Firestone Fieldhouse · at Pepperdine · Conference game
Closing line
SMC -19.5✓ SMC covered by 7.5
SMC -19.5✓ SMC covered by 7.5Closing total141.5Under by 24.5
| SMC | This season | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| 11-2 | Record | 3-9 |
| 6-7 | ATS | 5-7 |
| 8-5 | O/U | 4-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SMC 79–63 PEPP · ✓ SMC (92%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMC | 34 | 38 | 72 |
| PEPP | 25 | 20 | 45 |
1st half: SMC 34, PEPP 25 (SMC by 9). The model had SMC by 9.9 and a total of 66.2 (actual 59).
Team stats
| SMC | PEPP | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-53 53% | Field goals | 19-55 35% |
| 6-17 35% | 3-pointers | 4-23 17% |
| 10-10 100% | Free throws | 3-4 75% |
| 35 7 off | Rebounds | 26 8 off |
| 13 | Assists | 13 |
| 8 | Steals | 4 |
| 1 | Blocks | 2 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 8 | Fouls | 10 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| SMC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Dent G | 38 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 4-8 | 1-5 |
| Dillan Shaw G | 34 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Paulius Murauskas F | 29 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 8-15 | 1-3 |
| Harry Wessels C | 19 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Mikey Lewis G | 19 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Andrew McKeever C | 22 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Liam Campbell G | 19 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Rory Hawke G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Mantas Juzenas G | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Tony Duckett G | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Cade Bennett G | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Oliver Faubert F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jazz Gardner, Trent MacLean, Kevin Gad
| PEPP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Styles Phipps G | 32 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 4-9 | 0-2 |
| Danilo Dozic C | 31 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3-9 | 2-5 |
| Aaron Clark G | 29 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3-8 | 1-3 |
| Yonatan Levy F | 23 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Pavle Stosic F | 19 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Javon Cooley G | 25 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 3-10 | 0-4 |
| Luka Vudragovic G | 16 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Stefan Cicic C | 14 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| David Mager G | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Pasha Shemirani F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Vladimir Sudar F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Nikola Radovanovic, Anto Balian, Ty Virgil, Preston Phillips, Yassine Gharram
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSMC -19.5
ModelSMC -16.3
Model edgePEPP +3.2
L SMC covered
Total
Market141.5
Model141.2
Model edgeUnder 0.3
W Under
Projected score
SMC 78.7 · PEPP 62.5
SMC 72 · PEPP 45
Win probability
SMC 92%
1st half
Spread
SMC -9.9
SMC -9.0
Total
66.2
59 points
Projected score
SMC 38 · PEPP 28.1
SMC 34 · PEPP 25
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSMC -19.5
no move
CloseSMC -19.5
No change since the open
Total
Open141.5
no move
Close141.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
SMC -3200 · PEPP +1400
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SMC -19.5 · unchangedmodel SMC -16.5
model SMC -16.5
Opened 141.5 · unchangedmodel 141
model 141
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMC | 8-2 80% | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% |
| PEPP | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
SMC 8–0 PEPPSMC leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · SMC has won the last 8 meetings · SMC 7-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2024-25 | PEPP 59 vs SMC 74 | SMC -19.5 | PEPP W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | SMC 74 @ PEPP 50 | PEPP +13.5 | SMC W |
| Jan 2, 2024-25 | PEPP 41 @ SMC 71 | SMC -17.5 | SMC W |
| Feb 29, 2023-24 | SMC 83 @ PEPP 57 | PEPP +15.5 | SMC W |
| Feb 15, 2023-24 | PEPP 59 @ SMC 103 | SMC -19.5 | SMC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Saint Mary's
13 games played
Straight up
11-2
85% wins
Against the spread
6-7
46% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-5
