Gill Coliseum · at Oregon St · Conference game
Closing line
SF -4.5✓ ORST covered by 12.5
SF -4.5✓ ORST covered by 12.5Closing total144.5Under by 12.5
| SF | This season | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| 8-5 | Record | 7-7 |
| 8-5 | ATS | 5-9 |
| 6-7 | O/U | 9-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SF 74–70 ORST · ✗ SF (64%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SF | 30 | 32 | 62 |
| ORST | 25 | 45 | 70 |
1st half: SF 30, ORST 25 (SF by 5). The model had SF by 2.5 and a total of 67.5 (actual 55).
Team stats
| SF | ORST | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-53 40% | Field goals | 23-46 50% |
| 4-21 19% | 3-pointers | 11-23 48% |
| 16-22 73% | Free throws | 13-14 93% |
| 29 8 off | Rebounds | 30 1 off |
| 10 | Assists | 15 |
| 7 | Steals | 6 |
| 1 | Blocks | 5 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 18 | Fouls | 20 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 18 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| SF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Beasley G | 34 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 6-12 | 0-3 |
| Tyrone Riley IV G | 32 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 4-7 | 1-2 |
| David Fuchs F | 31 | 19 | 13 | 2 | 5-11 | 0-2 |
| Guillermo Diaz-Graham F | 28 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Vukasin Masic G | 26 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-8 | 0-7 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Veniamin Abosi F | 19 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Legend Smiley G | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Junjie Wang F | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Saba Gigiberia C | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Weilun Zhao G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Sean Blakely Drummond, Aidan Braccia, Ndewedo Newbury, Mookie Cook, Isa Silva
| ORST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dez White G | 34 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 2-6 | 2-6 |
| Josiah Lake II G | 33 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 5-8 | 4-4 |
| Isaiah Sy G | 31 | 18 | 6 | 0 | 5-8 | 4-6 |
| Jorge Diaz-Graham F | 18 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Johan Munch F | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Olavi Suutela F | 21 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| Yaak Yaak C | 15 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Keziah Ekissi G | 13 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Noah Amenhauser C | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Matija Samar G | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Malcolm Christie G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Stephen Olowoniyi, Kaan Yarkut, Daisean Williford, Gavin Marrs
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSF -4.5
ModelSF -4.0
Model edgeORST +0.5
W ORST covered
Total
Market144.5
Model144.2
Model edgeUnder 0.3
W Under
Projected score
SF 74.1 · ORST 70.1
SF 62 · ORST 70
Win probability
SF 64%
1st half
Spread
SF -2.5
SF -5.0
Total
67.5
55 points
Projected score
SF 35 · ORST 32.5
SF 30 · ORST 25
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSF -4.5
no move
CloseSF -4.5
No change since the open
Total
Open143.5
▲ 1
Close144.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
SF -205 · ORST +170
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SF -4.5 · unchangedmodel SF -4
model SF -4
Opened 143.5 · closed 144.5 · moved 1 upmodel 144
model 144
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SF | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% |
| ORST | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
SF 2–0 ORSTSF leads · 2 games since 2021-22 · SF has won the last 2 meetings · SF 2-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2024-25 | SF 74 @ ORST 72 | ORST -3.5 | SF W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | ORST 70 @ SF 81 | SF -4.5 | SF W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
San Francisco
13 games played
Straight up
8-5
62% wins
Against the spread
8-5
62% covers · avg −1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-7
