McLeod Center · at Northern Iowa · Conference game
Closing line
UNI -8.5✓ UNI covered by 1.5
UNI -8.5✓ UNI covered by 1.5Closing total131.5Under by 25.5
 VAL | This season | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| 5-6 | Record | 8-3 |
| 6-5 | ATS | 7-4 |
| 6-5 | O/U | 2-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: VAL 60–71 UNI · ✓ UNI (84%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VAL | 22 | 26 | 48 |
| UNI | 22 | 36 | 58 |
1st half: VAL 22, UNI 22 (tied). The model had UNI by 6.7 and a total of 61.5 (actual 44).
Team stats
| VAL | UNI | |
|---|---|---|
| 17-58 29% | Field goals | 20-43 47% |
| 3-23 13% | 3-pointers | 4-12 33% |
| 11-14 79% | Free throws | 14-18 78% |
| 37 15 off | Rebounds | 32 4 off |
| 8 | Assists | 11 |
| 6 | Steals | 6 |
| 4 | Blocks | 4 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 14 | Fouls | 15 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| VAL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rakim Chaney G | 32 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1-7 | 0-4 |
| JT Pettigrew F | 26 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 2-9 | 0-2 |
| Brody Whitaker G | 24 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-3 |
| Shon Tupuola F | 19 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Barnes G | 16 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-7 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Owen Dease F | 27 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 5-10 | 2-5 |
| Carter Hopoi F | 21 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-2 |
| Justus McNair G | 16 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Sader Servilus G | 11 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Mark Brown Jr. G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Tucker Tornatta, Kyonte Thomas, Kobe Walker, Jayden Watson, Camden Webster, Nick Lombardi, Joe Vick
| UNI | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Campbell G | 36 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 3-7 | 1-4 |
| Ben Schwieger F | 31 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 4-6 | 1-1 |
| Leon Bond III G | 29 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 3-9 | 0-2 |
| Tristan Smith F | 29 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Will Hornseth F | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7-12 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kyle Pock F | 19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Geon Hutchins G | 15 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Ismael Diouf F | 12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Hunter Jacobson G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Levi Valdo, Cade Courbat, Max Weisbrod, Redek Born, Marino Dubravcic, RJ Taylor, Jalen Wilson, Chase Courbat
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNI -11.5
3 → VAL
CloseUNI -8.5
3 pts toward VAL
Total
Open128.5
▲ 3
Close131.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
VAL +350 · UNI -455
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNI -11.5 · closed UNI -8.5 · moved 3 toward VALmodel UNI -11.5
model UNI -11.5
Opened 128.5 · closed 131.5 · moved 3 upmodel 131
model 131
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UNI -8.5 | UNI -11.4 | UNI +2.9 | W UNI covered |
| Total | 131.5 | 131.2 | Under 0.3 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | VAL 59.9 · UNI 71.3 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UNI -6.7 | PK |
| 1H total | 61.5 | 44 |
| 1H projected score | VAL 27.4 · UNI 34.1 | VAL 22 · UNI 22 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VAL | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
| UNI | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 2-8 20% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
VAL 3–5 UNIUNI leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · VAL has won the last 2 meetings · VAL 5-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2024-25 | VAL 64 vs UNI 63 | UNI -8.5 | VAL W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | UNI 73 @ VAL 80 | VAL +4.5 | VAL W |
| Feb 27, 2023-24 | VAL 54 @ UNI 68 | UNI -14.5 | VAL W |
| Feb 14, 2023-24 | UNI 86 @ VAL 67 | VAL +7.5 | UNI W |
| Jan 25, 2022-23 | VAL 66 @ UNI 77 | UNI -8.5 | UNI W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Valparaiso
