Banterra Center · at S Illinois · Conference game
Closing line
SIU -1.5✓ ILST covered by 8.5
SIU -1.5✓ ILST covered by 8.5Closing total153.5Under by 10.5
 ILST | This season | SIU |
|---|---|---|
| 7-3 | Record | 5-5 |
| 6-4 | ATS | 5-5 |
| 5-5 | O/U | 5-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ILST 77–76 SIU · ✓ ILST (52%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILST | 30 | 45 | 75 |
| SIU | 35 | 33 | 68 |
1st half: ILST 30, SIU 35 (SIU by 5). The model had ILST by 0.5 and a total of 71.4 (actual 65).
Team stats
| ILST | SIU | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-61 49% | Field goals | 26-53 49% |
| 8-29 28% | 3-pointers | 4-13 31% |
| 7-18 39% | Free throws | 12-22 55% |
| 36 12 off | Rebounds | 34 10 off |
| 16 | Assists | 11 |
| 8 | Steals | 10 |
| 2 | Blocks | 1 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 20 | Fouls | 16 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| ILST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Pence G | 33 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 9-13 | 3-5 |
| Chase Walker F | 31 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 7-13 | 0-2 |
| Boden Skunberg G | 29 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 3-8 | 2-5 |
| Johnny Kinziger G | 26 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3-8 | 0-5 |
| Ty'Reek Coleman G | 14 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Landon Wolf G | 25 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-1 |
| Mason Klabo G | 15 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2-6 | 1-5 |
| Landon Moore G | 14 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Brandon Lieb F | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Cameron Barnes F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jack Daugherty F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Ty Blake, Isaac Ericksen, Nick Allen
| SIU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quel'Ron House G | 37 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 11-18 | 0-2 |
| Drew Steffe G | 33 | 17 | 0 | 2 | 7-13 | 2-7 |
| Damien Mayo Jr. G | 30 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-0 |
| Rolyns Aligbe F | 22 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Davion Sykes G | 17 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Max Pikaar F | 21 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Jorge Moreno F | 17 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jalen Haynes G | 14 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Isaiah Stafford G | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jaheem Webber, Caden Hawkins, Prince Aligbe, Daniel Pauliukonis, Luke Walsh
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSIU -1.5
ModelILST -0.5
Model edgeILST +2.0
W ILST covered
Total
Market153.5
Model152.6
Model edgeUnder 0.9
W Under
Projected score
ILST 76.5 · SIU 76
ILST 75 · SIU 68
Win probability
ILST 52%
1st half
Spread
ILST -0.5
SIU -5.0
Total
71.4
65 points
Projected score
ILST 35.9 · SIU 35.5
ILST 30 · SIU 35
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSIU -2.5
1 → ILST
CloseSIU -1.5
1 pt toward ILST
Total
Open151.5
▲ 2
Close153.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
ILST +105 · SIU -125
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SIU -2.5 · closed SIU -1.5 · moved 1 toward ILSTmodel ILST -0.5
model ILST -0.5
Opened 151.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 2 upmodel 152.5
model 152.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILST | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
| SIU | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
ILST 2–6 SIUSIU leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · ILST 3-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024-25 | ILST 79 @ SIU 88 | SIU +1.5 | SIU W |
| Jan 5, 2024-25 | SIU 54 @ ILST 85 | ILST -7.5 | ILST W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | ILST 66 @ SIU 69 | SIU -7.5 | ILST W |
| Jan 6, 2023-24 | SIU 71 @ ILST 64 | ILST +2.5 | SIU W |
| Jan 29, 2022-23 | SIU 66 @ ILST 72 | ILST +4.5 | ILST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Illinois St
10 games played
Straight up
7-3
70% wins
Against the spread
6-4
60% covers · avg +6.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-5
50% overs · avg −0.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ OHIO | L 68-72 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 161.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 9 | vs COR | W 76-65 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 164.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 14 | vs USC | L 67-87 | +15.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 16 | @ LBSU | W 82-80 | -8.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 23 | vs CCU | W 94-42 | -12.5 | W +39.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 27 | vs CLT | W 79-69 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs FUR | W 72-65 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | vs EKU | W 89-78 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 154.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 6 | vs CHST | W 95-53 | -20.5 | W +21.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 13 | vs USU | L 78-83 | +8.5 | W +3.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@OHIO
OHIOL 68-72
−2.5
9
vsCOR
CORW 76-65
+4.5
14
vsUSC
USCL 67-87
−4.5
16
@LBSU
LBSUW 82-80
−6.5
23
vsCCU
CCUW 94-42
+39.5
27
vsCLT
CLTW 79-69
+4.5
28
vsFUR
FURW 72-65
+3.5
3
vsEKU
EKUW 89-78
−1.5
6
vsCHST
CHSTW 95-53
+21.5
13
vsUSU
USUL 78-83
+3.5
covered 6didn’t cover 4avg +6.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@OHIO
OHIOL 68-72
−21.5
9
vsCOR
CORW 76-65
−23.5
14
vsUSC
USCL 67-87
−1.5
16
@LBSU
LBSUW 82-80
+20.5
23
vsCCU
CCUW 94-42
−10.5
27
vsCLT
CLTW 79-69
+8.5
28
vsFUR
FURW 72-65
−8.5
3
vsEKU
EKUW 89-78
+12.5
6
vsCHST
CHSTW 95-53
+3.5
13
vsUSU
USUL 78-83
+12.5
over 5under 5avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
S Illinois
10 games played
Straight up
5-5
50% wins
Against the spread
5-5
50% covers · avg +3.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-5
50% overs · avg +4.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs KC | W 101-78 | -12.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 12 | @ NEV | L 81-86 | +11.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 17 | @ NDSU | L 85-92 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 23 | vs DEL | W 79-59 | -8.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 24 | vs UAB | L 73-81 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 161.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 26 | @ MEM | L 58-74 | +10.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 29 | vs LR | W 74-65 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 3 | @ HPU | W 86-84 | +9.5 | W +11.5 | 162.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 10 | vs UTM | W 83-54 | -8.5 | W +20.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 13 | @ RICH | L 84-93 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | O 177 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsKC
KCW 101-78
+10.5
12
@NEV
NEVL 81-86
+6.5
17
@NDSU
NDSUL 85-92
−5.5
23
vsDEL
DELW 79-59
+11.5
24
vsUAB
UABL 73-81
−5.5
26
@MEM
MEML 58-74
−5.5
29
vsLR
LRW 74-65
−4.5
3
@HPU
HPUW 86-84
+11.5
10
vsUTM
UTMW 83-54
+20.5
13
@RICH
RICHL 84-93
−5.5
covered 5didn’t cover 5avg +3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsKC
KCW 101-78
+37.5
12
@NEV
NEVL 81-86
+14.5
17
@NDSU
NDSUL 85-92
+23.5
23
vsDEL
DELW 79-59
−15.5
24
vsUAB
UABL 73-81
−7.5
26
@MEM
MEML 58-74
−24.5
29
vsLR
LRW 74-65
−2.5
3
@HPU
HPUW 86-84
+7.5
10
vsUTM
UTMW 83-54
−9.5
13
@RICH
RICHL 84-93
+23.5
over 5under 5avg +4.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Illinois St
7-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Utah State78–83
- Wvs Chicago St95–53
- Wvs E Kentucky89–78
- Wvs Furman72–65
- Wvs Charlotte79–69
5 days since their last game.
S Illinois
5-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Richmond84–93
- Wvs UT Martin83–54
- W@ High Point86–84
- Wvs Little Rock74–65
- L@ Memphis58–74
5 days since their last game.