46% overs · avg −3.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ MEM | L 70-76 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 12 | vs PRST | W 80-70 | -13.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 15 | vs BRAD | W 75-64 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 18 | vs NWST | W 84-64 | -16.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 22 | vs MINN | W 77-65 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 27 | vs COLO | L 69-79 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs NEV | L 65-81 | -5.5 | L −21.5 | 142.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 3 | vs UNA | L 63-65 | -16.5 | L −18.5 | 145.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 7 | vs MSST | W 65-62 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 150.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 13 | @ SLU | L 75-85 | +12.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 17 | vs LUC | W 85-71 | -11.5 | W +2.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 21 | vs MORG | W 94-64 | -25.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 28 | @ SEA | W 67-59 | +2.5 | W +10.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@MEM
MEML 70-76
−3.5
12
vsPRST
PRSTW 80-70
−3.5
15
vsBRAD
BRADW 75-64
+1.5
18
vsNWST
NWSTW 84-64
+3.5
22
vsMINN
MINNW 77-65
+13.5
27
vsCOLO
COLOL 69-79
−11.5
28
vsNEV
NEVL 65-81
−21.5
3
vsUNA
UNAL 63-65
−18.5
7
vsMSST
MSSTW 65-62
+7.5
13
@SLU
SLUL 75-85
+2.5
17
vsLUC
LUCW 85-71
+2.5
21
vsMORG
MORGW 94-64
+4.5
28
@SEA
SEAW 67-59
+10.5
covered 8didn’t cover 5avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@MEM
MEML 70-76
−11.5
12
vsPRST
PRSTW 80-70
−4.5
15
vsBRAD
BRADW 75-64
−7.5
18
vsNWST
NWSTW 84-64
+4.5
22
vsMINN
MINNW 77-65
+1.5
27
vsCOLO
COLOL 69-79
−2.5
28
vsNEV
NEVL 65-81
+3.5
3
vsUNA
UNAL 63-65
−17.5
7
vsMSST
MSSTW 65-62
−23.5
13
@SLU
SLUL 75-85
+4.5
17
vsLUC
LUCW 85-71
+12.5
21
vsMORG
MORGW 94-64
+12.5
28
@SEA
SEAW 67-59
−20.5
over 6under 7avg −3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Oregon St
14 games played
Straight up
7-7
50% wins
Against the spread
5-9
36% covers · avg −3.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-5
64% overs · avg +2.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs NDSU | W 67-65 | -9.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 7 | vs UIC | W 76-73 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 12 | vs UNT | W 66-64 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 134.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 17 | @ ORE | L 75-87 | +13.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 21 | vs EVAN | L 69-73 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 136.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 22 | vs IONA | L 84-91 | -3.5 | L −10.5 | 157.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 24 | vs MASS | L 65-73 | -3.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 29 | vs CBU | L 69-75 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 137.5 | O 144 |
| Dec 3 | vs UVM | W 80-58 | -3.5 | W +18.5 | 143.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 6 | vs SUU | W 81-70 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 13 | vs MTST | W 67-57 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 140.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 17 | vs SHSU | L 75-85 | -3.5 | L −13.5 | 153.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 21 | @ ASU | W 78-75 | +12.5 | W +15.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 28 | vs SCU | L 64-102 | +7.5 | L −30.5 | 150.5 | O 166 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNDSU
NDSUW 67-65
−7.5
7
vsUIC
UICW 76-73
−3.5
12
vsUNT
UNTW 66-64
−1.5
17
@ORE
OREL 75-87
+1.5
21
vsEVAN
EVANL 69-73
−10.5
22
vsIONA
IONAL 84-91
−10.5
24
vsMASS
MASSL 65-73
−11.5
29
vsCBU
CBUL 69-75
−7.5
3
vsUVM
UVMW 80-58
+18.5
6
vsSUU
SUUW 81-70
+0.5
13
vsMTST
MTSTW 67-57
+8.5
17
vsSHSU
SHSUL 75-85
−13.5
21
@ASU
ASUW 78-75
+15.5
28
vsSCU
SCUL 64-102
−30.5
covered 5didn’t cover 9avg −3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNDSU
NDSUW 67-65
−12.5
7
vsUIC
UICW 76-73
+2.5
12
vsUNT
UNTW 66-64
−4.5
17
@ORE
OREL 75-87
+20.5
21
vsEVAN
EVANL 69-73
+5.5
22
vsIONA
IONAL 84-91
+17.5
24
vsMASS
MASSL 65-73
−11.5
29
vsCBU
CBUL 69-75
+6.5
3
vsUVM
UVMW 80-58
−5.5
6
vsSUU
SUUW 81-70
+4.5
13
vsMTST
MTSTW 67-57
−16.5
17
vsSHSU
SHSUL 75-85
+6.5
21
@ASU
ASUW 78-75
+5.5
28
vsSCU
SCUL 64-102
+15.5
over 9under 5avg +2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
San Francisco
8-5 overall · 1-0 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Seattle U67–59
- Wvs Morgan St94–64
- Wvs Loyola Chicago85–71
- L@ Saint Louis75–85
- Wvs Mississippi St65–62
2 days since their last game.
Oregon St
7-7 overall · 0-1 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Santa Clara64–102
- W@ Arizona St78–75
- Lvs Sam Houston75–85
- Wvs Montana St67–57
- Wvs Southern Utah81–70
2 days since their last game.