62% overs · avg +2.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs STMN | W 84-58 | -13.5 | W +12.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 7 | vs UTC | W 87-66 | -15.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 11 | vs OHIO | W 90-60 | -17.5 | W +12.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 14 | vs UNT | W 80-49 | -14.5 | W +16.5 | 128.5 | O 129 |
| Nov 19 | vs ARST | W 85-72 | -20.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 26 | vs WICH | W 70-65 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 27 | vs VT | W 77-66 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 28 | vs VAN | L 71-96 | +4.5 | L −20.5 | 149.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 7 | @ DAV | W 70-61 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 137.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 14 | vs BOIS | L 67-68 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 19 | vs FAU | W 88-75 | -13.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 22 | vs UNI | W 63-58 | -11.5 | L −6.5 | 132.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 28 | @ LMU | W 78-73 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSTMN
STMNW 84-58
+12.5
7
vsUTC
UTCW 87-66
+5.5
11
vsOHIO
OHIOW 90-60
+12.5
14
vsUNT
UNTW 80-49
+16.5
19
vsARST
ARSTW 85-72
−7.5
26
vsWICH
WICHW 70-65
−4.5
27
vsVT
VTW 77-66
+5.5
28
vsVAN
VANL 71-96
−20.5
7
@DAV
DAVW 70-61
+0.5
14
vsBOIS
BOISL 67-68
−3.5
19
vsFAU
FAUW 88-75
−0.5
22
vsUNI
UNIW 63-58
−6.5
28
@LMU
LMUW 78-73
−4.5
covered 6didn’t cover 7avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSTMN
STMNW 84-58
+0.5
7
vsUTC
UTCW 87-66
+7.5
11
vsOHIO
OHIOW 90-60
+5.5
14
vsUNT
UNTW 80-49
+0.5
19
vsARST
ARSTW 85-72
+7.5
26
vsWICH
WICHW 70-65
−4.5
27
vsVT
VTW 77-66
−1.5
28
vsVAN
VANL 71-96
+17.5
7
@DAV
DAVW 70-61
−6.5
14
vsBOIS
BOISL 67-68
−4.5
19
vsFAU
FAUW 88-75
+17.5
22
vsUNI
UNIW 63-58
−11.5
28
@LMU
LMUW 78-73
+7.5
over 8under 5avg +2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Pepperdine
12 games played
Straight up
3-9
25% wins
Against the spread
5-7
42% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-8
33% overs · avg −5.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ UCLA | L 63-74 | +29.5 | W +18.5 | 152.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 15 | vs UNCO | L 81-88 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 18 | vs NOLA | W 90-79 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 21 | vs SFA | L 60-63 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 26 | vs FRES | L 53-76 | +2.5 | L −20.5 | 150.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 29 | @ CSUF | L 69-83 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 161.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 2 | vs ACU | L 63-71 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 137.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 6 | vs UVM | L 56-65 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 142.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 13 | @ CSUB | W 70-62 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 147.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 18 | @ LBSU | L 78-81 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 20 | vs RICE | W 84-62 | +1.5 | W +23.5 | 140.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 28 | vs GONZ | L 56-96 | +29.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | U 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@UCLA
UCLAL 63-74
+18.5
15
vsUNCO
UNCOL 81-88
−5.5
18
vsNOLA
NOLAW 90-79
+5.5
21
vsSFA
SFAL 60-63
−1.5
26
vsFRES
FRESL 53-76
−20.5
29
@CSUF
CSUFL 69-83
−12.5
2
vsACU
ACUL 63-71
−6.5
6
vsUVM
UVML 56-65
−7.5
13
@CSUB
CSUBW 70-62
+9.5
18
@LBSU
LBSUL 78-81
+1.5
20
vsRICE
RICEW 84-62
+23.5
28
vsGONZ
GONZL 56-96
−10.5
covered 5didn’t cover 7avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@UCLA
UCLAL 63-74
−15.5
15
vsUNCO
UNCOL 81-88
+15.5
18
vsNOLA
NOLAW 90-79
+11.5
21
vsSFA
SFAL 60-63
−25.5
26
vsFRES
FRESL 53-76
−21.5
29
@CSUF
CSUFL 69-83
−9.5
2
vsACU
ACUL 63-71
−3.5
6
vsUVM
UVML 56-65
−21.5
13
@CSUB
CSUBW 70-62
−15.5
18
@LBSU
LBSUL 78-81
+17.5
20
vsRICE
RICEW 84-62
+5.5
28
vsGONZ
GONZL 56-96
−0.5
over 4under 8avg −5.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Saint Mary's
11-2 overall · 1-0 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ LMU78–73
- Wvs Northern Iowa63–58
- Wvs FAU88–75
- Lvs Boise St67–68
- W@ Davidson70–61
2 days since their last game.
Pepperdine
3-9 overall · 0-1 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Gonzaga56–96
- Wvs Rice84–62
- L@ Long Beach St78–81
- W@ Bakersfield70–62
- Lvs Vermont56–65
2 days since their last game.