The Sobrato Center · at San Francisco · Conference game
Closing line
SF -12.5✓ USD covered by 2.5
SF -12.5✓ USD covered by 2.5Closing total152.5Under by 14.5
 USD | This season | SF |
|---|---|---|
| 5-8 | Record | 8-6 |
| 7-6 | ATS | 8-6 |
| 6-7 | O/U | 6-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: USD 68–80 SF · ✓ SF (84%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USD | 28 | 36 | 64 |
| SF | 29 | 45 | 74 |
1st half: USD 28, SF 29 (SF by 1). The model had SF by 6.6 and a total of 69.3 (actual 57).
Team stats
| USD | SF | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-58 43% | Field goals | 27-65 42% |
| 4-22 18% | 3-pointers | 7-35 20% |
| 10-12 83% | Free throws | 13-17 76% |
| 25 3 off | Rebounds | 42 12 off |
| 10 | Assists | 14 |
| 7 | Steals | 6 |
| 1 | Blocks | 2 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 18 | Fouls | 12 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| USD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian McIntyre G | 37 | 16 | 10 | 2 | 8-11 | 0-2 |
| Toneari Lane G | 34 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-13 | 1-6 |
| Vuk Boskovic F | 30 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 2-8 | 1-6 |
| Juanse Gorosito G | 29 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 4-8 | 2-4 |
| Alejandro Aviles F | 19 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dominique Ford G | 20 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 5-7 | 0-1 |
| Tim Moore Jr. F | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Assane Diop F | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Gavin Ripp F | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Brandon Benjamin G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Neel Beniwal G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Nick Del Bosque, Piotr Winkowski, Josh Hecht, Emmanuel Callas, Kjay Bradley, D'Arrae Goodwin, Boden Grant, Caleb Versher, Ty-Laur Johnson
| SF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Beasley G | 32 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 3-10 | 0-7 |
| Tyrone Riley IV G | 32 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 9-15 | 2-5 |
| David Fuchs F | 21 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Guillermo Diaz-Graham F | 15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Vukasin Masic G | 14 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Junjie Wang F | 27 | 12 | 12 | 3 | 4-8 | 0-4 |
| Veniamin Abosi F | 22 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 2-8 | 1-6 |
| Legend Smiley G | 19 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 6-11 | 3-6 |
| Aidan Braccia G | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Weilun Zhao G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Saba Gigiberia C | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Sean Blakely Drummond, Ndewedo Newbury, Mookie Cook, Isa Silva
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSF -12.5
ModelSF -11.3
Model edgeUSD +1.2
W USD covered
Total
Market152.5
Model147.9
Model edgeUnder 4.6
W Under
Projected score
USD 68.3 · SF 79.6
USD 64 · SF 74
Win probability
SF 84%
1st half
Spread
SF -6.6
SF -1.0
Total
69.3
57 points
Projected score
USD 31.3 · SF 38
USD 28 · SF 29
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSF -11.5
1 → SF
CloseSF -12.5
1 pt toward SF
Total
Open148.5
▲ 4
Close152.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
USD +600 · SF -900
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SF -11.5 · closed SF -12.5 · moved 1 toward SFmodel SF -11.5
model SF -11.5
Opened 148.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 4 upmodel 148
model 148
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USD | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
| SF | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
USD 1–7 SFSF leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · SF has won the last 5 meetings · USD 4-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | SF 84 @ USD 61 | USD +12.5 | SF W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | USD 69 @ SF 81 | SF -17.5 | USD W |
| Feb 1, 2023-24 | USD 79 @ SF 95 | SF -18.5 | USD W |
| Jan 11, 2023-24 | SF 83 @ USD 63 | USD +10.5 | SF W |
| Jan 28, 2022-23 | SF 94 @ USD 81 | USD +4.5 | SF W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
San Diego
13 games played
Straight up
5-8
38% wins
Against the spread
7-6
54% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-7
