State Farm Field House · Neutral site
Closing line
UVM -5.5✓ PRIN covered by 0.5
UVM -5.5✓ PRIN covered by 0.5Closing total140.5Over by 12.5
| UVM | This season | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| 2-3 | Record | 2-5 |
| 2-3 | ATS | 4-3 |
| 5-0 | O/U | 4-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UVM 76–72 PRIN · ✓ UVM (63%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UVM | 43 | 36 | 79 |
| PRIN | 26 | 48 | 74 |
1st half: UVM 43, PRIN 26 (UVM by 17). The model had UVM by 2.4 and a total of 69.6 (actual 69).
Team stats
| UVM | PRIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-60 52% | Field goals | 29-59 49% |
| 8-25 32% | 3-pointers | 12-32 38% |
| 9-13 69% | Free throws | 4-12 33% |
| 39 9 off | Rebounds | 29 7 off |
| 13 | Assists | 16 |
| 2 | Steals | 4 |
| 1 | Blocks | 1 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 13 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 0 |
Players
| UVM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Long G | 29 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 6-11 | 3-7 |
| Sean Blake G | 25 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| TJ Hurley G | 22 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3-8 | 1-3 |
| Gus Yalden F | 22 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 11-14 | 3-4 |
| Lucas Mari G | 20 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Momo Nkugwa G | 23 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Benjamin Michaels F | 17 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Noah Barnett F | 17 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Ben Johnson G | 16 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Jackson Skipper F | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Drew Bessette, Sincere Clemons, Ben Wesson, David Simon, Chris Kuzemka, Trey Woodyard
| PRIN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Hicke G | 38 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 8-18 | 4-9 |
| Jack Stanton G | 35 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3-11 | 2-9 |
| Landon Clark G | 34 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Malik Abdullahi F | 34 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 6-8 | 0-2 |
| CJ Happy F | 27 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 9-12 | 4-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jacob Huggins F | 13 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Sebastian Whitfield G | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Jacob Hammond F | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jake Sussberg G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Cash McSweeney F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Peyton Seals G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Zio Kim, Dalen Davis, Cooper Mueller, Ryan Mandes, Will Kutzler
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUVM -5.5
ModelUVM -3.7
Model edgePRIN +1.8
W PRIN covered
Total
Market140.5
Model148.6
Model edgeOver 8.1
W Over
Projected score
UVM 76.2 · PRIN 72.4
UVM 79 · PRIN 74
Win probability
UVM 63%
1st half
Spread
UVM -2.4
UVM -17.0
Total
69.6
69 points
Projected score
UVM 36 · PRIN 33.6
UVM 43 · PRIN 26
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUVM -5.5
no move
CloseUVM -5.5
No change since the open
Total
Open141.5
▼ 1
Close140.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
UVM -245 · PRIN +200
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UVM -5.5 · unchangedmodel UVM -3.5
model UVM -3.5
Opened 141.5 · closed 140.5 · moved 1 downmodel 148.5
model 148.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UVMlast 5 | 2-3 40% | 2-3 40% | 5-0 100% |
| PRINlast 7 | 2-5 29% | 4-3 57% | 4-3 57% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Vermont
5 games played
Straight up
2-3
40% wins
Against the spread
2-3
40% covers · avg −0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-0
100% overs · avg +23.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
9
@
BRWN
BRWNW 89-84
−0.5
15
@
NE
NEW 85-74
+12.5
18
@
BUF
BUFL 90-94
−5.5
24
vs
LIB
LIBL 73-79
+2.5
25
vs
URI
URIL 65-80
−10.5
covered 2didn’t cover 3avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
9
@BRWN
BRWNW 89-84
+41.5
15
@NE
NEW 85-74
+24.5
18
@BUF
BUFL 90-94
+42.5
24
vsLIB
LIBL 73-79
+10.5
25
vsURI
URIL 65-80
+0.5
over 5under 0avg +23.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Princeton
7 games played
Straight up
2-5
29% wins
Against the spread
4-3
57% covers · avg −4.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-3
57% overs · avg −0.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@
AKR
AKRL 69-104
−21.5
11
vs
BUCK
BUCKW 73-63
+5.5
15
@
KU
KUL 57-76
+3.5
18
@
IONA
IONAL 69-89
−17.5
20
vsNE
NEW 70-57
+10.5
24
vs
BRAD
BRADL 64-88
−14.5
25
vs
TEM
TEML 75-79
+4.5
covered 4didn’t cover 3avg −4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@AKR
AKRL 69-104
+16.5
11
vsBUCK
BUCKW 73-63
−10.5
15
@KU
KUL 57-76
−11.5
18
@IONA
IONAL 69-89
+3.5
20
vsNE
NEW 70-57
−18.5
24
vsBRAD
BRADL 64-88
+10.5
25
vsTEM
TEML 75-79
+8.5
over 4under 3avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Vermont
2-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Rhode Island65–80
- Lvs Liberty73–79
- L@ Buffalo90–94
- W@ Northeastern85–74
- W@ Brown89–84
1 day since their last game.
Princeton
2-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Temple75–79
- Lvs Bradley64–88
- Wvs Northeastern70–57
- L@ Iona69–89
- L@ Kansas57–76
1 day since their last game.