Holmes Convocation Center · at App State
Closing line
APP -7.5✓ EMU covered by 2.5
APP -7.5✓ EMU covered by 2.5Closing total131.5Under by 6.5
 EMU | This season | APP |
|---|---|---|
| 8-14 | Record | 14-9 |
| 16-6 | ATS | 15-8 |
| 6-16 | O/U | 8-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: EMU 63–68 APP · ✓ APP (66%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| EMU | 33 | 27 | 60 |
| APP | 36 | 29 | 65 |
1st half: EMU 33, APP 36 (APP by 3). The model had APP by 2.8 and a total of 61.2 (actual 69).
Team stats
| EMU | APP | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-63 40% | Field goals | 23-59 39% |
| 6-22 27% | 3-pointers | 4-21 19% |
| 4-6 67% | Free throws | 15-28 54% |
| 37 9 off | Rebounds | 43 13 off |
| 11 | Assists | 13 |
| 4 | Steals | 4 |
| 3 | Blocks | 4 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 22 | Fouls | 10 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 0 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| EMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohammad Habhab F | 38 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 7-16 | 0-3 |
| Addison Patterson F | 36 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 6-14 | 1-4 |
| Jon Sanders II G | 32 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 5-11 | 2-5 |
| Gregory Lawson II G | 30 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 3-11 | 1-4 |
| Godslove Nwabude F | 17 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Braelon Green G | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| John Shanu II C | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Mak Manciel G | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Merritt Alderink F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Aidan Rubio G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mehki Ellison, Cooper Smith, Mbaye N'Diaye, Carlos Hart
| APP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alonzo Dodd G | 37 | 23 | 3 | 5 | 7-15 | 1-3 |
| Kasen Jennings G | 35 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 5-18 | 0-8 |
| Jalen Tot G | 33 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-5 |
| Michael Marcus Jr. F | 28 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0-8 | 0-3 |
| Luke Wilson C | 23 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Eren Banks G | 26 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3-4 | 2-2 |
| Chad Moodie F | 16 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Jacari Brim G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Grant Clayton, Tre McKinnon, Ted Neal, KJ Vasser, Andrin Njock, Cameron O'Kelley, Jason Clarke Jr., Luke Ledford
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketAPP -7.5
ModelAPP -4.8
Model edgeEMU +2.7
W EMU covered
Total
Market131.5
Model130.5
Model edgeUnder 1.0
W Under
Projected score
EMU 62.8 · APP 67.7
EMU 60 · APP 65
Win probability
APP 66%
1st half
Spread
APP -2.8
APP -3.0
Total
61.2
69 points
Projected score
EMU 29.2 · APP 32
EMU 33 · APP 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenAPP -7.5
no move
CloseAPP -7.5
No change since the open
Total
Open128.5
▲ 3
Close131.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
EMU +270 · APP -340
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened APP -7.5 · unchangedmodel APP -5
model APP -5
Opened 128.5 · closed 131.5 · moved 3 upmodel 130.5
model 130.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| EMU | 3-7 30% | 8-2 80% | 3-7 30% |
| APP | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
E Michigan
22 games played
Straight up
8-14
36% wins
Against the spread
16-6
73% covers · avg +2.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-16
