Kimmel Arena · at UNC Asheville
Closing line
M-OH -6.5✓ UNCA covered by 3.5
M-OH -6.5✓ UNCA covered by 3.5Closing total152.5Over by 24.5
| M-OH | This season | UNCA |
|---|---|---|
| 6-0 | Record | 3-5 |
| 4-2 | ATS | 4-4 |
| 5-1 | O/U | 3-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: M-OH 79–76 UNCA · ✓ M-OH (60%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M-OH | 41 | 43 | 6 | 90 |
| UNCA | 35 | 49 | 3 | 87 |
1st half: M-OH 41, UNCA 35 (M-OH by 6). The model had M-OH by 1.9 and a total of 72.7 (actual 76).
Team stats
| M-OH | UNCA | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-62 50% | Field goals | 30-62 48% |
| 10-26 38% | 3-pointers | 10-22 45% |
| 18-24 75% | Free throws | 17-22 77% |
| 30 4 off | Rebounds | 33 3 off |
| 17 | Assists | 20 |
| 4 | Steals | 1 |
| 0 | Blocks | 3 |
| 5 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 19 | Fouls | 21 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| M-OH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Suder G | 38 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 6-11 | 1-3 |
| Eian Elmer G | 34 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 3-8 | 2-5 |
| Evan Ipsaro G | 33 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 10-16 | 3-5 |
| Brant Byers F | 31 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 4-9 | 1-5 |
| Antwone Woolfolk F | 21 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Luke Skaljac G | 32 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Almar Atlason F | 22 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 3-8 | 1-4 |
| Trey Perry G | 11 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 3-4 | 2-2 |
| Tyler Robbins F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kyle Waltz F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Justin Kirby, Leshawn Stowers, Brady Ganley, Ethan Wright, Blake Anderson, Jackson Kotecki, Eli Yofan
| UNCA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Patrick G | 43 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 2-9 | 2-5 |
| Justin Wright G | 39 | 26 | 1 | 8 | 10-18 | 3-5 |
| Kam Taylor G | 37 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 3-10 | 0-4 |
| Toyaz Solomon F | 34 | 31 | 6 | 2 | 11-17 | 5-6 |
| David Hermes F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Myles Mayfield F | 33 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Corey Jones G | 16 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Julian Clarke PG | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Daniel Thomas F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jakel Powell G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Rasheed Baldwin, Hugo Maton, Brayden Rivers, Mitchell Taylor, Connor Dubsky, Sage Tolentino
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketM-OH -6.5
ModelM-OH -2.9
Model edgeUNCA +3.6
W UNCA covered
Total
Market152.5
Model155.3
Model edgeOver 2.8
W Over
Projected score
M-OH 79.1 · UNCA 76.2
M-OH 90 · UNCA 87
Win probability
M-OH 60%
1st half
Spread
M-OH -1.9
M-OH -6.0
Total
72.7
76 points
Projected score
M-OH 37.3 · UNCA 35.4
M-OH 41 · UNCA 35
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenM-OH -4.5
2 → M-OH
CloseM-OH -6.5
2 pts toward M-OH
Total
Open152.5
no move
Close152.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
M-OH -265 · UNCA +215
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened M-OH -4.5 · closed M-OH -6.5 · moved 2 toward M-OHmodel M-OH -3
model M-OH -3
Opened 152.5 · unchangedmodel 155.5
model 155.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| M-OHlast 6 | 6-0 100% | 4-2 67% | 5-1 83% |
| UNCAlast 8 | 3-5 38% | 4-4 50% | 3-5 38% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Miami OH
6 games played
Straight up
6-0
100% wins
Against the spread
4-2
67% covers · avg +2.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-1
83% overs · avg +9.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
ODU
ODUW 87-72
−1.5
15
@
AF
AFW 76-61
+4.5
20
vs
MERC
MERCW 76-71
−10.5
23
vs
UAPB
UAPBW 111-84
+5.5
26
vs
UNCG
UNCGW 82-71
+0.5
6
vs
ME
MEW 93-61
+14.5
covered 4didn’t cover 2avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsODU
ODUW 87-72
+5.5
15
@AF
AFW 76-61
−6.5
20
vsMERC
MERCW 76-71
+7.5
23
vsUAPB
UAPBW 111-84
+34.5
26
vsUNCG
UNCGW 82-71
+2.5
6
vsME
MEW 93-61
+14.5
over 5under 1avg +9.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
UNC Asheville
8 games played
Straight up
3-5
38% wins
Against the spread
4-4
50% covers · avg +0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-5
38% overs · avg −7.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ WICH | L 58-75 | +6.5 | L −10.5 | 157.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 8 | @ GASO | L 90-93 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 162.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 11 | vs LIP | W 69-64 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 19 | @ WCU | L 73-80 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 152.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 25 | vs TNST | L 73-75 | -5.5 | L −7.5 | 164.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 30 | vs APP | W 67-55 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 137.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 2 | vsUNCG | W 82-77 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | @ NCSU | L 63-75 | +28.5 | W +16.5 | 155.5 | U 138 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@WICH
WICHL 58-75
−10.5
8
@GASO
GASOL 90-93
+2.5
11
vsLIP
LIPW 69-64
−1.5
19
@WCU
WCUL 73-80
−8.5
25
vsTNST
TNSTL 73-75
−7.5
30
vsAPP
APPW 67-55
+10.5
2
vsUNCG
UNCGW 82-77
+0.5
6
@NCSU
NCSUL 63-75
+16.5
covered 4didn’t cover 4avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@WICH
WICHL 58-75
−24.5
8
@GASO
GASOL 90-93
+20.5
11
vsLIP
LIPW 69-64
−25.5
19
@WCU
WCUL 73-80
+0.5
25
vsTNST
TNSTL 73-75
−16.5
30
vsAPP
APPW 67-55
−15.5
2
vsUNCG
UNCGW 82-77
+15.5
6
@NCSU
NCSUL 63-75
−17.5
over 3under 5avg −7.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Miami OH
6-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Maine93–61
- Wvs UNC Greensboro82–71
- Wvs AR-Pine Bluff111–84
- Wvs Mercyhurst76–71
- W@ Air Force76–61
4 days since their last game.
UNC Asheville
3-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ NC State63–75
- Wvs UNC Greensboro82–77
- Wvs App State67–55
- Lvs Tennessee St73–75
- L@ W Carolina73–80
4 days since their last game.