11 games played
Straight up
5-6
45% wins
Against the spread
6-5
55% covers · avg +3.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-5
55% overs · avg −4.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs EIU | W 66-63 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 7 | @ UK | L 59-107 | +32.5 | L −15.5 | 157.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 12 | vs NICH | W 68-63 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 16 | vs BRY | W 68-50 | -6.5 | W +11.5 | 143.5 | U 118 |
| Nov 19 | @ CLE | W 90-75 | +2.5 | W +17.5 | 158.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 26 | vs USI | L 56-64 | -9.5 | L −17.5 | 150.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 29 | vs WMU | W 84-55 | -4.5 | W +24.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 2 | @ MARQ | L 72-75 | +17.5 | W +14.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 13 | vs UNCW | L 70-73 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 136.5 | O 143 |
| Dec 16 | @ NU | L 70-86 | +14.5 | L −1.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 21 | vs MUR | L 79-85 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | O 164 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsEIU
EIUW 66-63
−2.5
7
@UK
UKL 59-107
−15.5
12
vsNICH
NICHW 68-63
+2.5
16
vsBRY
BRYW 68-50
+11.5
19
@CLE
CLEW 90-75
+17.5
26
vsUSI
USIL 56-64
−17.5
29
vsWMU
WMUW 84-55
+24.5
2
@MARQ
MARQL 72-75
+14.5
13
vsUNCW
UNCWL 70-73
+1.5
16
@NU
NUL 70-86
−1.5
21
vsMUR
MURL 79-85
−0.5
covered 6didn’t cover 5avg +3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsEIU
EIUW 66-63
−15.5
7
@UK
UKL 59-107
+8.5
12
vsNICH
NICHW 68-63
−13.5
16
vsBRY
BRYW 68-50
−25.5
19
@CLE
CLEW 90-75
+6.5
26
vsUSI
USIL 56-64
−30.5
29
vsWMU
WMUW 84-55
−7.5
2
@MARQ
MARQL 72-75
+0.5
13
vsUNCW
UNCWL 70-73
+6.5
16
@NU
NUL 70-86
+10.5
21
vsMUR
MURL 79-85
+8.5
over 6under 5avg −4.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Northern Iowa
11 games played
Straight up
8-3
73% wins
Against the spread
7-4
64% covers · avg +2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-9
18% overs · avg −12.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | vs CSUN | W 86-57 | -9.5 | W +19.5 | 153.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 9 | vs SDST | W 65-58 | -10.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 14 | vs FUR | W 70-54 | -9.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 18 | vs NIU | W 70-57 | -19.5 | L −6.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 22 | @ UCI | W 70-69 | +2.5 | W +3.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Nov 25 | vs LUC | W 72-51 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 134.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 26 | vs TLSA | L 60-63 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 137.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 6 | vs WICH | L 69-74 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | O 143 |
| Dec 13 | vs OAK | W 75-63 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 17 | @ UIC | W 60-54 | -5.5 | W +0.5 | 133.5 | U 114 |
| Dec 22 | @ SMC | L 58-63 | +11.5 | W +6.5 | 132.5 | U 121 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
vsCSUN
CSUNW 86-57
+19.5
9
vsSDST
SDSTW 65-58
−3.5
14
vsFUR
FURW 70-54
+6.5
18
vsNIU
NIUW 70-57
−6.5
22
@UCI
UCIW 70-69
+3.5
25
vsLUC
LUCW 72-51
+12.5
26
vsTLSA
TLSAL 60-63
−5.5
6
vsWICH
WICHL 69-74
−6.5
13
vsOAK
OAKW 75-63
+3.5
17
@UIC
UICW 60-54
+0.5
22
@SMC
SMCL 58-63
+6.5
covered 7didn’t cover 4avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
vsCSUN
CSUNW 86-57
−10.5
9
vsSDST
SDSTW 65-58
−27.5
14
vsFUR
FURW 70-54
−17.5
18
vsNIU
NIUW 70-57
−19.5
22
@UCI
UCIW 70-69
+0.5
25
vsLUC
LUCW 72-51
−11.5
26
vsTLSA
TLSAL 60-63
−14.5
6
vsWICH
WICHL 69-74
+7.5
13
vsOAK
OAKW 75-63
−11.5
17
@UIC
UICW 60-54
−19.5
22
@SMC
SMCL 58-63
−11.5
over 2under 9avg −12.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Valparaiso
5-6 overall · 0-1 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Murray St79–85
- L@ Northwestern70–86
- Lvs UNC Wilmington70–73
- L@ Marquette72–75
- Wvs W Michigan84–55
A week or more of rest.
Northern Iowa
8-3 overall · 1-0 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Saint Mary's58–63
- W@ UIC60–54
- Wvs Oakland75–63
- Lvs Wichita St69–74
- Lvs Tulsa60–63
A week or more of rest.