3.6 ast
Score 89
=Even
G T. Jerome25.8 pts · 3.2 reb · 5.6 ast
Score 97
G S. Henderson8.8 pts · 2.4 reb · 1.4 ast
Score 34
→MEMBig
F C. Boozer17.7 pts · 10.5 reb · 5.7 ast
Score 87
F D. Avdija23 pts · 6.8 reb · 5.6 ast
Score 82
←PORBig
F C. Coward13 pts · 8.6 reb · 2.6 ast
Score 33
F T. Camara15.2 pts · 2.4 reb · 1.2 ast
Score 44
→MEMBig
F J. Wells12.2 pts · 3.3 reb · 1 ast
Score 85
C D. Clingan8.6 pts · 8.8 reb · 1.4 ast
Score 74
→MEMSmall
C Z. Edey7 pts · 7 reb · 1 ast
Score 92
Trail BlazersBetterGrizzlies
POR offense10th of 30 · +1.4
=Even
MEM defense13th of 30 · +1.1
POR defense11th of 30 · +1.8
=Even
MEM offense11th of 30 · +1.3
Backcourt+11.6 · 2 players
→MEMBig
Backcourt+16.5 · 1 player
Frontcourt+16.7 · 3 players
→MEMBig
Frontcourt+29.5 · 4 players
Bench+15.6 · 5 players
←PORBig
Bench-18.8 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestPOR betterMEM betterNEW no NBA numbers yet
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Trail BlazersGuards
D. Lillard29 minS. Henderson21 minJ. Holiday25 minS. Cissoko22 minV. Krejci11 minC. Youngblood6 min
Forwards
D. Avdija31 minT. Camara26 minJ. Tonje8 min
Centers
D. Clingan22 minM. Potter19 minR. Williams17 minB. Carlson12 minY. Hansen10 min
Out
J. MorantOut
GrizzliesGuards
T. Jerome30 minJ. Mashack22 minJ. Small21 minC. Spencer19 minW. Clayton11 min
Forwards
C. Boozer31 minC. Coward28 minJ. Wells27 minJ. Grant24 minT. Hendricks19 minO. Prosper19 min
Centers
Z. Edey20 minI. Stewart18 minC. Cooper3 min
Out
S. PippenDay-To-DayQ. PostDay-To-Day
Matchup stats
2026-27 · rank among 30 teams
Scoring
Points per game
POR120.6 #4MEM121.2 #1Points per possession
POR1.16 #5MEM1.16 #4Pace (possessions)
POR103.5 #14MEM103.6 #13Shooting
Effective FG%
POR56.2 #4MEM55.9 #53-point %
POR35.3 #12MEM41.7 #13-point attempt rate
POR51.5 #1MEM42.1 #19Free throw rate
POR35.9 #3MEM25.3 #22Possessions
Turnover rate
POR14.6 #9MEM15.4 #16Offensive rebound rate
POR27.6 #14MEM30.6 #5Assists per game
POR26.2 #17MEM27.0 #13Defense
Points allowed
POR109.2 #10MEM106.0 #3Points allowed per possession
POR1.06 #10MEM1.03 #2Opponent effective FG%
POR51.3 #8MEM49.2 #3Opponent 3-point %
POR32.1 #8MEM30.0 #3Turnovers forced
POR14.8 #20MEM15.7 #15Defensive rebound rate
POR77.3 #3MEM75.0 #9Steals per game
POR8.6 #18MEM6.3 #28Blocks per game
POR4.2 #21MEM5.2 #11| POR | MEM | |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| 120.6 #4 | Points per game | 121.2 #1 |
| 1.16 #5 | Points per possession | 1.16 #4 |
| 103.5 #14 | Pace (possessions) | 103.6 #13 |
| Shooting | ||
| 56.2 #4 | Effective FG% | 55.9 #5 |
| 35.3 #12 | 3-point % | 41.7 #1 |
| 51.5 #1 | 3-point attempt rate | 42.1 #19 |
| 35.9 #3 | Free throw rate | 25.3 #22 |
| Possessions | ||
| 14.6 #9 | Turnover rate | 15.4 #16 |
| 27.6 #14 | Offensive rebound rate | 30.6 #5 |
| 26.2 #17 | Assists per game | 27.0 #13 |
| Defense | ||
| 109.2 #10 | Points allowed | 106.0 #3 |
| 1.06 #10 | Points allowed per possession | 1.03 #2 |
| 51.3 #8 | Opponent effective FG% | 49.2 #3 |
| 32.1 #8 | Opponent 3-point % | 30.0 #3 |
| 14.8 #20 | Turnovers forced | 15.7 #15 |
| 77.3 #3 | Defensive rebound rate | 75.0 #9 |
| 8.6 #18 | Steals per game | 6.3 #28 |
| 4.2 #21 | Blocks per game | 5.2 #11 |
Trail Blazers
4-1 overall · 4-1 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- W@ Jazz112–90
- Lvs Grizzlies103–124
- W@ Lakers136–129
- W@ Kings128–120
- Wvs Suns124–83
A week or more of rest.
Grizzlies
6-0 overall · 6-0 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Wvs Kings136–105
- W@ Trail Blazers124–103
- W@ Jazz110–105
- W@ Kings123–112
- W@ Warriors111–108
A week or more of rest.