46% overs · avg −1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs IDST | L 68-71 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 152.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 12 | vs IDHO | W 78-74 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 18 | vs GRAM | W 78-68 | -6.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 21 | vs UCR | L 71-85 | -7.5 | L −21.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 25 | vs CBU | L 61-76 | +7.5 | L −7.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 30 | @ LBSU | L 72-76 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 5 | @ SJSU | L 69-86 | +6.5 | L −10.5 | 144.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 9 | vs USC | L 81-94 | +14.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 13 | vs NAU | W 78-69 | -4.5 | W +4.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 19 | @ UCSD | W 82-80 | +12.5 | W +14.5 | 156.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 22 | @ WASH | L 56-86 | +18.5 | L −11.5 | 159.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 28 | vs PAC | W 66-54 | +2.5 | W +14.5 | 150.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 30 | vs GONZ | L 93-99 | +29.5 | W +23.5 | 160.5 | O 192 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsIDST
IDSTL 68-71
−7.5
12
vsIDHO
IDHOW 78-74
+5.5
18
vsGRAM
GRAMW 78-68
+3.5
21
vsUCR
UCRL 71-85
−21.5
25
vsCBU
CBUL 61-76
−7.5
30
@LBSU
LBSUL 72-76
−6.5
5
@SJSU
SJSUL 69-86
−10.5
9
vsUSC
USCL 81-94
+1.5
13
vsNAU
NAUW 78-69
+4.5
19
@UCSD
UCSDW 82-80
+14.5
22
@WASH
WASHL 56-86
−11.5
28
vsPAC
PACW 66-54
+14.5
30
vsGONZ
GONZL 93-99
+23.5
covered 7didn’t cover 6avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsIDST
IDSTL 68-71
−13.5
12
vsIDHO
IDHOW 78-74
−3.5
18
vsGRAM
GRAMW 78-68
−3.5
21
vsUCR
UCRL 71-85
+3.5
25
vsCBU
CBUL 61-76
−9.5
30
@LBSU
LBSUL 72-76
+0.5
5
@SJSU
SJSUL 69-86
+10.5
9
vsUSC
USCL 81-94
+16.5
13
vsNAU
NAUW 78-69
−2.5
19
@UCSD
UCSDW 82-80
+5.5
22
@WASH
WASHL 56-86
−17.5
28
vsPAC
PACW 66-54
−30.5
30
vsGONZ
GONZL 93-99
+31.5
over 6under 7avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
San Francisco
14 games played
Straight up
8-6
57% wins
Against the spread
8-6
57% covers · avg −1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-8
43% overs · avg −4.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ MEM | L 70-76 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 12 | vs PRST | W 80-70 | -13.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 15 | vs BRAD | W 75-64 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 18 | vs NWST | W 84-64 | -16.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 22 | vs MINN | W 77-65 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 27 | vs COLO | L 69-79 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs NEV | L 65-81 | -5.5 | L −21.5 | 142.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 3 | vs UNA | L 63-65 | -16.5 | L −18.5 | 145.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 7 | vs MSST | W 65-62 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 150.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 13 | @ SLU | L 75-85 | +12.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 17 | vs LUC | W 85-71 | -11.5 | W +2.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 21 | vs MORG | W 94-64 | -25.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 28 | @ SEA | W 67-59 | +2.5 | W +10.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 30 | @ ORST | L 62-70 | -4.5 | L −12.5 | 144.5 | U 132 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@MEM
MEML 70-76
−3.5
12
vsPRST
PRSTW 80-70
−3.5
15
vsBRAD
BRADW 75-64
+1.5
18
vsNWST
NWSTW 84-64
+3.5
22
vsMINN
MINNW 77-65
+13.5
27
vsCOLO
COLOL 69-79
−11.5
28
vsNEV
NEVL 65-81
−21.5
3
vsUNA
UNAL 63-65
−18.5
7
vsMSST
MSSTW 65-62
+7.5
13
@SLU
SLUL 75-85
+2.5
17
vsLUC
LUCW 85-71
+2.5
21
vsMORG
MORGW 94-64
+4.5
28
@SEA
SEAW 67-59
+10.5
30
@ORST
ORSTL 62-70
−12.5
covered 8didn’t cover 6avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@MEM
MEML 70-76
−11.5
12
vsPRST
PRSTW 80-70
−4.5
15
vsBRAD
BRADW 75-64
−7.5
18
vsNWST
NWSTW 84-64
+4.5
22
vsMINN
MINNW 77-65
+1.5
27
vsCOLO
COLOL 69-79
−2.5
28
vsNEV
NEVL 65-81
+3.5
3
vsUNA
UNAL 63-65
−17.5
7
vsMSST
MSSTW 65-62
−23.5
13
@SLU
SLUL 75-85
+4.5
17
vsLUC
LUCW 85-71
+12.5
21
vsMORG
MORGW 94-64
+12.5
28
@SEA
SEAW 67-59
−20.5
30
@ORST
ORSTL 62-70
−12.5
over 6under 8avg −4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
San Diego
5-8 overall · 1-1 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Gonzaga93–99
- Wvs Pacific66–54
- L@ Washington56–86
- W@ UC San Diego82–80
- Wvs N Arizona78–69
3 days since their last game.
San Francisco
8-6 overall · 1-1 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Oregon St62–70
- W@ Seattle U67–59
- Wvs Morgan St94–64
- Wvs Loyola Chicago85–71
- L@ Saint Louis75–85
3 days since their last game.