27% overs · avg −5.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs GAST | W 71-49 | -3.5 | W +18.5 | 149.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 10 | @ PITT | L 66-78 | +15.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 14 | vs IUIN | L 83-90 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 186.5 | U 173 |
| Nov 18 | @ DETM | W 72-62 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 157.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 21 | vs OAK | W 97-91 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 153.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 24 | @ LOU | L 46-87 | +33.5 | L −7.5 | 162.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 26 | @ CIN | W 64-56 | +22.5 | W +30.5 | 146.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 28 | vs NJIT | W 73-55 | -14.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 2 | @ BTLR | L 68-84 | +17.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 10 | @ PFW | L 65-80 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 19 | @ AKR | L 72-93 | +15.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 22 | @ WRST | L 64-70 | +10.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 30 | vs MASS | W 80-74 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 148.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 3 | vs OHIO | L 67-68 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 6 | @ BALL | W 74-52 | +1.5 | W +23.5 | 137.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 10 | @ WMU | L 62-79 | -1.5 | L −18.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 13 | vs NIU | W 77-59 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 17 | @ BGSU | L 79-85 | +11.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 24 | vs KENT | L 75-76 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 27 | @ CMU | L 65-100 | -2.5 | L −37.5 | 139.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 31 | @MASS | L 67-70 | +8.5 | W +5.5 | 148.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 3 | vsAKR | L 64-66 | +12.5 | W +10.5 | 153.5 | U 130 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsGAST
GASTW 71-49
+18.5
10
@PITT
PITTL 66-78
+3.5
14
vsIUIN
IUINL 83-90
−11.5
18
@DETM
DETMW 72-62
+11.5
21
vsOAK
OAKW 97-91
+7.5
24
@LOU
LOUL 46-87
−7.5
26
@CIN
CINW 64-56
+30.5
28
vsNJIT
NJITW 73-55
+3.5
2
@BTLR
BTLRL 68-84
+1.5
10
@PFW
PFWL 65-80
−11.5
19
@AKR
AKRL 72-93
−5.5
22
@WRST
WRSTL 64-70
+4.5
30
vsMASS
MASSW 80-74
+8.5
3
vsOHIO
OHIOL 67-68
+1.5
6
@BALL
BALLW 74-52
+23.5
10
@WMU
WMUL 62-79
−18.5
13
vsNIU
NIUW 77-59
+10.5
17
@BGSU
BGSUL 79-85
+5.5
24
vsKENT
KENTL 75-76
+3.5
27
@CMU
CMUL 65-100
−37.5
31
@MASS
MASSL 67-70
+5.5
3
vsAKR
AKRL 64-66
+10.5
covered 16didn’t cover 6avg +2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsGAST
GASTW 71-49
−29.5
10
@PITT
PITTL 66-78
+2.5
14
vsIUIN
IUINL 83-90
−13.5
18
@DETM
DETMW 72-62
−23.5
21
vsOAK
OAKW 97-91
+34.5
24
@LOU
LOUL 46-87
−29.5
26
@CIN
CINW 64-56
−26.5
28
vsNJIT
NJITW 73-55
−13.5
2
@BTLR
BTLRL 68-84
−1.5
10
@PFW
PFWL 65-80
−2.5
19
@AKR
AKRL 72-93
+9.5
22
@WRST
WRSTL 64-70
−8.5
30
vsMASS
MASSW 80-74
+5.5
3
vsOHIO
OHIOL 67-68
−15.5
6
@BALL
BALLW 74-52
−11.5
10
@WMU
WMUL 62-79
−4.5
13
vsNIU
NIUW 77-59
−5.5
17
@BGSU
BGSUL 79-85
+22.5
24
vsKENT
KENTL 75-76
−3.5
27
@CMU
CMUL 65-100
+25.5
31
@MASS
MASSL 67-70
−11.5
3
vsAKR
AKRL 64-66
−23.5
over 6under 16avg −5.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
App State
23 games played
Straight up
14-9
61% wins
Against the spread
15-8
65% covers · avg +1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-15
35% overs · avg −4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @CMU | L 66-82 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 9 | vs NCCU | W 76-54 | -10.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 11 | @ OSU | L 53-75 | +23.5 | W +1.5 | 147.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 16 | @ DART | W 85-77 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 21 | vs CLT | W 65-63 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 132.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 24 | vs ELON | L 53-88 | -5.5 | L −40.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 26 | @ MER | L 67-75 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 30 | vs UNCA | L 55-67 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 137.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 11 | @ ECU | W 67-54 | +4.5 | W +17.5 | 130.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 14 | vs HPU | W 86-78 | +12.5 | W +20.5 | 144.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 18 | vs CCU | W 67-49 | -4.5 | W +13.5 | 137.5 | U 116 |
| Dec 20 | vsGAST | L 63-70 | -7.5 | L −14.5 | 137.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 31 | @ ODU | W 81-73 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 136.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 3 | @ MRSH | L 81-88 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 8 | @GAST | W 52-50 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | U 102 |
| Jan 10 | @CCU | L 62-67 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 133.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 15 | vs JMU | W 80-65 | -2.5 | W +12.5 | 133.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 17 | vsODU | L 73-75 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 140.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 22 | vs UL | W 72-58 | -9.5 | W +4.5 | 124.5 | O 130 |
| Jan 23 | vs ULM | W 59-43 | -16.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | U 102 |
| Jan 29 | @ USM | W 70-63 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 134.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 31 | @ TROY | W 66-44 | +7.5 | W +29.5 | 137.5 | U 110 |
| Feb 4 | vs USA | W 65-57 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 131.5 | U 122 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CMU
CMUL 66-82
−14.5
9
vsNCCU
NCCUW 76-54
+11.5
11
@OSU
OSUL 53-75
+1.5
16
@DART
DARTW 85-77
+6.5
21
vsCLT
CLTW 65-63
+0.5
24
vsELON
ELONL 53-88
−40.5
26
@MER
MERL 67-75
−1.5
30
vsUNCA
UNCAL 55-67
−10.5
11
@ECU
ECUW 67-54
+17.5
14
vsHPU
HPUW 86-78
+20.5
18
vsCCU
CCUW 67-49
+13.5
20
vsGAST
GASTL 63-70
−14.5
31
@ODU
ODUW 81-73
+9.5
3
@MRSH
MRSHL 81-88
+0.5
8
@GAST
GASTW 52-50
+0.5
10
@CCU
CCUL 62-67
−6.5
15
vsJMU
JMUW 80-65
+12.5
17
vsODU
ODUL 73-75
−9.5
22
vsUL
ULW 72-58
+4.5
23
vsULM
ULMW 59-43
−0.5
29
@USM
USMW 70-63
+5.5
31
@TROY
TROYW 66-44
+29.5
4
vsUSA
USAW 65-57
+2.5
covered 15didn’t cover 8avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CMU
CMUL 66-82
+5.5
9
vsNCCU
NCCUW 76-54
−6.5
11
@OSU
OSUL 53-75
−19.5
16
@DART
DARTW 85-77
+21.5
21
vsCLT
CLTW 65-63
−4.5
24
vsELON
ELONL 53-88
−2.5
26
@MER
MERL 67-75
−0.5
30
vsUNCA
UNCAL 55-67
−15.5
11
@ECU
ECUW 67-54
−9.5
14
vsHPU
HPUW 86-78
+19.5
18
vsCCU
CCUW 67-49
−21.5
20
vsGAST
GASTL 63-70
−4.5
31
@ODU
ODUW 81-73
+17.5
3
@MRSH
MRSHL 81-88
+27.5
8
@GAST
GASTW 52-50
−38.5
10
@CCU
CCUL 62-67
−4.5
15
vsJMU
JMUW 80-65
+11.5
17
vsODU
ODUL 73-75
+7.5
22
vsUL
ULW 72-58
+5.5
23
vsULM
ULMW 59-43
−42.5
29
@USM
USMW 70-63
−1.5
31
@TROY
TROYW 66-44
−27.5
4
vsUSA
USAW 65-57
−9.5
over 8under 15avg −4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
E Michigan
8-14 overall · 3-8 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Akron64–66
- L@ UMass67–70
- L@ C Michigan65–100
- Lvs Kent State75–76
- L@ Bowling Green79–85
4 days since their last game.
App State
14-9 overall · 9-4 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs South Alabama65–57
- W@ Troy66–44
- W@ Southern Miss70–63
- Wvs UL Monroe59–43
- Wvs Louisiana72–58
3 days since their last game.